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Financial Risks Analysis 2024-25

Argyll and Bute Council · 15 February 2024
Back to Budget Pack — 15 February 2024 and its agenda

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ARGYLL AND BUTE COUNCIL
FINANCIAL SERVICES
COUNCIL
22 FEBRUARY 2024
FINANCIAL RISKS ANALYSIS 2024-25  
1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 
1.1 The main purpose of this report is to provide a summary of the key financial risks
facing the Council.   
1.2 A number of Council wide risks, both revenue and capital have been identified along
with risks for each department and service of the Council.  For each departmental
risk the financial impact has been quantified and the likelihood assessed based on
the standard risk matrix. 
1.3  There are 6 Council wide revenue risks identified for 2024-25 currently amounting
to £6.833m.   
1.4 There are currently 38 departmental risks totalling £5.080m. Five of the 38
departmental risks are categorised as likely. 
1.5 The financial risks are monitored routinely and actions put in place to continue to
mitigate the risks.

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ARGYLL AND BUTE COUNCIL
FINANCIAL SERVICES
COUNCIL
22 FEBRUARY 2024
FINANCIAL RISKS ANALYSIS 2024-25  
2. INTRODUCTION 
2.1 This report outlines the process and approach developed in carrying out a financial
risks analysis and provides a note of the current assessment of financial risks for
2024-25. 
3 DETAIL 
3.1 Introduction 
3.1.1 The Council continues to be in a period of significant financial challenge.  In
developing its budget to address both restricted resources and cost and demand
pressures there are a number of financial risks the Council needs to consider and
manage. 
3.1.2 There are a number of risks that affect the income or expenditure across the whole
council and these have been identified.  Financial risks have been considered by
each department and service of the Council.   
3.1.3 For each risk, the financial impact has been quantified and the likelihood assessed
based on the standard risk matrix as follows: 
1 – Remote
2 – Unlikely
3 – Possible
4 – Likely
5 – Almost Certain 
3.2 Council Wide Risks 
Revenue 
3.2.1 The 2024-25 budget has a 3% pay award assumption included across all
categories of worker and all grades.  Negotiations on the 2024-25 pay awards
have still to commence and the affordability for Local Government will have to be
a key consideration in the negotiation of the final settlements. Any settlement of
more than a 3% pay award is deemed to be unaffordable hence why the budget
outlook has been based on 3%.  This is a situation that will be kept under close
review as the pay negotiations advance during the year and the assumption will
be adjusted if required.  A 2% increase, resulting in a 5% pay award, would cost
£3.233m and the financial risk has been based on this.  Although the risk has
been classified as likely, the expectation is that additional funding would be
forthcoming from Scottish Government for an enhanced pay award, which has
been the case for the last 2 years.

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3.2.2  Utility costs remain a volatile area and it is difficult to accurately predict how the
prices for utilities could vary.  Due to the volatility of utilities pricing it is very
difficult to predict any impact with a degree of accuracy.  The financial risk is
based on a 20% variation in utility costs and amounts to £1.197m.
3.2.3  In respect of the Health and Social Care Partnership, it is the responsibility of the
Chief Officer and Chief Financial Officer to manage the HSCP financial position. 
If an overspend is forecast, a budget recovery plan will be prepared and
submitted to the IJB, the Council and NHS Highland.  Where recovery plans are
unsuccessful and an overspend occurs at the financial year end, and there are
insufficient reserves to meet the overspend, then the partners will be required to
make additional payments to the HSCP.  Whilst any additional payments by the
Council and NHS Highland will be deducted from future years funding, there is still
a financial risk that the Council may have to pay out additional monies in year.  A
possible risk of £1.000m is recognised as a fair reflection of the situation and has
been agreed with the Chief Financial Officer of the HSCP. 
3.2.4 The estimated level of Council Tax income is based on current and forecast Band
D equivalents and non-payment rates.  This year, the number of Band D
equivalent domestic dwellings on the Council Tax register has reduced with a
negative growth rate of -0.18% which is 1.45% lower than the previous
year.   Despite this, the net Council Tax billed has increased as the Council
increased the tax by 5% in 2023-2024 from the previous year’s level of
charge.   The Council should still see an increase in the projected level of income
recovered at the end of the financial year 2023-2024. It should be noted that
Council Tax collection remains challenging due to the cost of living crisis and
there was no government support issued this year in Scotland. In 2022-2023 £4.3
million was given to households to help with their Council Tax through the Cost Of
Living Award Scheme.  Future Council Tax income levels remain very challenging
to predict but we do expect there to be positive growth in Band D equivalents in
the coming year as the Council continues to deal with the challenges of the
Housing Emergency and more affordable housing units are completed and added
to the Valuation List.  The anticipated growth in the Council tax base in 2024-25
will be built into the budget.  A 1% variation in council tax income amounts to
approximately £0.594m. 
3.2.5  At the budget meetings in February 2022 and February 2023, the Council agreed
policy savings options that would deliver savings over the period 2022-23 to 2025-
26.  The savings to be delivered in 2024-25 equate to £0.093m.    Whilst the
Council have a good track record in delivering savings, a 10% shortfall on these
savings targets would amount to £0.009m. 
3.2.6 The Council wide risks are noted within the table below

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Description Likelihood Assessed
Financial
Impact
£000
Pay Award exceeding 3% 4 3,233
Energy costs increase by 20% greater
than anticipated
3 1,197
IJB refer to Council for additional
funding to deliver social work services 
3 1,000
1% variation in Council Tax Income 3 594
10% shortfall on Savings Options 2 9
1% variation of General Inflation Risk  3 800
Total  6,833 
Capital 
3.2.7 The finance circular received on 19 December 2023 provided details of the Local
Government funding for 2024-25 and there is therefore certainty as to what our
funding is in respect of the General Capital Grant and the specific capital grants
already distributed. 
3.2.8  The capital plan for 2024-25 includes an estimate of £0.750m in respect of capital
receipts.   This is based on an assessment provided by the Estates Team in
January 2024.  A 10% variation equates to £0.075m and this would require to be
managed across the capital programme.   
3.2.9 There continues to be a pressure on the Capital Programme as a result of an
increase in costs due to rising inflation which sees tender prices coming in above
budget. While an element of COVID funding has been allocated to the
Programme relating to these pressures, these increases could continue for some
time and result in further overspends across the life of the Programme. 
3.2.10 The capital monitoring as at the end of December is reporting an anticipated
overspend on the total capital plan of £0.820m.  Members will be asked to give
consideration to elements of this overspend as part of the budget process which
will also extend the capital programme out to 2026-27.   
3.2.11  Although the direct impact of COVID on most local services has reduced or even
ceased altogether over the last 12 months, COVID in conjunction with the UK exit
from the European Union and the Russian invasion of Ukraine, continues to affect
worldwide supply chains. This has the impact of reducing the availability of
supplies and materials resulting in cost increases through a combination of higher
prices and longer materials delivery lead times. Additional funding was set aside
for capital projects for this purpose at the budget meetings in February 2021,
2022 and 2023 which should mitigate the impact of this within 2024-25 however
officers will continue to closely engage with project managers to monitor and

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3.2.12
report on the impact on the Council’s capital programme and services within the
revenue budget. 
A scheme of bridge capital works was developed and 80% funded through the
Local Bridge Maintenance Fund with £5.450m of funding approved. Increased
capital contract costs from when the scheme was developed to now, has the
schemes costing approximately £12m. Discussions are in place to request the
original funding be approved to cover a smaller scheme with less bridges. 
3.3 Departmental/Service Risks 
3.3.1 Financial risks have been identified for each department and service.  It should be
noted that the Council have a good track record of delivering services within budget,
however, there still are risks and the detail is included within Appendix 1.    The
following table provides a summary of the number of risks within each department
and likelihood category with the financial impact. 
Department 1 - Remote 2 - Unlikely 3 - Possible 4 - Likely 5 - Almost
Certain Total
No £000 No £000 No £000 No £000 No £000 No £000
Chief Executive's
Unit 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry 2 20 6 560 8 630 4 535 0 0 20 1,745
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan 4 285 2 140 11 2,760 1 150 0 0 18 3,335
Total 6 305 8 700 19 3,390 5 685 0 0 38 5,080 
3.3.2 The current top three risks in terms of the financial impact are noted in the table
below. 
SERVICE TITLE OF RISK DESCRIPTION OF RISK LIKELIHOOD FINANCIAL
IMPACT
£000
Roads and
Infrastructure
Services
Roads
Maintenance -
Bridges,
Culverts & Sea
Defences
Extreme localised weather
may result in loss of bridge,
culvert, road or sea defence.
3 750
Roads and
Infrastructure
Services
Waste PPP -
Indexation
Historical payments made
towards Waste PPP based
on indexation rates have
been challenged by Renewi
resulting in a potential cost to
the council.
3 586
Financial
Services
Council Tax
Debt Collection
Recovery
Recovery of debt becomes
more difficult to pursue in the
current economic
climate.  This is in relation to
historical debt that has
accumulated over many
years therefore any adverse
3 345

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collection rates will impact on
the year end debt provision
as opposed to the in-year
financial position, hence no
forecast variance has been
reported within the current
year. 
3.4  Monitoring of Financial Risks 
3.4.1 Financial risks will be reviewed and monitored on a two monthly basis and will be
included in the pack of financial reports submitted to Policy and Resources
Committee.   
3.5 Potential Future Risks 
3.5.1 Scottish Government are, over the next 2 years, proposing to extend funded
childcare to all 1 and 2 year olds across Scotland. This brings significant financial
and qualitative risks to the service. The needs and legislative requirements for this
age range would mean significant capital work across our estate and in many
settings there is not the space so extensions would be required. Having this age
range in the same play space as 3/4 year olds seriously impacts on the ability of
practitioners to effectively support age appropriate quality learning and play. It is
uncertain when this risk will arise. 
3.5.2 Scottish Government are over the next 2 years planning to introduce statutory
school age childcare for families living in poverty. It is expected to take the form of
breakfast clubs, after school care and care and food provision over the holidays.
The Council does not currently offer such a service. It is unlikely to need much
Capital spend. However revenue costs including staffing, transport, food, utilities
and administration as yet can not be quantified. One model could be to
commission partners in a similar manner as 1140 hours but costs can not be
quantified at this time. 
3.5.3 The Council’s bid to the Scottish Governments Learning Estate Investment
Programme (LEIP) for funding for a new school campus on Mull was successful.
While this is good news and will provide welcome investment in the school estate
it does come with a financial pressure that is required to be funded if the project is
to proceed. The Scottish Government will fund up to 50% of eligible costs leaving
the Council to fund circa £20m therefore Council need to consider full affordability
options before agreeing to progress with this project. There are £9m in earmarked
reserves set aside for this purpose with funding required for the remaining
balance. A paper outlining possible funding options will be presented to Council in
due course. 
3.5.4 As a result of significant rainfall Argyll and Bute Council activated the Bellwin
scheme in relation to the recovery of costs associated with the incident. The
funding from this scheme is welcomed however eligibility criteria of costs are
restrictive. Primarily the first £0.529m has to be covered by the Local Authority of
which £0.398m has been identified from Crown Estates funding with the
possibility this could be topped up further once the Crown Estate full year

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allocation of funding is confirmed. Secondly, capital expenditure does not qualify
therefore any long term replacements to infrastructure such as bridges cannot be
claimed through the scheme therefore if not already part of the capital programme
will require funding. Estimated costs were submitted to the Scottish Government
on 5 December 2023 along with a request to extend the scheme by ten months to
allow for all works to be completed.  The Scottish Government have subsequently
rejected this request and will only extend the claim by two months. The revenue
costs are being finalised but there is a risk that costs of circa £0.900m in revenue
could extend beyond the claim period and therefore may not be eligible for the
scheme.   
3.5.5 In its present configuration, Argyll and Bute Council’s digital network does not
have the capacity to accommodate the requirements of the Scottish
Government’s vision for digital access over the next four years, including a device
for every learner, which would entail a large increase in the number of devices
accessing the network. The network requires to be redesigned to allow digital
access on the scale proposed by the Scottish Government. In addition to
investment in bandwidth, device management and protection, there is a
requirement to replace existing network hardware in all schools. Following an
independent consultation on the network by Insight, IT and Education have co-
authored a paper “Resourcing Educations Digital Aspirations” that identifies the
work required to meet the Scottish Governments expectations. COSLA have
raised this issue with the Scottish Government and there is an expectation that
this will be fully funded as it is a Scottish Government commitment but there
remains a risk associated with this. The IT team have advised that the Education
requirements heighten the risk to the network. 
4 CONCLUSION 
4.1 This report summarises the key financial risks facing the Council.  There are 6
Council wide risks and there are 38 departmental risks.  Five of the 38
departmental risks are categorised as likely.  The financial risks are monitored
routinely and actions put in place to continue to mitigate the risks.   
5 IMPLICATIONS 
5.1 Policy Outlines the Financial Risks for 2024-25
5.2 Financial  The financial value of each risk is included within the
appendix.   
5.3 Legal  None
5.4 HR  None
5.5 Fairer Scotland Duty  See Below
5.5.1 Equalities None
5.5.2 Socio-Economic Duty None
5.5.3 Islands Duty None
5.6 Climate Change None
5.7 Risk Financial risks are detailed within the appendix.
5.8 Customer Service None 
5.9 The Rights of the Child
(UNCRC)
None

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Kirsty Flanagan
Executive Director/Section 95 Officer
6 February 2024 
Policy Lead for Finance and Commercial Services: Councillor Gary Mulvaney 
APPENDICES
Appendix 1 – Detail of Department/Service financial risks. 
For further information contact Anne Blue, Head of Financial Services
anne.blue@argyll-bute.gov.uk

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APPENDIX 1
DEPARTMENT/SERVICE FINANCIAL RISKS 2024-25
DEPARTMENT SERVICE TITLE OF RISK DESCRIPTION OF RISK MITIGATING ACTIONS IN PLACE
LIKELIHOOD
FINANCIAL
IMPACT
£000
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Commercial Services Catering Costs - Provision of
Meals to Early Years Children
The Children and Young People (Scotland) Act placed duties
on Councils to provide meals in an Early Years setting to
entitled children where sessions span over lunch time.  The
total quantum of grant funding is reducing and may not be
sufficient to fund the additional costs depending on uptake
and the additional costs to support the meal provision in
partner provider settings.
Joint strategy with procurement colleagues to reduce
potential impact of supplier charges.  Control food
wastage/portion controls.
2 100
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Commercial Services Catering Purchases Increased supplier charges and higher than average inflation
on food costs.  In addition to this the Scottish Government
reviewed the regulations that govern the food and drinks
provided in schools and implemented revised regulations. 
The revised standards focus on reducing sugar, reducing red
processed meat and increasing fibre. Thus far, there has
been an increase in costs in produce and a reduction in
demand for school meals.
Joint strategy with procurement colleagues to reduce
potential impact of supplier charges.  Control food
wastage/portion controls; introduction of online ordering
to help manage food waste. Analysis and regular review
of menu choices.
2 100
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Commercial Services Catering - Implementation of
Universal Free School Meals in
Primary Schools for P6 and P7
pupils
The Scottish Government may not give the local authority
adequate funds to support the policy to expand free school
meals in primary schools to include P6 and P7 pupils (the
scheme has already been implemented for P1 to P5 pupils).
Additionally, In 2023-24 Special Schools and Learning Centres
received FSM to S6 Level.  Although expansion paused for full
implementation for P6&7, FSM will be expanded through
entitlement to Scottish Child Payment and will be
implemented in February 2025.
Senior Manager connected into the ASSIST FM Committee
and will continue to ensure the Council's viewpoint will be
considered.
2 100
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Commercial Services Rental Income from Properties Due to current economic climate, there may be reduced
ability to recover rental income from leased properties or
place suitable tenants in properties as leases come to an end.
Management of leasehold properties by Estates team,
any issues with debt recovery being dealt with in line with
Council debt recovery policy.
2 60
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Commercial Services Surplus Properties Ongoing market difficulties lead to increased numbers of
surplus properties, in addition, as Our Modern Workspace
Project gains traction more properties will become surplus to
operational requirements. There are residual running costs
associated with all surplus properties.
One Council property team in place who will monitor
market conditions and work with prospective tenants/
purchasers to let/sell surplus properties.
3 50
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Commercial Services Leisure Service Level
Agreements
Increase in RPI and/or other running costs (eg utilities,
payroll etc) resulting in requests for additional funding.
Monitoring annual alteration to contract RPI rate,
communication with service providers and mitigation
through financial forecasting and review of existing
budget.
3 50
2024-25

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DEPARTMENT SERVICE TITLE OF RISK DESCRIPTION OF RISK MITIGATING ACTIONS IN PLACE
LIKELIHOOD
FINANCIAL
IMPACT
£000
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Council Wide - Commercial
Services
Council Wide Central Repairs Increased demands on central repair budgets (CRA) due to a
decrease in Capital funding, increase in statutory and
emergency repairs and increases in supplier/contractor
charges.  This impacts on all departments of the Council with
a Central Repairs Budget.
Joint strategy with procurement colleagues to reduce
potential impact of supplier/contractor charges. Close
monitoring of central repairs budgets and commitments
and instructing only statutory tests/inspections and
essential repairs.
4 300
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Education ASN Support Demand for ASN support continues to increase. Scottish
Government statistics suggest a 3% year on year increase,
resulting in an additional resource requirement. Particularly
where gaps in our enhanced provision exist. The medium-
term detriments on the development of young children
which occurred as a consequence of service closures during
the COVID pandemic have increased demands on the service
as children require additional support to catch up.  The
Additional Support for Learning National Implementation
plan continues to inform our strategic direction in line with
the Angela Morgan Review.
Service is currently looking at alternative options for
service delivery to mitigate the inescapable pressures.
Continuing to ensure robust assessment of needs,
monthly monitoring of budget, any delays in recruitment
factored into projections to enable informed decision
making on allocation of funding for new/amended
/additional support packages. Following a full ASN review,
the service are currently investing in the development of
four new learning centres in order to provide greater
equity in meeting the more complex needs of some
learners as well as considering plans to develop enhanced
wellbeing resources across our learning estate in future. 
This aims to reduce the frequency of children having to be
educated in high cost out of area placements.
3 200
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Education Pre-Five Units - retention of
partner providers
Failure in the commissioning or retention of pre-five partner
provider units to deliver 1140 hours would result in an
increased pressure on the Council to deliver the service.
Annual financial appraisal; Support network; Short-term
cash injections.
3 100
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Education Legislative Requirements -
Children and Young People
(Scotland) Act - ELC 1140 hours
The Council has been required to deliver 1140 hours of Early
Learning and Childcare since August 2021. The Scottish
Government has committed to funding this and the Council
has revised its service model to align it to the Scottish
Government's reduced funding profile.  A risk remains that
actual costs of delivery exceed the Government Grant in any
given year.  For example, if child numbers are higher than
estimated, this may require additional staffing which has not
been built included in the staffing model funded by Scottish
Government.   Scottish Government has included within
scope for this parliamentary session plans to further expand
on eligibility for 1140 hours to all 2 year olds and some one
year olds. As yet there has been no funding committment.
However this will place unknown cost pressures on both our
capital and revenue budgets
Continuous monitoring and review of the service model,
usage and resources.
3 100

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DEPARTMENT SERVICE TITLE OF RISK DESCRIPTION OF RISK MITIGATING ACTIONS IN PLACE
LIKELIHOOD
FINANCIAL
IMPACT
£000
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Education Legislative Requirements -
Education (Scotland) Act
The Education (Scotland) Act 2000 requires Councils to
undertake assessments of the need for the provision of
Gaelic Medium Primary Education (GMPE) and the duty to
support and promote Gaelic Education. This may lead to
additional staffing requirements depending upon the
demand for Gaelic from parents.
Continuous monitoring and review of the service model
and resources available within budget.
3 50
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Legal and Regulatory
Support
Hub DBDA/DBFM Schools  -
Litigation
Increased risk of the requirement to litigate to conclude final
capital contract payments due.
Monitoring claims and mitigation through robust
challenge of any additional claims.
2 150
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Legal and Regulatory
Support
Contract RPI for NPDO and Hub
Schools
Increase in RPI would result in higher costs. Monitoring annual alteration to contract RPI rate and
mitigation through financial forecasting and review of
existing budget.
4 100
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Legal and Regulatory
Support
NPDO - Reduction in insurance
savings within NPDO Schools
Increase in insurance costs as a result of the long-term
effects of Covid-19 on the insurance market and flood claims.
Monitoring annual alteration to contract insurance rate
and mitigation through financial forecasting and review of
existing budget.
4 75
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Legal and Regulatory
Support
Legal Services - Litigation Increased number of litigation cases. Ensure Legal Services are gateway to access all legal
advice and that advice is sought at earliest opportunity.
3 50
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Legal and Regulatory
Support
NPDO/Hub DBFM contract
management efficiencies
Reduction in ability to generate contract management
efficiencies.
Monitoring annual efficiencies generated and mitigation
through robust contract management and application of
contract specifications / requirements.
2 50
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Legal and Regulatory
Support
Elections More than 1 by-election required outwith standard election
cycle.
Outwith direct management control. 4 60
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Legal and Regulatory
Support
Licensing Reduced numbers of licensing applications leading to
reduced income.
Monitoring of trends and reporting the financial impact in
the budget monitoring.
3 30
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Legal and Regulatory
Support
Children's Panel Increased number of referrals increasing costs through
increases in the running costs.
Maximise the use of council facilities/resources for panel
session in the first instance.
1 10
Executive Director
Douglas Hendry
Legal and Regulatory
Support
Legal Services Failure to minimise Council wide use of external legal advice. Ensure legal services are gateway to access all legal
advice.
1 10
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Customer Support Services Software Licences Potential risk of being under licensed for software which will
be identified via software audits which would incur additional
costs.
ICT security and compliance officer in post and duties
include review of systems to ensure fully licenced. 
2 100
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Customer Support Services Additional Bandwidth for
Education
Additional costs required to be incurred in relation to
additional bandwidth required to deliver the Education
Digital Strategy due to a more digitalised learning curriculum.
Work closely with Education on Digital Devices for All
strategy to ensure necessary IT is in place.
3 50

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DEPARTMENT SERVICE TITLE OF RISK DESCRIPTION OF RISK MITIGATING ACTIONS IN PLACE
LIKELIHOOD
FINANCIAL
IMPACT
£000
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Development and
Economic Growth
Environmental Health- export
certificates
Downturn in requests for export certificates as a result of UK
withdrawal from EU, changes to international trading
agreements or business economy. Reduction in demand
creates a budget pressure on environmental health budget.
Monitor income and resources required for export health
certificates / attestations required to support the export
market. Continue with food safety regulation activities
associated and support at 3rd country audits.  Pursue
debt rigorously with key customers through seeking
regular payments.
2 40
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Development and
Economic Growth
Dangerous Buildings
interventions
Building Standards having to deal with an increasing level of
dangerous building work which has significant financial
implications for Council.
Monitor activity and seek to recover costs from the
owner.
3 100
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Development and
Economic Growth
Planning fees reduced by
Scottish Government
Potential that the Scottish Government may reduce planning
fees due to poor performance by the Planning Authority. The
Scottish Government has recently appointed a national
Planning Performance Champion however the detail of how
this role intends to incentivise improvement/penalise poor
performance at a local authority level remains unclear at this
time
Maintain high levels of performance as articulated by
performance markers detailed in Planning Performance
Framework annual report.
1 100
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Development and
Economic Growth
Planning fee shortfalls Due to downturn in economic / building activity, in particular
renewable energy development and other major
developments could lead to planning fee income shortfalls
leading to revenue budget pressures.
Current income levels are looking more positive, however,
we are dependent on some high value applications
coming in which, if they don't materialise, will impact the
overall position.  Will continue to monitor Development
Management income and expenditure tightly and
investigate further income generation streams.
3 100
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Development and
Economic Growth
Building Warrant fee shortfalls Due to loss of commercial income and downturn in economic
/ building activity, building warrant fee income shortfalls
leading to revenue budget pressures.
Continue to monitor Building Standards income and
expenditure tightly and investigate further income
generation streams.
1 50
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Development and
Economic Growth
Homelessness Temporary
Accommodation Income
Unpredictable number of Homeless applications. Inability to
recover rent.  Increase costs of property maintenance and
tenancy change over.
Provision of Housing Options information and advice
service to minimise number of applicants proceeding to
full homeless application. Implementation of Rapid
Rehousing Plan.
4 150
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Development and
Economic Growth
Animal Health Carrying out livestock seizure to protect welfare of the
animals
Monitor activity and seek to recover costs from the
disposal of the animals.
1 10
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Financial Services Council Tax Debt Collection
Recovery
Recovery of debt becomes more difficult to pursue in the
current economic climate.  This is in relation to historical
debt that has accumulated over many years therefore any
adverse collection rates will impact on the year end debt
provision as opposed to the in-year financial position, hence
no forecast variance has been reported within the current
year.
Robust monitoring of arrangements with debt collection
agency and performance against target collection rates.
3 345

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DEPARTMENT SERVICE TITLE OF RISK DESCRIPTION OF RISK MITIGATING ACTIONS IN PLACE
LIKELIHOOD
FINANCIAL
IMPACT
£000
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Financial Services Housing Benefit Subsidy Loss of Housing Benefit Subsidy due to exceeding LA error
threshold.
Processes in place for handling of claims accurately and
efficiently.
1 125
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Financial Services Sundry Debt Recovery Recovery of debt becomes more difficult to pursue in the
current economic climate. 
Additional staff are being put in place in the Sundry Debt
Team who will work jointly with Legal Services to enhance
the robustness of the Council's debt recovery processes.
3 85
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Roads and Infrastructure
Services
Waste PPP - Indexation Historical payments made towards Waste PPP based on
indexation rates have been challenged by Renewi resulting in
a potential cost to the council.
Conversations are in place between Council and Renewi
with the aim of minimising the potential impact.
3 586
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Roads and Infrastructure
Services
Waste - Compost Like Output
(CLO)
Compost Like Output is an element of waste that has been
heat treated and can only be used for landfill site restoration.
Renewi are currently producing more CLO than we need and
it is building up in our landfill sites - this has been flagged up
as a concern by SEPA and will need to be removed.
Discussions ongoing with Renewi and the Council on steps
forward and what element the council is responsible for.
3 164
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Roads and Infrastructure
Services
Roads Maintenance - Bridges,
Culverts & Sea Defences
Extreme localised weather may result in loss of bridge,
culvert, road or sea defence.
Routine inspections to deal with potential weak areas -
based on a stitch in time repair regime.
3 750
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Roads and Infrastructure
Services
Winter Maintenance Adverse weather conditions which require greater than
budgeted number of gritting runs.
Monitor weather conditions and apply gritting policy to
minimise costs.
3 150
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Roads and Infrastructure
Services
Roads Maintenance - Roads
Network
Adverse weather conditions result in deterioration of the
road network necessitating greater spend on repair of
defects.
Manage maintenance budgets to ensure that spend is
prioritised to deal with safety defects.
3 230
Executive Director
Kirsty Flanagan
Roads and Infrastructure
Services
Car Parking Income Reduced number of visitors to the area and use of council
owned car parks resulting in a reduction in income.
Closely monitor income levels throughout the year,
especially in high visitor seasons.
3 200
38 5,080