Democracy Spraffa

Strategic Risk Assurance Mapping Appendix 1

Argyll and Bute Council · 5 September 2024
Back to Audit and Scrutiny Committee — 5 September 2024 and its agenda

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Page 1

APPENDIX 1: Strategic Risk Assurance Map 
N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of
Defence
Third Line of Defence  Assessment
1 Population,
External
Infrastructure
and Economic
Decline 
Failure to identify
relevant factors
contributing to the
decline and
failure to develop
strategies and
actions targeting
these factors.
Red
16
• Service planning linked
to Corporate Outcomes
and the A&B Outcome
Improvement Plan
(ABOIP)
• Community and multi-
agency links through
Community Planning
Partnership
• Parliamentary forum
• Argyll, Lomond and
Islands Rural
Regeneration Initiative
• Argyll and the Isles
Strategic Tourism
Partnership
• Promotion and
marketing of Argyll &
Bute (ABplace2B
campaign)
• Business Gateway
Service focused on
helping local
businesses grow
• Council Leader
engaging with leaders
of other west coast
councils suffering
population decline 
• Economic
Strategy and
Action Plan
monitored by
ED&I Committee
• CPP report on the
progress being
made against the
outcomes and
vision of the
ABOIP and issue
annual reports.
• Monitoring of CPP
plan and
performance at
CPP Management
Committee.
• Area Community
Action Plans
progress reported
to Community
Planning Groups
• ABOIP targets
population and
economic
recovery
• Performance
reports
considered by
A&SC, strategic
committees and
area committees 
External Audit
• Best Value Assurance
Report (May 2020)
highlights Council’s and
CPP partners commitment
to a shared vision and that
they recognise the
challenges including the
declining and aging
population 
Internal Audit
• Planning 
(2023/24 – (Substantial) 
Scrutiny
• Economic Strategy
(2019/20) 
Future
• Rural Growth Deal
Outline Business Cases
and Final Business Cases
being worked on and
signing of Full Deal
Agreement is expected in
September 2024
• UK Shared Prosperity
Funding Investment Plan
is being actioned as per
plan.  
• Multi-agency approach to
refugee settlement
underway linking with
national processes and
agendas..
• The council will continue
as a partner of the
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence.

Page 2

Highlands and Islands
Regional Economic
Partnership and lobby for
Government investment
to realise economic
opportunity and address
barriers to future
sustainable growth. 
• Internal Audit 
Community Education
(2024/25)
• Short Term Lets (2024/25) 
2 Condition and
suitability of
Infrastructure &
Asset Base 
Infrastructure and
asset base does not
meet current and
future requirements
and is not being used
or managed
efficiently and
effectively.
Amber
12
• R&A Control Hub and
Joint Operations Team
• Operational risks
monitored quarterly
• Strategic Asset Mgt
Board
• Corporate Asset
Management Strategy
and Corporate Asset
Management Plan
• Service Asset
Management Plans
• Community
Empowerment and
Community Asset
transfer
arrangements in
place
• Roads Asset
Management Plan
• One Council
Property Approach
• Routine inspections
of roads
infrastructure to
deal with potential
weak areas
• Revised capital
management
procedures 
Future
• D&I  performance
reporting to ED&I
Committee
• Asset Mgt Plans 
reviewed annually
by Council as part
of the budget
setting process
• Status and
Options reports to
ED&I Committee
Internal Audit
• Community Empowerment
Act (2018/19 - High)
• Capital Monitoring
(2020/21 - Substantial)
• Management of Property
Contracts (2020/21 -
Reasonable)
• Land & Asset Disposal
(2021/22 - Substantial)
• Internal Audit – Fixed Asset
Register  (2021/22) –
Reasonable)
• Piers and Harbours
(2023/24 – Reasonable) 
Scrutiny
• Roads Maintenance
(2018/19)
• Scrutiny – Community Asset
Transfers (2021/22) 
Future
• Leasing - Estates
(2024/25)
• Asbestos Management
(2024/25
• Roads and Flood
Prevention (2024/25)
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence.

Page 3

• Modern Workspace
Programme to review,
and rationalise property
portfolio for future needs
of the Council.  Changes
on phased and town by
town basis. Programme
will be running for 3
years - April 2024
• Bridges Asset
Management Plan and
Inspection Regime
(2024/25) 
3 Financial
Sustainability 
Insufficient resource
to meet current and
future service
requirement. 
Budget not aligned /
does not support
business outcomes.
Amber
12
• Budget preparation and
monitoring
• Medium term financial
strategy with worst case,
mid case and best case
scenario planning
• Treasury Mgt Policy
• 5 year budget outlook 
updated quarterly
• Financial Services 
Team aligned to service
delivery
• Regular engagement
between budget holders
and appointed finance
contact
• Reserve balances
monitored throughout
year 
• Financial
monitoring and
financial risk
monitoring to
P&R/BCC
Committee
• Budget and
budget working
papers
considered by
full Council
• Financial Strategy
reported to P&R
Committee
• 5 year budget
outlook to P&R
Committee
• Treasury Mgt
Annual Report to
P&R Committee
and A&SC
• Joint SMT/Policy
Leads meetings
include
discussions
around financial
issues
Internal Audit
• Continuous Monitoring
• Financial Planning
(2018/19 - Substantial)
• Capital Monitoring
(2020/21 - Substantial)
• Internal Audit – Fixed Asset
Register  (2021/22) –
Reasonable)
• Internal Audit –
Management of Debt and
Recovery  (2022/23) –
Reasonable
• Internal Audit – Financial
Ledger  (2023/24-
Substantial) 
External Audit
• Assessment of financial
mgt via annual audit
• Best Value Assurance
Report (May 2020)
highlights Council has
good financial planning
arrangements in place but
could take steps to
enhance its long-term
strategy. (Strategy revise
in 2021)
• Assessment of budget
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence.

Page 4

monitoring arrangements 
Future
• Internal Audit – NDR 
(2024/25)
• Rural Growth Deal Outline
Business Cases and Final
Business Cases being
worked on and signing of
Full Deal Agreement is
expected September
2024.
• Consider the implications
and opportunities from the
Visitor Levy (Scotland) Bill
which could generate
additional income from
2026/27. 
4 Governance and
Leadership 
Governance and
leadership
arrangements are
not conducive to
effective working and
lead to a lack of
strategic direction.
Amber
8
• Corporate
Governance
Improvement Plan
• Ongoing member
development
• Mentoring and
coaching for SMT
• Leadership
development
programme
• Chief Exec
Bilaterals
• A&B Manager’s
Course
• Established
partnership
governance
• Effective internal
audit function
• Scrutiny function
• Performance
Improvement
framework
• Council constitution
• Oversight
provided by Audit
& Scrutiny
Committee
• Decision making
committees open
to public
• Constitution
updated and
approved
annually by
Council
• IA reports and
follow up to DMT
and SMT
• Annual assurance
statements
• Fortnightly DMTs
– weekly ELT and
monthly SMTs
Internal Audit
• Continuous Monitoring
• Organisational Culture
(2018/19)
• Performance Mgt (2018/19
- High)
• Member Support (2018/19
- Substantial)
• Risk Mgt 2018/19 –
Substantial)
• Following The Public
Pound (2019/20 -
Reasonable)
• Annual self-assessment of
PSIAS – external peer
review every 5 years
• Formal Induction of new
Audit and Scrutiny
Committee Members 2022
• Risk Management (2023/24
- Substantial) 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence

Page 5

• Codes of conduct
for staff and
members
• Code of Corporate
Governance and
Annual Action Plan
• Scrutiny framework
and scrutiny plan
• Risk management
embedded
• Policy lead
meetings
• Area Committee
Business Days 
External Audit
• Ongoing independent
assurance reported in
AAR
• Best Value Assurance
Report (May 2020)
recognises improvements
in relationships between
members and senior
officers and more
constructive and focused
decision making 
Future
• Scheduled reviews of Risk
Management every two to
three years.
• Connect for Success
priorities now form the
basis of new corporate
improvements and are
being delivered.
• Review of governance
arrangements being
undertaken with new 
administration  to consider 
ongoing suitability of
arrangements. 
5 Engagement and
Understanding the
needs of the
Community 
The Council fails to
understand service
user needs and
emerging
demographic trends
and does not align
service delivery to
meet these.
Amber
9
• Annual budget
consultation
• Complaints process
• Community
Engagement
Strategy
• Customer
Service Board
• Various user
feedback (i.e.
Refugee
Resettlement,
commissioned
• Community
Planning
Partnership
• Service
Committees
• Area Committees
• DMT and SMT 
Internal Audit
• Community Empowerment
Act (2018/19 - High)
• Complaints Handling
(2021/22 – High)
• Customer Service Centre
(2022/23 – High) 
Other Agencies
• Education Scotland and
Care Inspectorate seek
views of service users 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence

Page 6

services,
community
council surveys)
• Parental
engagement
strategy
• Outreach service
• Democracy
matters
consultation
• Development Mgt
user forums 
External Audit
• Best Value Assurance
Report (May 2020)
highlights that Council has
made good progress with
the Community
Empowerment Act, and
regular monitoring in
relation to all other
outstanding issues have
been closed after regular
and detailed report to the
Audit and Scrutiny
Committee until June
2023.
Scrutiny
• Scrutiny – Community Asset
Transfers (2021/22)
• Scrutiny – Community
Engagement (2022/23)
Future
• A cross service working
group has been
developing a community
engagement framework,
based on self-assessment,
best practice, and
employee consultation.
The outcomes have been
agreed by ELT and the
framework is scheduled to
be approved by P&R on 5
December 2024. (2024/25)

Page 7

6 Service Delivery 
Insufficient resources
to ensure effective
service delivery
Amber
12
• Performance
Improvement
Framework
• Rolling out programme
of service self-
assessment
• Service improvement
plans
• Workforce planning
• Complaints process
• Use of LGBF
• Strategic  Plans with
Success Measures
aligned to Business
Outcomes
• Performance
Improvement Officers 
• Performance
reporting to A&SC,
Service
Committees and
Area Committees
• LGBF Review to
A&SC, Service
Committees and
Area Committees
• Self-Assessments
reported to SMT
and A&SC 
Internal Audit
• Performance Mgt (2018/19
- High)
• Complaints Handling
(2021/22 – High)
• IA annual plan is risk
based but also designed to
provide annual coverage
of all Heads of Service
• Internal Audit review of
Human Resources
(2023/24 – Substantial) 
External Audit
• Best Value Assurance
Report (May 2020)
highlights that there is
limited evidence of the
Council using performance
information to drive
improvement and that
Council’s performance
reporting makes it difficult
to conclude what progress
has been made against its
six corporate outcomes.
This has now been fully
addressed by the Council
and a final report was
presented to the Audit and
Scrutiny Committee in
March 2023 and all actions
signed off as complete. 
Future
• Review of Council’s
Performance Mgt
Framework being carried
out by Customer Support
Services and
implementation of
scheduled reviews. 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence.

Page 8

7 Health and Social
Care Partnership 
Failure of the HSCP
to deliver on its
Strategic Priorities
results in
deteriorating health
and wellbeing
outcomes for the
population and / or
reduced access to
appropriate health
and social care
services. This could
also result in
financial and
reputational risk to
the Council.
Amber
12
• Strategic Plan
• Integration Scheme
• IJB has elected
member representation
including Council
Leader
• Elected member
representation on IJB
Audit Committee (inc
Vice Chair)
• Council’s CIA regularly
attends IJB Audit
Committee
• Regular engagement
between Council CFO
and HSCP CFO 
• Performance and
financial
monitoring and
reporting in place
and reported to
IJB Board
• HSCP Chief
Officer sits on
Council’s ELT 
Internal Audit
• The IJB has their own IA
function provided by the
Council’s IA function
(Contract started 1 April
2021)
• Council’s IA function also
provide assurance over 
social work services on an
annual basis 
• Internal Audit -  Charging
for Non-Residential
Services (2020/21 –
Substantial)
• Child Protective Services
(2021/22)
• Care Programme
Approach (2021/22)
• Complaints handling 
(2021/22 - Limited)
• Workforce Planning
(2021/22)
• Client Funds (2022/23 –
Limited)
• Learning and physical
Disabilities Care Packages
(2023/24 - Substantial)
• Client Funds (2023/24 -
Reasonable)
• SSSC Registration (2023/24
- Substantial) 
External Audit
• IJB’s external auditors are
Mazars. 
Future Internal Audits
• External Placements
(2024/25)
• Eclipse System Post
Implementation (2024/25) 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence

Page 9

8 Civil Contingency &
Business continuity
arrangements are
not effective.
Green
6
• Critical activity
recovery plans
• Emergency planning
test events
• West of Scotland local
resilience partnership
• Community resilience
plans
• EU withdrawal tactical
group 
• Emergency Mgt
Support Team
• EU tactical group
progress reported
to SMT
Internal Audit
• Business Continuity
(2019/20 - Reasonable)
• Internal Audit -  Disaster
Recovery Planning
(2020/21 - Limited)
• Internal Audit – Civil
Contingencies (2021/22-
Substantial)
Future
• The new BCM system has
been procured and
configured and a pilot
project to test the system
and the process is
underway with 3 service
areas, Procurement,
Customer Engagement
and Transformation
Management and
Residential (Care Home
Services). Once the
outputs form the pilot have
been reviewed and the
system goes live, all
services will be required to
complete a Business
Impact Analysis, which will
inform the basis for having
a business continuity plan
in place. This is expected
to be completed by 31
March 2025. 
Moderate third
level of defence
assurance at
current time. A
project has
commenced to
review business
continuity
processes,
covering critical
activities and
testing of
CARPS. 
This is an area
that will merit a
follow up audit in
the medium term
future. 
However
assurance can be
taken from the
Council’s
response to
COVID which
was fast paced
and has proven
to be effective. 
9 Waste Management 
Unable to dispose of
waste in landfill sites
due to the
implications of the
biodegradable
municipal waste
(BMW) landfill ban in
2021
Red
16
• Council rolling out new
waste strategy
• Using education and
publicity to increase
recycling 
• Performance
reporting to EDI
Committee
• Progress
monitoring by
DMT and SMT 
Internal Audit
• Waste Mgt (2018/19 -
Limited) 
Scrutiny
• Waste Mgt Strategy
(2020/21) - On 27 April
2021 the Head of Roads
and Infrastructure Services
provided a presentation to
Assurances over
this risk are
currently
moderate due to
the Council’s
Waste Strategy
being in its
infancy and the
full impact of the
BMW ban still to

Page 10

the A&SC regarding the
Council’s Waste Strategy
followed by a question and
answer session. Following
the presentation the A&SC
members agreed they
were assured that
appropriate progress was
being made in relation to
the Council’s waste
strategy and that inclusion
of a specific scrutiny topic
focusing on the Strategy
would not add value at this
time.
• A briefing note was
requested by the A&SC in
June 2022 relating to
Waste Mgt and was
presented by the HoS in
September 2022.
• A briefing and update
report was presented to
the A&SC in December
2023 by the HoS. 
Future
• Confirmation received
from the Scottish
Government that £1.5m
has been made available
to support the compliance
with the BMW Ban. 
• Ongoing workshop
sessions to scope out and
design future disposal
models across all the
council area. These
models to be in place from
01/01/2026 in line with the
BMW requirements. 
be realised,
although now, in
part mitigated by
additional
funding. 
However full
implementation is
not till 2026. The
A&SC
determined they
are content that
progress is
reported to the
EDI Committee
and that the
A&SC will
maintain a
watching brief.

Page 11

10 Service Delivery -
Cyber Security 
Unable to deliver
services to
customers because
of  failure of ICT
systems following
major cyber security
breach
Red
15
• ICT Security &
compliance officer in
post, producing weekly
threat analysis.
• Regular patching
regimes in place
• ICT Disaster recovery
plans tested regularly
• Critical activities have
recovery plans
developed (CARP’s) 
• Progress
monitoring by
DMT and SMT 
Internal Audit
• Business Continuity
(2019/20 - Reasonable)
• Disaster Recovery
Planning (2020/21 -
Limited)
• Internal Audit – Cyber
Security (2022/23 -
Substantial)
• Cloud Based Services
(2023/24 - Substantial) 
Other Agencies 
• PSN and Cyber Essentials
Plus accreditations for
corporate network (doesn’t
cover education network) 
Future
• Internal Audit – Data
Security and Information
Security (2024/25)
• IT Risk register and
Mitigation Processes
(2024/25) 
Moderate third
level of defence
assurance at
current time. A
project has
commenced to
review business
continuity
processes,
covering critical
activities and
review/testing of
CARPS. 
This is an area
that will merit a
follow up audit in
the medium term
future. 
11 Cost of Living
Crisis 
The Council are
unable to respond to
the implications
arising from the 'Cost
of Living' crisis 
Implementation of
welfare reform is not
managed well
resulting in increased
poverty and
deprivation or short
Amber
12
• Financial stability and
support to HSCP.
• Social Welfare and
Poverty Funding
assistance.
• Focused support and
multi-agency approach
where risk is
highlighted.
• Monitoring of trends in
service use to high
light any significant
change as a result of
financial hardship
• Targeted measures -
for example to those
• Progress monitoring
by DMT and SMT
• WRWG report to
SMT
• SMT monitor of risk
and consider high
and medium
hardship cases
• Anti-poverty strategy
approved by Council
• Child poverty action
planning monitored
by WRWG 
Internal Audit 
• HB & CTR (2018/109 –
Substantial)
• Internal Audit -  Scottish
Welfare Fund (2020/21 -
Substantial)
• Internal Audit -  Welfare
Rights (2020/21 -
Substantial) 
Other Agencies
• Focused support and
multi-agency approach
where risk is highlighted
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
assurance in
respect of welfare
reform. 
However, Limited
third tier
assurance in
respect of ‘Cost
of Living Crisis
but significant
evidence of pro-
active measures
and support.

Page 12

term crisis. receiving Council Tax
reductions - via Gift
Cards and Flexible
Food and Fuel Fund.
• Financial Inclusion and
Advice Group
established.
• Joint working with
DWP, CPP and other
agencies.
• Flexible Food Fund
created. Supporting
householders in our
area with funds and
advice to address food
and fuel insecurities.
• Child Poverty Planning
Group set up and
active. 
Future Actions
• Extend flexible food and
fuel fund to March 2025.
• Supporting the Poverty
Alliance in their Tackling
Rural Poverty project,
observing its progress and
considering outcomes as
they emerge. 
• Preloved School Clothing
Bank operating across
Argyll and Bute. 
However
assurance can be
taken from the
Council’s
response to
COVID which
was fast paced
and has proven
to be effective.
12 Impact of Climate
Change 
The Council or
communities are
overwhelmed by
severe or more
frequent flooding,
landslides, rainfall,
storms, sea level
changes or hot
weather events due
to changes in global
temperature caused
by climate change.
Amber
12
• Continued delivery of
Council De-
Carbonization Plan
• Civil Contingencies
Manager liaising/
collaborating with
Regional Resilience
Partnerships and other
resilience partners in
terms of storm event,
hot weather events, cut
off communities,
landslides etc.
• Development and
delivery of an
integrated approach to
decarbonisation and
adaptation of Argyll
and Bute as a Region
via Community
Planning Partnership.
• Roads & Amenity
Services continue to
develop asset
management plan and
• Progress monitoring
by DMT and SMT 
Internal Audit
• Climate Change Act
(2021/22 - High)
• Internal Audit – Civil
Contingencies (2021/22-
Substantial) 
Future Actions
• Review of De-Carbonisation
Plan December 2024.
• Review scoring of business
cases and pipeline of
strategic projects with
enhanced climate change
considerations. 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
defence

Page 13

address strategic risks
in terms of rising sea
levels, bridge repairs,
and critical
infrastructure
vulnerability. 
13 Lack of Housing
Availability 
The Council, partner
agencies and
communities are
unable to attract and
retain working age
people due to lack of
housing and pricing
Red
20
• Council has declared a
Housing Emergency
• Housing Strategy and
Investment Plan
funded and
implemented/new
housing delivery group
established.
• Islands Programme
Award of Funding for
infrastructure for
worker accommodation
on Mull - this is for
phase 1 site
infrastructure to enable
delivery of
accommodation for
workers and will meet
clearly evidenced
community need.
• Progress monitoring
by DMT and SMT 
Future
• Housing summit held in
November and Action Plan
being continually
monitored/updated.
• Updates to the Local
Housing Strategy will
reflect the Council's
Housing Action Plan and
will be reported to Council
in November 2024. 
Limited third level
of defence
assurance at
current time as it
is a new item on
the Strategic Risk
Register.
However, pro-
active work is
planned with
partner agencies
and review of the
Housing
Strategy.