Democracy Spraffa

Strategic Risk Assurance Mapping Appendix 1

Argyll and Bute Council · 4 September 2025
Back to Audit and Scrutiny Committee — 4 September 2025 and its agenda

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Page 1

APPENDIX 1: Strategic Risk Assurance Map 
N
o
Risk Risk
Score 
First Line of Defence  Second Line of
Defence
Third Line of Defence  Assessment
1 Population,
External
Infrastructure
and Economic
Decline 
Failure to identify
relevant factors
contributing to the
decline and
failure to develop
strategies and
actions targeting
these factors.
Red
16
• Service planning linked
to Corporate Outcomes
and the A&B Outcome
Improvement Plan
(ABOIP)
• Community and multi-
agency links through
Community Planning
Partnership
• Parliamentary forum
• Argyll, Lomond and
Islands Rural
Regeneration Initiative
• Argyll and the Isles
Strategic Tourism
Partnership
• Promotion and
marketing of Argyll &
Bute (ABplace2B
campaign)
• Business Gateway
Service focused on
helping local
businesses grow
• Council Leader
engaging with leaders
of other west coast
councils suffering
population decline 
• Economic
Strategy and
Action Plan
monitored by
ED&I Committee
• CPP report on the
progress being
made against the
outcomes and
vision of the
ABOIP and issue
annual reports.
• Monitoring of CPP
plan and
performance at
CPP Management
Committee.
• Area Community
Action Plans
progress reported
to Community
Planning Groups
• ABOIP targets
population and
economic
recovery
• Performance
reports
considered by
A&SC, strategic
committees and
area committees 
External Audit
• Best Value Assurance
Report (May 2020)
highlights Council’s and
CPP partners’ commitment
to a shared vision and that
they recognise the
challenges including the
declining and aging
population 
Internal Audit
• Planning 
(2023/24 – Substantial)
• Community Education
(2024/25 – High)
• Short Term Lets (2024/25 –
Substantial)
• Oban Airport (2024/25 –
High) 
Scrutiny
• Economic Strategy
(2019/20) 
Future
• Delivery of the Rural
Growth Deal 
• UK Shared Prosperity
Funding Investment Plan
is being actioned as per
plan.  
• Multi-agency approach to
refugee settlement
underway linking with
national processes and
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines.

Page 2

agendas.
• The council will continue
as a partner of the
Highlands and Islands
Regional Economic
Partnership and lobby for
Government investment
to realise economic
opportunity and address
barriers to future
sustainable growth. 
• Internal Audit 
Rural Growth Deal
(2025/25) 
2 Condition and
suitability of
Infrastructure &
Asset Base 
Infrastructure and
asset base does not
meet current and
future requirements
and is not being used
or managed
efficiently and
effectively.
Amber
12  • R&A Control Hub and
Joint Operations Team
• Operational risks
monitored quarterly
• Strategic Asset Mgt
Board
• Corporate Asset
Management Strategy
and Corporate Asset
Management Plan
• Service Asset
Management Plans
• Community
Empowerment and
Community Asset
transfer
arrangements in
place
• Roads Asset
Management Plan
• One Council
Property Approach
• Routine inspections
of roads
infrastructure to
deal with potential
weak areas
• Revised capital
management
• D&I  performance
reporting to ED&I
Committee
• Asset Mgt Plans 
reviewed annually
by Council as part
of the budget
setting process
• Status and
Options reports to
ED&I Committee
Internal Audit
• Community Empowerment
Act (2018/19 – High)
• Capital Monitoring
(2020/21 – Substantial)
• Management of Property
Contracts (2020/21 –
Reasonable)
• Land & Asset Disposal
(2021/22 – Substantial)
• Internal Audit – Fixed Asset
Register (2021/22 –
Reasonable)
• Piers and Harbours
(2023/24 – Reasonable)
• Leasing - Estates (2024/25
– Substantial)
• Asbestos Management
(2024/25 – Reasonable)
• Bridges Asset Management
Plan and Inspection Regime
(2024/25 – Reasonable) 
Scrutiny
• Roads Maintenance
(2018/19)
• Scrutiny – Community Asset
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines.

Page 3

procedures 
Future 
• Modern Workspace
Programme to review
and rationalise property
portfolio for future needs
of the Council.  Changes
on phased and town by
town basis 
Transfers (2021/22) 
Future
• Internal Audit - Roads
Reconstruction
Programme (2025/26)
• Review of Capital
Arrangements in 2025/25
• Delivery of the Capital
Programme 20025/26 
3 Financial
Sustainability 
Insufficient resource
to meet current and
future service
requirement. 
Budget not aligned /
does not support
business outcomes.
Amber
12
• Budget preparation and
monitoring
• Medium term financial
strategy with worst case,
mid case and best case
scenario planning
• Treasury Mgt Policy
• 5 year budget outlook
updated quarterly
• Financial Services Team
aligned to service
delivery
• Regular engagement
between budget holders
and appointed finance
contact
• Reserve balances
monitored throughout the
year 
• Financial
monitoring and
financial risk
monitoring to
P&R/BCC
Committee
• Budget and
budget working
papers
considered by
full Council
• Financial Strategy
reported to P&R
Committee
• 5 year budget
outlook to P&R
Committee
• Treasury Mgt
Annual Report to
P&R Committee
and A&SC
• Joint SMT/Policy
Leads meetings
include
discussions
around financial
issues
Internal Audit
• Continuous Monitoring
• Financial Planning
(2018/19 - Substantial)
• Capital Monitoring
(2020/21 - Substantial)
• Fixed Asset Register
(2021/22 – Reasonable)
• Management of Debt and
Recovery (2022/23 –
Reasonable)
• Financial Ledger (2023/24-
Substantial)
• NDR (2024/25 - Substantial) 
External Audit
• Assessment of financial
management via annual
audit
• Best Value Report (April
2025) highlights the
Council has effective
financial planning
arrangements in place but
could take steps to
enhance its strategic
approach to considering a
range of savings options to
support difficult decisions.
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines.

Page 4

(New medium – longer
terms budget approach
2025/26)
• Assessment of budget
monitoring arrangements 
Future
• Internal Audit – Payroll
(2025/26)
• Rural Growth Deal
(2025/26)
• Consider the implications
and opportunities from the
Visitor Levy (Scotland) Bill
which could generate
additional income from
2026/27. 
4 Governance and
Leadership 
Governance and
leadership
arrangements are
not conducive to
effective working and
lead to a lack of
strategic direction.
Amber
8
• Corporate
Governance
Improvement Plan
• Ongoing member
development
• Mentoring and
coaching for SMT
• Leadership
development
programme
• Chief Exec
Bilaterals
• A&B Manager’s
Course
• Established
partnership
governance
• Effective internal
audit function
• Scrutiny function
• Performance
Improvement
framework
• Council constitution
• Codes of conduct
• Oversight
provided by Audit
& Scrutiny
Committee
• Decision making
committees open
to public
• Constitution
updated and
approved
annually by
Council
• IA reports and
follow up to DMT
and SMT
• Annual assurance
statements
• Fortnightly DMTs
– weekly ELT and
monthly SMTs
Internal Audit
• Continuous Monitoring
• Organisational Culture
(2018/19)
• Performance Mgt (2018/19
– High)
• Member Support (2018/19
– Substantial)
• Risk Mgt 2018/19 –
Substantial)
• Following The Public
Pound (2019/20 –
Reasonable)
• Annual self-assessment of
PSIAS – external peer
review every 5 years
• Formal Induction of new
Audit and Scrutiny
Committee Members 2022
• Risk Management (2023/24
– Substantial) 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines.

Page 5

for staff and
members
• Code of Corporate
Governance and
Annual Action Plan
• Scrutiny framework
and scrutiny plan
• Risk management
embedded
• Policy lead
meetings
• Area Committee
Business Days 
External Audit
• Ongoing independent
assurance reported in
AAR
• Best Value Report (March
2025) identified no
significant concerns. 
Future
• Scheduled reviews of Risk
Management every two to
three years.
• Connect for Success
priorities now form the
basis of new corporate
improvements and are
being delivered.
• New Corporate
Improvement Plan. 
5 Engagement and
Understanding the
needs of the
Community 
The Council fails to
understand service
user needs and
emerging
demographic trends
and does not align
service delivery to
meet these.
Amber
9
• Annual budget
consultation
• Complaints process
• Community
Engagement
Strategy
• Customer
Service Board
• Various user
feedback (i.e.
Refugee
Resettlement,
commissioned
services,
community
council surveys)
• Parental
engagement
strategy
• Outreach service
• Democracy
matters
• Community
Planning
Partnership
• Service
Committees
• Area Committees
• DMT and SMT 
Internal Audit
• Community Empowerment
Act (2018/19 – High)
• Complaints Handling
(2021/22 – High)
• Customer Service Centre
(2022/23 – High) 
Other Agencies
• Education Scotland and
Care Inspectorate seek
views of service users 
External Audit
• Best Value Report (March
2025) identified that - As
savings options become 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines.

Page 6

consultation
• Development Mgt
user forums 
more challenging to
identify, engaging with
communities is
increasingly important.
The council’s community
engagement strategy
should support this critical
dialogue and needs to be
embedded across the
organisation.
Scrutiny
• Scrutiny – Community Asset
Transfers (2021/22)
• Scrutiny – Community
Engagement (2022/23)
• Scrutiny – Complaints
(2024/25)
Future
• A working group was
established to review our
approach to Community
Engagement; the
Framework has now been
developed and was
approved by Policy and
Resources Committee in
December 2024.
• Here to Hear You events -
Programme of Here to
Hear You community
engagement events being
undertaken by Leader and
Chief Executive. (2025/26) 
6 Service Delivery 
Insufficient resources
to ensure effective
service delivery
Amber
12
• Performance
Improvement
Framework
• Rolling out programme
of service self-
assessment
• Service improvement
• Performance
reporting to A&SC,
Service
Committees and
Area Committees
• LGBF Review to
A&SC, Service
Internal Audit
• Performance Mgt (2018/19
– High)
• Complaints Handling
(2021/22 – High)
• IA annual plan is risk
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines.

Page 7

plans
• Workforce planning
• Complaints process
• Use of LGBF
• Strategic Plans with
Success Measures
aligned to Business
Outcomes
• Performance
Improvement Officers 
Committees and
Area Committees
• Self-Assessments
reported to SMT
and A&SC 
based but also designed to
provide annual coverage
of all Heads of Service
• Internal Audit review of
Human Resources
(2023/24 – Substantial)
External Audit
• Best Value Report (March
2025) highlights - The
council must now ensure
that its new corporate plan
maintains a clarity of
vision, that supporting
strategies and policies are
aligned to it, and that the
plan is underpinned by
more streamlined and
focused performance
reporting and key
performance indicators to
drive continuous
improvement. 
Future
• Internal Audit –
Performance Management
Arrangements and
Reporting (2025/26)
• Performance excellence
project being reported
regularly to Audit and
Scrutiny Committee and
SMT.
7 Health and Social
Care Partnership 
Failure of the HSCP
to deliver on its
Strategic Priorities
results in
deteriorating health
and wellbeing
outcomes for the
population and / or
Amber
12
• Strategic Plan
• Integration Scheme
• IJB has elected
member representation
including Council
Leader
• Elected member
representation on IJB
Audit Committee (inc
Vice Chair)
• Council’s CIA regularly
• Performance and
financial
monitoring and
reporting in place
and reported to
IJB Board
• HSCP Chief
Officer sits on
Council’s ELT
• Financial
Recovery Plan for
Internal Audit
• The IJB has their own IA
function provided by the
Council’s IA function
(Contract started 1 April
2021 and renewed 2024)
• Council’s IA function also
provide assurance over
social work services on an
annual basis 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines.

Page 8

reduced access to
appropriate health
and social care
services. This could
also result in
financial and
reputational risk to
the Council.
attends IJB Audit &
Risk Committee
• Regular engagement
between Council CFO
and HSCP CFO 
2025/26 in place
• Development of
options to deliver
sustainability in
future years is
ongoing 
• Internal Audit - Charging
for Non-Residential
Services (2020/21 –
Substantial) 
• Child Protective Services
(2021/22 – Substantial)
• Care Programme
Approach (2021/22 –
Limited)
• Complaints handling
(2021/22 – Limited)
• Workforce Planning
(2021/22 – Reasonable)
• Client Funds (2022/23 –
Limited)
• Learning and physical
Disabilities Care Packages
(2023/24 – Substantial)
• Client Funds (2023/24 –
Reasonable)
• SSSC Registration (2023/24
– Substantial)
• External Placements
(2024/25 – Reasonable) 
External Audit
• IJB’s external auditors are
Mazars. 
Future Internal Audits
• Directed Self Support
(2025/26)
• Eclipse System Post
Implementation (2025/26) 
8 Civil Contingency &
Business continuity
arrangements are
not effective.
Green
6
• Critical activity
recovery plans
• Emergency planning
test events
• West of Scotland local
• Emergency Mgt
Support Team
• EU tactical group
progress reported
to SMT
Internal Audit
• Business Continuity
(2019/20 – Reasonable)
• Disaster Recovery
Moderate third
line assurance at
current time. A
project has

Page 9

resilience partnership
• Community resilience
plans
• EU withdrawal tactical
group 
Planning (2020/21 –
Limited)
• Civil Contingencies
(2021/22 – Substantial)
Future
• The new BCM system has
been procured and
configured and a pilot
project to test the system
and the process has been
completed within 3 service
areas, Procurement,
Customer Engagement
and Transformation
Management and
Residential (Care Home
Services). Roll out is
ongoing to other service
areas which will result in
business continuity plans
being in place for each
service. This is expected
to be completed by 31
March 2026. 
commenced to
implement
business
continuity
processes,
covering critical
activities and
testing of
CARPS. 
This is an area
that will merit a
follow up audit in
the medium term
future. 
However
assurance can be
taken from the
Council’s
response to
COVID which
was fast paced
and has proven
to be effective. 
9 Waste Management 
Waste disposal is
impacted by a
number of significant
risks which are 1) the
impact of the BMW
Landfill Ban, 2) the
end of the current
waste PPP contract
(September 2026), 3)
a fast moving
Scotland and UK
Policy context.    
Red
16
• Council rolling out new
waste strategy
• Using education and
publicity to increase
recycling 
• Performance
reporting to EDI
Committee
• Progress
monitoring by
DMT and SMT 
Internal Audit
• Waste Mgt (2018/19 –
Limited) 
Scrutiny
• Waste Mgt Strategy
(2020/21) - On 27 April
2021 the Head of Roads
and Infrastructure Services
provided a presentation to
the A&SC regarding the
Council’s Waste Strategy
followed by a question and
answer session. Following
the presentation the A&SC
members agreed they
were assured that
appropriate progress was
being made in relation to
Assurances over
this risk are
currently
moderate due to
the Council’s
Waste Strategy
being in its
infancy and prior
to the full
implementation of
the BMW landfill
ban. 
However full
implementation is
not untill 2026.
The A&SC
determined they
are content that
progress is
reported to the

Page 10

the Council’s waste
strategy and that inclusion
of a specific scrutiny topic
focusing on the Strategy
would not add value at this
time.
• A briefing note was
requested by the A&SC in
June 2022 relating to
Waste Mgt and was
presented by the HoS in
September 2022.
• A briefing and update
report was presented to
the A&SC in December
2023 by the HoS. 
Future
• Confirmation received
from the Scottish
Government that £1.5m
has been made available
to support the compliance
with the BMW Landfill Ban. 
• Contract management
meetings are now taking
place with the PPP
provider chaired by the
HoS. 
• Determining and
mobilizing a plan for the
closure and restoration of
existing landfill sites
(within the PPP contract)
to ensure compliance with
regulatory requirements
prior to the implementation
of the BMW landfill ban.
Next stage in this is to gain
understanding from SEPA
of the timescales they will
require for restoration of
these sites.
Scrutiny Review of BMW
EDI Committee
and that the
A&SC will
maintain a
watching brief.

Page 11

arrangements scheduled
for 2025/26.
10 Service Delivery -
Cyber Security 
Unable to deliver
services to
customers because
of failure of ICT
systems following
major cyber security
breach
Red
15
• ICT Security &
compliance officer in
post, producing weekly
threat analysis.
• Regular patching
regimes in place
• ICT Disaster recovery
plans tested regularly
• Critical activities have
recovery plans
developed (CARP’s) 
• Progress
monitoring by
DMT and SMT 
Internal Audit
• Business Continuity
(2019/20 – Reasonable)
• Disaster Recovery
Planning (2020/21 –
Limited)
• Internal Audit – Cyber
Security (2022/23 –
Substantial)
• Cloud Based Services
(2023/24 – Substantial)
• Data Security and
Information Security
(2024/25 – Substantial)
• IT Risk register and
Mitigation Processes
(2024/25 – Substantial) 
Other Agencies 
• PSN and Cyber Essentials
accreditations for
corporate network (doesn’t
cover education network) 
Future
• Internal Audit – ICT
Disaster Recovery
(2025/26) 
Moderate third
line assurance at
current time.  A
project has
commenced to
implement
business
continuity
processes,
covering critical
activities and
testing of CARPS 
This is an area
that will merit a
follow up audit in
the medium term
future. 
11 Cost of Living
Crisis 
The Council are
unable to respond to
the implications
Amber
12
• Financial stability and
support to HSCP.
• Social Welfare and
Poverty Funding
assistance.
• Focused support and
multi-agency approach
• Progress monitoring
by DMT and SMT
• WRWG report to
SMT
• SMT monitor of risk
and consider high
and medium
Internal Audit 
• HB & CTR (2018/19 –
Substantial)
• Internal Audit - Scottish
Welfare Fund (2020/21 –
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines of
assurance in
respect of welfare
reform.

Page 12

arising from the 'Cost
of Living' crisis 
Implementation of
welfare reform is not
managed well
resulting in increased
poverty and
deprivation or short
term crisis.
where risk is
highlighted.
• Monitoring of trends in
service use to highlight
any significant change
as a result of financial
hardship
• Targeted measures -
for example to those
receiving Council Tax
reductions - via Gift
Cards and Flexible
Food and Fuel Fund.
• Financial Inclusion and
Advice Group
established.
• Joint working with
DWP, CPP and other
agencies.
• Flexible Food Fund
created. Supporting
householders in our
area with funds and
advice to address food
and fuel insecurities.
• Child Poverty Planning
Group set up and
active.
• Joint initiative with
Argyll and Bute
Citizens Advice Bureau
(ABCAB), and Bute
Advice Centre to
proactively identify and
support vulnerable
individuals
experiencing mental
health challenges due
to the Cost of Living
Crisis.
hardship cases
• Anti-poverty strategy
approved by Council
• Child poverty action
planning monitored
by WRWG 
Substantial)
• Internal Audit - Welfare
Rights (2020/21 –
Substantial) 
Other Agencies
• Focused support and
multi-agency approach
where risk is highlighted 
Future Actions
• Extend flexible food and
fuel fund..
• Supporting the Poverty
Alliance in their Tackling
Rural Poverty project,
observing its progress and
considering outcomes as
they emerge. 
• Preloved School Clothing
Bank operating across
Argyll and Bute.
• Deliver Islands Cost Crisis
funding from the Scottish
Government in 2025/2026
supporting island based
foodbanks and further
targeted support to
mitigate fuel poverty on
our islands
• Provide £5,000 of LACER
funding to community food
organisations across Argyll
and Bute in 2025/2026
which was approved as
part of the budget process 
However, Limited
third tier
assurance in
respect of ‘Cost
of Living Crisis
but significant
evidence of pro-
active measures
and support. 
However
assurance can be
taken from the
Council’s
response to
COVID which
was fast paced
and has proven
to be effective.

Page 13

12 Impact of Climate
Change 
The Council or
communities are
overwhelmed by
severe or more
frequent flooding,
landslides, rainfall,
storms, sea level
changes or hot
weather events due
to changes in global
temperature caused
by climate change.
Amber
12
• Continued delivery of
Council De-
Carbonization Plan
• Civil Contingencies
Manager liaising/
collaborating with
Regional Resilience
Partnerships and other
resilience partners in
terms of storm event,
hot weather events, cut
off communities,
landslides etc.
• Development and
delivery of an
integrated approach to
decarbonisation and
adaptation of Argyll
and Bute as a Region
via Community
Planning Partnership.
• Roads & Amenity
Services continue to
develop asset
management plan and
address strategic risks
in terms of rising sea
levels, bridge repairs,
critical infrastructure
vulnerability. 
• Progress monitoring
by DMT and SMT 
Internal Audit
• Climate Change Act
(2021/22 – High)
• Internal Audit – Civil
Contingencies (2021/22 –
Substantial) 
Future Actions
• Review of De-Carbonisation
Plan.
• Review scoring of business
cases and pipeline of
strategic projects with
enhanced climate change
considerations. 
There is a range
of assurance
sources across
the three lines.
13 Lack of Housing
Availability 
The Council, partner
agencies and
communities are
unable to attract and
retain working age
people due to lack of
housing and pricing
Red
20
• The council has
declared a Housing
Emergency
• Housing Strategy and
Investment Plan
funded and
implemented/new
housing delivery group
established.
• Islands Programme
Award of Funding for
infrastructure for
worker accommodation
on Mull - this is for
• Progress monitoring
by DMT and SMT 
Future
• Housing summit and
Action Plan being
continually
monitored/updated.
• Local Housing Strategy
updated and approved
reflecting the Council's
Housing Action Plan
approved by Council in
November 2024 and
update presented to June
EDI Committee. 
Limited third line
assurance at
current time
However, pro-
active work is
with partner
agencies is
evident and
review of the
Housing Strategy
undertaken.

Page 14

phase 1 site
infrastructure to enable
delivery of
accommodation for
workers and will meet
clearly evidenced
community need.
• Deliver key worker housing
pilots on Islay and Mull
using RGD funding. Mull
(Rockfield, Tobermory)
ground works now
completed utilising Island
Infrastructure funding and
Strategic Housing Fund. 
14 Compliance with
'Prevent' 
Response to the
Prevent duty is not
properly embedded in
the Council. 
Amber
9
• Council has nominated
Prevent Spoc – Ch Exec
has delegated authority to
make arrangements to
fulfil Council’s statutory
duties on TACT
• Prevent Multi Agency
Partnership panel
established and operating,
and training provided.
• External Training sessions
from Police Scotland
given to Education and
Social Work
• Participate in Prevent
multi agency meetings to
coordinate approach
across public sector
partners. 
• Progress monitoring
by SMT and ELT 
Future
• Complete development of
training and awareness
online module and
continue to review and
enhance training.
• Develop situational risk
assessment process with
Home Office to address
national and local risk and
mitigations. 
• Review training of PMAP
members and particular
Chair and Vice Chair when
these change from time to
time.
Limited third line
assurance at
current time
However,
comprehensive
processes and
approach in place
and pro-active
work with partner
agencies are
clear.