Democracy Spraffa

Strategic Risk Register IJB Jan 23b

Argyll and Bute Council · 25 January 2023
Back to Argyll and Bute HSCP Integration Joint Board (IJB) — 25 January 2023 and its agenda

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Page 1

Risk Matrix
Risk Rare                (1) Unlikely        (2) Possible        (3) Likely              (4) Almost Certain  
(5)
Extreme            (5) MEDIUM 5 HIGH 10 HIGH 15 VERY HIGH 20 VERY HIGH 25
Major           
(4) MEDIUM 4 MEDIUM 8 HIGH 12 HIGH 16 VERY HIGH 20
Moderate        
(3) LOW 3 MEDIUM 6 MEDIUM 9 HIGH 12 HIGH 15
Minor           
(2) LOW 2 LOW 4 MEDIUM 6 MEDIUM 8 HIGH 10
Insignificant     
(1) LOW 1 LOW 2 LOW 3 MEDIUM 4 MEDIUM 5
Table 1 Assessment of likelihood
Score Description
1 Rare
2 Unlikely
3 Possible
4 Likely
5 Almost Certain
Strong possibility that this could happen again
This is expected to frequently happen again – more likely to re-occur than not
LIKELIHOOD
IMPACT
Chance of Occurrence
Can’t believe this event would happen again – will only happen in exceptional
circumstances
Not expected to happen again, but definite potential exists
Has happened before on occasions – reasonable chance of re-occurring

Page 2

Table 2 Assessment of Impact
Descriptor Insignificant Minor Moderate Major Extreme
Score 1 2 3 4 5
Patient
Experience
Reduced quality of
patient experience /
clinical outcome not
directly related to
delivery of clinical
care.
Unsatisfactory
patient
experience /
clinical outcome
directly related to
care provision –
readily resolvable.
Unsatisfactory
patient experience /
clinical outcome,
short term effects –
expect recovery
<1wk.
Unsatisfactory
patient experience /
clinical outcome:
long term effects –
expect recovery -
>1wk.
Unsatisfactory
patient experience /
clinical outcome:
continued ongoing
long term effects.
Injury (physical
and
psychological)
to patient /
visitor / staff.
Adverse event
leading to minor
injury not requiring
first aid
Minor injury or
illness, first aid
treatment
required
Agency reportable,
e.g. Police (violent
and aggressive acts)
Significant injury
requiring medical
treatment and/or
counselling.
Major injuries/long
term incapacity or
disability (loss of
limb) requiring
medical treatment
and/or counselling.
Incident leading to
death or major
permanent
incapacity.
Complaints/
Claims
Locally resolved
verbal complaint
Justified written
complaint
peripheral to
clinical care.
Below excess claim.
Justified complaint
involving lack of
appropriate care.
Claim above excess
level. Multiple
justified complaints.
Multiple claims or
single major claim.
Complex justified
complaint.

Page 3

Staffing and
Competence
Short term low
staffing level
temporarily reduces
service quality (<
than 1 day). Short
term low staffing
level (> 1 day),
where there is no
disruption to patient
care.
Ongoing low
staffing level
reduces service
quality. Minor
error due to
ineffective
training/
implementation of
training.
Late delivery of key
objective / service
due to lack of staff.
Moderate error due
to ineffective
training/implementati
on of training.
Ongoing problems
with staffing levels.
Uncertain delivery of
key objective /
service due to lack
of staff.  Major error
due to ineffective
training/implementati
on of training.
Non-delivery of key
objective / service
due to lack of staff.
Loss of key staff.
Critical error due to
ineffective
training/implementat
ion of training.
Financial
(including
damage/ loss/
fraud)
Negligible
organisational/
personal financial
loss (< £1k) (NB.
Please adjust for
context)
Minor
organisational/per
sonal financial
loss (£1-10k).
Significant
organisational
/personal financial
loss (£10-100k).
Major organisational/
personal financial
loss (£100k - £1m).
Severe
organisational/
personal financial
loss (>£1m).
Adverse
Publicity /
Reputation
Rumours, no media
coverage. Little
effect on staff
morale
Local media
coverage – short
term. Some public
embarrassment.
Minor effect on
staff morale /
public attitudes.
Local media – long-
term adverse
publicity. Significant
effect on staff morale
and public
perception of the
organisation
National media /
adverse publicity,
less than 3 days.
Public confidence in
the organisation
undermined. Use of
services affected
National /
International media /
adverse publicity,
more than 3 days.
MSP / MP concern
(Questions in
Parliament). Court
Enforcement. Public
Enquiry/ FAI.