Democracy Spraffa

Strategic Risk Assurance Mapping Appendix 1

Argyll and Bute Council · 14 September 2023
Back to Audit and Scrutiny Committee — 14 September 2023 and its agenda

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Page 1

APPENDIX 1: Strategic Risk Assurance Map 
N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of Defence Third Line of Defence  Assessment
1 Population,
External
Infrastructure
and Economic
Decline 
Failure to identify
relevant factors
contributing to the
decline and
failure to develop
strategies and
actions targeting
these factors.
Red
16
 Service planning linked to
Corporate Outcomes and
the A&B Outcome
Improvement Plan (ABOIP)
 Community and multi-
agency links through
Community Planning
Partnership
 Parliamentary forum
 Argyll, Lomond and Islands
Rural Regeneration
Initiative
 Argyll and the Isles
Strategic Tourism
Partnership
 Promotion and marketing of
Argyll & Bute (ABplace2B
campaign)
 Business Gateway Service
focused on helping local
businesses grow
 Council Leader engaging
with leaders of other west
coast councils suffering
population decline 
 Economic Strategy and
Action Plan monitored by
ED&I Committee
 CPP report on the
progress being made
against the outcomes and
vision of the ABOIP and
issue annual reports.
 Monitoring of CPP plan
and performance at CPP
Management Committee.
 Area Community Action
Plans progress reported
to Community Planning
Groups
 ABOIP targets population
and economic recovery
 Performance reports
considered by A&SC,
strategic committees and
area committees 
External Audit
 Best Value Assurance Report (May
2020) highlights Council’s and CPP
partners commitment to a shared
vision and that they recognise the
challenges including the declining
and aging population 
Scrutiny
 Economic Strategy (2019/20) 
Current Actions/Plans
 Rural Growth Deal Outline
Business Cases and Final
Business Cases being worked on
and signing of Full Deal Agreement
is expected in 2023/24.
 Preparation of bid to Levelling Up
Fund bids – once guidance and
deadlines are announced. 
 Settlement Officer in post, focusing
on barriers to people living in
communities, housing and others.
 Preparation of a pipeline of projects
across Argyll and Bute in order to
be able to react to any other bid
funding as and when it is
announced.   
 The council working with HIE will
deliver a new Economic Strategy
for Argyll and Bute together with a
SMART Action Plan aligned with
CPP and Government economic
priorities.
Future
 Planning (2023/24) 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence.

Page 2

N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of Defence Third Line of Defence  Assessment
2 Condition and
suitability of
Infrastructure &
Asset Base 
Infrastructure and
asset base does not
meet current and
future requirements
and is not being used
or managed
efficiently and
effectively.
Amber
12   R&A Control Hub and Joint
Operations Team
 Operational risks
monitored quarterly
 Strategic Asset Mgt Board
 Corporate Asset
Management Strategy and
Corporate Asset
Management Plan
 Service Asset
Management Plans
 Community
Empowerment and
Community Asset
transfer arrangements
in place
 Roads Asset
Management Plan
 One Council Property
Approach
 Routine inspections of
roads infrastructure to
deal with potential weak
areas
 Revised capital
management
procedures 
Future 
 Modern Workspace
Programme to review, and
rationalise property portfolio
for future needs of the
Council.  Changes on
phased and town by town
basis. Programme will be
running for 3 years - April
2024
 D&I  performance
reporting to ED&I
Committee
 Asset Mgt Plans 
reviewed annually by
Council as part of the
budget setting process
 Status and Options
reports to ED&I
Committee
Internal Audit
 Community Empowerment Act
(2018/19 - High)
 Capital Monitoring (2020/21 -
Substantial)
 Management of Property Contracts
(2020/21 - Reasonable)
 Land & Asset Disposal (2021/22 -
Substantial)
 Fixed Asset Register  (2021/22 –
Reasonable) 
Scrutiny
 Roads Maintenance (2018/19)
 Scrutiny – Community Asset
Transfers (2021/22) 
Future
 Piers and Harbours (2023/24) 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence.

Page 3

N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of Defence Third Line of Defence  Assessment
3 Financial
Sustainability 
Insufficient resource
to meet current and
future service
requirement. 
Budget not aligned /
does not support
business outcomes.
Amber
12
 Budget preparation and
monitoring
 Medium term financial
strategy with worst case, mid
case and best case scenario
planning
 Treasury Mgt Policy
 5 year budget outlook 
updated quarterly
 Financial Services  Team
aligned to service delivery
 Regular engagement
between budget holders and
appointed finance contact
 Reserve balances monitored
throughout year 
 Financial monitoring
and financial risk
monitoring to P&R/BCC
Committee
 Budget and budget
working papers
considered by
full Council
 Financial Strategy
reported to P&R
Committee
 5 year budget outlook to
P&R Committee
 Treasury Mgt Annual
Report to P&R
Committee and A&SC
 Joint SMT/Policy Leads
meetings include
discussions around
financial issues
Internal Audit
 Continuous Monitoring
 Financial Planning (2018/19 -
Substantial)
 Capital Monitoring (2020/21 -
Substantial)
 Internal Audit – Fixed Asset Register 
(2021/22 – Reasonable)
 Internal Audit – Management of Debt
and Recovery  (2022/23 –
Reasonable) 
External Audit
 Assessment of financial mgt via
annual audit
 Best Value Assurance Report (May
2020) highlights Council has good
financial planning arrangements in
place but could take steps to
enhance its long-term strategy.
(Strategy revise in 2021)
 Assessment of budget monitoring
arrangements 
Future
 Internal Audit – Financial Ledger 
(2023/24) 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence.
4 Governance and
Leadership 
Governance and
leadership
arrangements are
not conducive to
effective working and
lead to a lack of
Amber
8
 Corporate Governance
Improvement Plan
 Ongoing member
development
 Mentoring and coaching
for SMT
 Leadership
development
programme
 Chief Exec Bilaterals
 Oversight provided by
Audit & Scrutiny
Committee
 Decision making
committees open to
public
 Constitution updated and
approved annually by
Council
 IA reports and follow up
Internal Audit
 Continuous Monitoring
 Organisational Culture (2018/19)
 Performance Mgt (2018/19 - High)
 Member Support (2018/19 -
Substantial)
 Risk Mgt 2018/19 – Substantial)
 Following The Public Pound
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence

Page 4

N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of Defence Third Line of Defence  Assessment
strategic direction.  A&B Manager’s Course
 Established partnership
governance
 Effective internal audit
function
 Scrutiny function
 Performance
Improvement
framework
 Council constitution
 Codes of conduct for
staff and members
 Code of Corporate
Governance and
Annual Action Plan
 Scrutiny framework and
scrutiny plan
 Risk management
embedded
 Policy lead meetings
 Area Committee
Business Days 
to DMT and SMT
 Annual assurance
statements
 Fortnightly DMTs –
weekly ELT and monthly
SMTs
(2019/20 - Reasonable)
 Annual self-assessment of PSIAS –
external peer review every 5 years
 Formal Induction of new Audit and
Scrutiny Committee Members 2022 
External Audit
 Ongoing independent assurance
reported in AAR
 Best Value Assurance Report (May
2020) recognises improvements in
relationships between members and
senior officers and more
constructive and focused decision
making 
Future
 Risk Management (2023/24) 
5 Engagement and
Understanding the
needs of the
Community 
The Council fails to
understand service
user needs and
emerging
demographic trends
and does not align
service delivery to
meet these.
Amber
9
 Annual budget
consultation
 Complaints process
 Community
Engagement Strategy
 Customer Service
Board
 Various user
feedback (i.e.
Refugee
Resettlement,
commissioned
services, community
council surveys)
 Parental
engagement strategy
 Outreach service
 Democracy matters
 Community Planning
Partnership
 Service Committees
 Area Committees
 DMT and SMT 
Internal Audit
 Community Empowerment Act
(2018/19 - High)
 Complaints Handling (2021/22 –
High)
 Customer Service Centre (2022/23 –
High) 
Other Agencies
 Education Scotland and Care
Inspectorate seek views of service
users 
External Audit
 Best Value Assurance Report (May
2020) highlights that Council has 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence

Page 5

N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of Defence Third Line of Defence  Assessment
consultation
 Development Mgt
user forums 
made good progress with the
Community Empowerment Act, and
regular monitoring in relation to all
other outstanding issues have been
closed after regular and detailed
report to the Audit and Scrutiny
Committee until June 2023.
Scrutiny
 Scrutiny – Community Asset
Transfers (2021/22)
 Scrutiny – Community Engagement
(2022/23)
Future
 A working group has been
established to review our approach
to Community Engagement and to
develop a Framework. The group
has developed a terms of reference
and is in the process of carrying out
a self-assessment to identify
strengths and areas for
improvement. (2023/24) 
6 Service Delivery 
Insufficient resources
to ensure effective
service delivery
Green
6
 Performance Improvement
Framework
 Rolling out programme of
service self-assessment
 Service improvement plans
 Workforce planning
 Complaints process
 Use of LGBF
 Strategic Plans with
Success Measures aligned
to Business Outcomes
 Performance Improvement
Officers 
 Performance reporting to
A&SC, Service
Committees and Area
Committees
 LGBF Review to A&SC,
Service Committees and
Area Committees
 Self-Assessments reported
to SMT and A&SC 
Internal Audit
 Performance Mgt (2018/19 - High)
 Complaints Handling (2021/22 –
High)
 IA annual plan is risk based but also
designed to provide annual
coverage of all Heads of Service 
External Audit
 Best Value Assurance Report (May
2020) highlights that there is limited
evidence of the Council using
performance information to drive
improvement and that Council’s
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence however
BV report has
highlighted
performance
management as
an area for
improvement –
there is an
ongoing project
to review the
Council’s PM
framework

Page 6

N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of Defence Third Line of Defence  Assessment
performance reporting makes it
difficult to conclude what progress
has been made against its six
corporate outcomes 
Future
 Review of Council’s Performance
Mgt Framework being carried out by
CE Unit and implementation of
scheduled reviews.
 Internal Audit review of Human
Resources (2023/24)
7 Health and Social
Care Partnership 
Failure of the HSCP
to deliver on its
Strategic Priorities
results in
deteriorating health
and wellbeing
outcomes for the
population and / or
reduced access to
appropriate health
and social care
services. This could
also result in
financial and
reputational risk to
the Council.
Amber
12
 Strategic Plan
 Integration Scheme
 IJB has elected member
representation including
Council Leader
 Elected member
representation on IJB Audit
Committee (inc Vice Chair)
 Council’s CIA regularly
attends IJB Audit and Risk
Committee
 Regular engagement
between Council CFO and
HSCP CFO 
 Performance and
financial monitoring and
reporting in place and
reported to IJB Board
 HSCP Chief Officer sits
on Council’s ELT 
Internal Audit
 The IJB has their own IA function
provided by the Council’s IA function
(Contract started 1 April 2021)
 Council’s IA function also provide
assurance over social work services
on an annual basis 
 Internal Audit -  Charging for Non-
Residential Services (2020/21 –
Substantial)
 Child Protective Services (2021/22 -
Substantial)
 Care Programme Approach
(2021/22 - Limited)
 Complaints handling  (2021/22 -
Limited)
 Workforce Planning (2021/22 -
Reasonable)
 Client Funds (2022/23 – Limited) 
External Audit
 IJB’s external auditors are Mazars. 
Future Internal Audits
 Learning and physical Disabilities
Care Packages (2023/24)
 Client Funds (2023/24)
 SSSC Registration (2023/24)
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence

Page 7

N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of Defence Third Line of Defence  Assessment
8 Civil Contingency &
Business continuity 
Arrangements are
not effective.
Green
6
 Critical activity recovery
plans
 Emergency planning test
events
 West of Scotland local
resilience partnership
 Community resilience
plans
 EU withdrawal tactical
group 
 Emergency Mgt Support
Team
 EU tactical group progress
reported to SMT
Internal Audit
 Business Continuity (2019/20 -
Reasonable)
 Internal Audit -  Disaster Recovery
Planning (2020/21 - Limited)
 Internal Audit – Civil Contingencies
(2021/22- Substantial) 
Moderate third
level of defence
assurance at
current time. A
project has
commenced to
review business
continuity
processes,
covering critical
activities and
testing of
CARPS. 
This is an area
that will merit a
follow up audit in
the medium term
future. 
However
assurance can be
taken from the
Council’s
response to
COVID which
was fast paced
and has proven
to be effective. 
9 Welfare Reform 
Implementation of
welfare reform is not
managed well
resulting in increased
poverty and
deprivation or short
term crisis
Green
6
 Welfare Reform Working
Group (WRWG)
 Joint working with DWP and
CPP
 Rent aligned with local
Housing Allowance to
increase affordability. 
 WRWG report to SMT
 SMT monitor of risk and
consider high and medium
hardship cases
 Anti-poverty strategy
approved by Council
 Child poverty action
planning monitored by
WRWG
Internal Audit
 HB & CTR (2018/109 – Substantial)
 Internal Audit -  Scottish Welfare
Fund (2020/21 - Substantial)
 Internal Audit -  Welfare Rights
(2020/21 - Substantial) 
Future
Internal Audit – Stretch Aims –
closure of poverty related attainment
gap (2023/24)
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence

Page 8

N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of Defence Third Line of Defence  Assessment
10 Waste Management 
Unable to dispose of
waste in landfill sites
due to the
implications of the
biodegradable
municipal waste
(BMW) landfill ban in
2021
Red
16
 Council rolling out new
waste strategy
 Using education and
publicity to increase
recycling 
 Performance reporting
to EDI Committee
 Progress monitoring by
DMT and SMT 
Internal Audit
 Waste Mgt (2018/19 - Limited) 
Scrutiny
 Waste Mgt Strategy (2020/21) - On
27 April 2021 the Head of Roads
and Infrastructure Services provided
a presentation to the A&SC
regarding the Council’s Waste
Strategy followed by a question and
answer session. Following the
presentation the A&SC members
agreed they were assured that
appropriate progress was being
made in relation to the Council’s
waste strategy and that inclusion of
a specific scrutiny topic focusing on
the Strategy would not add value at
this time.
 A briefing note was requested by
the A&SC in June 2022 relating to
Waste Mgt and was presented by
the HoS in September 22. 
Assurances over
this risk are
currently
moderate due to
the Council’s
Waste Strategy
being in its
infancy and the
full impact of the
BMW ban still to
be realised.
However full
implementation is
not till 2025. The
A&SC
determined they
are content that
progress is
reported to the
EDI Committee
and that the
A&SC will
maintain a
watching brief.
11 Service Delivery -
Cyber Security 
Unable to deliver
services to
customers because
of  failure of ICT
systems following
major cyber security
breach
Red
15
 ICT Security & compliance
officer in post, producing
weekly threat analysis.
 Regular patching regimes
in place
 ICT Disaster recovery
plans tested regularly
 Critical activities have
recovery plans developed
(CARP’s) 
 Progress monitoring by
DMT and SMT 
Internal Audit
 Business Continuity (2019/20 -
Reasonable)
 Disaster Recovery Planning
(2020/21 - Limited)
 Internal Audit – Cyber Security
(2022/23 - Substantial) 
Other Agencies
 PSN and Cyber Essentials Plus
accreditations for corporate network
(doesn’t cover education network) 
Future
 Cloud Based Services (2023/24) 
Moderate third
level of defence
assurance at
current time. A
project has
commenced to
review business
continuity
processes,
covering critical
activities and
review/testing of
CARPS. 
This is an area
that will merit a
follow up audit in
the medium term

Page 9

N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of Defence Third Line of Defence  Assessment 
future. 
12 Cost of Living
Crisis 
The Council are
unable to respond to
the implications
arising from the 'Cost
of Living' crisis.
Amber
12
 Financial stability and
support to HSCP.
 Social Welfare and
Poverty Funding
assistance.
 Focused support and
multi-agency approach
where risk is highlighted.
 Monitoring of trends in
service use to highlight
any significant change as
a result of financial
hardship
 Targeted measures - for
example to those receiving
Council Tax reductions -
via Gift Cards and Flexible
Food and Fuel Fund. 
 Progress monitoring by
DMT and SMT  Other Agencies
 Focused support and multi-agency
approach where risk is highlighted 
Future Actions
 Extend flexible food and fuel fund to
March 2025, apply to Scottish
Government for funding to expand
the service provision to include
outreach, September 2023. 
Limited third tier
assurance but
significant
evidence of pro-
active measures
and support. 
However
assurance can be
taken from the
Council’s
response to
COVID which
was fast paced
and has proven
to be effective.
13 Impact of Climate
Change 
The Council or
communities are
overwhelmed by
severe or more
frequent flooding,
landslides, rainfall,
storms, sea level
changes or hot
weather events due
to changes in global
temperature caused
by climate change.
Amber
12
 Continued delivery of
Council De-Carbonization
Plan
 Civil Contingencies
Manager liaising/
collaborating with Regional
Resilience Partnerships
and other resilience
partners in terms of storm
event, hot weather events,
cut off communities,
landslides etc.
 Development and delivery
of an integrated approach
to decarbonisation and
adaptation of Argyll and
Bute as a Region via
 Progress monitoring by
DMT and SMT  Internal Audit
 Climate Change Act (2021/22 - High)
 Internal Audit – Civil Contingencies
(2021/22- Substantial) 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence

Page 10

N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of Defence Third Line of Defence  Assessment
Community Planning
Partnership.
 Roads & Amenity Services
continue to develop asset
management plan and
address strategic risks in
terms of rising sea levels,
bridge repairs, critical
infrastructure vulnerability. 
14 Lack of Housing
Availability 
The Council, partner
agencies and
communities are
unable to attract and
retain working age
people due to lack of
housing and pricing.
Red
20
 Council has declared a
Housing Emergency
 Housing Strategy and
Investment Plan funded
and implemented/new
housing delivery group
established.
 Islands Programme Award
of Funding for
infrastructure for worker
accommodation on Mull -
this is for phase 1 site
infrastructure to enable
delivery of accommodation
for workers and will meet
clearly evidenced
community need.
 Progress monitoring by
DMT and SMT 
Future
 Housing summit in collaboration with
housing delivery partners scheduled
for October/November 2023.
 Updating of the Local Housing
Strategy to reflect current issues –
December 2023.
Limited third level
of defence
assurance at
current time as it
is a new item on
the Strategic Risk
Register.
However, pro-
active work is
planned with
partner agencies
and review of the
Housing
Strategy.