Democracy Spraffa

Budget Update Jan 25 v2

Argyll and Bute Council · 29 January 2025
Back to Argyll and Bute HSCP Integration Joint Board (IJB) — 29 January 2025 and its agenda

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Integration Joint Board   
Date of Meeting: 29 January 2025 
Title of Report: Budget Update 2025/26 
Presented by: James Gow, Head of Finance 
The Integration Joint Board is recommended to:
• Note that budget planning for 2025/26 is on-going.
• Note the HSCP is not currently operating on a financially sustainable basis.
• Note the budget gap before savings and use of non-recurring resources is
£15m.
• Endorse the savings proposals to date and approve that work continues on
developing these further.
• Note that the HSCP may not be able to propose a balanced budget In March
and the implications are being discussed with partners. 
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 
1.1 This report provides the IJB with an estimate of the budget gap for 2025/26 and
a summary of progress made in developing savings plans. The report updates
the financial planning figures for the implications of the draft budget and public
pay policy published in December 2024. Public finances remain under severe
pressure and the Health and Social Care sector is not operating in a
sustainable way. Local modelling of the national funding allocations will
continue to be refined as the budget cycle progresses. 
1.2  The budget gap, before the application of non-recurring funding or savings for
2025/26, is estimated at £15m. This has improved as a consequence of the
budget but not to a sufficient enough extent to enable the HSCP to provide
assurance that it can balance its budget in 2025/26. The cost and demand
pressures are significant and take account of Social Care cost pressures
experienced in the current year. The HSCP has not been able to develop
savings plans which address this gap, without impacting severely on access,
availability or quality of service provision. Savings proposals will be progressed
on the basis that they are proportionate and seek to minimise adverse impacts
on the most vulnerable. The estimated budget gap will be refined as detailed
work on the budget and saving proposals continues. Based on current
assumptions, additional resourcing from both partners will be required and
constructive discussions are ongoing and will continue as the budgeting cycle
progresses.

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2.  Recommendations 
• Note that budget planning for 2025/26 is on-going 
• Note the HSCP is not currently operating on a financially sustainable
basis.
• Note the budget gap before savings and use of non-recurring resources
is £15m.
• Endorse the savings proposals to date and approve that work
continues on developing these further.
• Note that the HSCP may not be able to propose a balanced budget and
the implications are being discussed with partners. 
3. DETAIL OF REPORT 
3.1  Budget Context 
The HSCP is not operating on a sustainable basis at present, this situation is
common across the sector with many IJBs reliant upon reserves (where
available) to achieve financial balance. Budget planning commenced early as
a consequence of the scale of the problem. Multiple management team
meetings have now taken place to identify potential projects to deliver savings.
In addition to the challenge for next year, the HSCP is overspending in the
current year which is an indicator of the on-going high levels of demand for
care and dependency upon supplementary staffing to deliver it, particularly
within social care. 
The draft Scottish Budget was published in December 2024 and this report
takes this into account although there are still material uncertainties,
particularly regarding funding for the Employer National Insurance increase.
The budget has allocated some additional funding for the NHS and in a more
limited way for Local Authorities. There is no new money at present for Social
Care as all additional allocations are to fund inflationary increases. This
approach fails to recognise increasing numbers of older adults requiring health
and social care. Local authorities have been allocated additional funding which
could be used to help support increasing Social Care costs locally. Some of
the key points are: 
• A new Public Pay Policy has been published, 9% over 3 years.
• Funding has not been confirmed to cover the NI increase for directly
employed local authority staff or for commissioned service providers in
the health and social care sector. 
• The minimum pay rate for health and social care staff is to increase from
£12 to £12.60 per hour (5%) and funding allocated which is expected to
cover this increase. 
• There is a general 3% uplift for non-pay cost pressures within the NHS
budget and the NI increase is expected to be funded for NHS staff. 
• Health Boards in deficit are expected to work towards breaking even
over a number of years and no brokerage available from 2025/26.
• The NHS is expected to set out how 3% savings can be made each year
to move towards financial balance.

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3.2
• Funding for Agenda for Change banding uplifts and reduced working
week is expected to be made available to cover costs. 
There are no new medium term planning figures available and therefore this
report focusses only on the single year budget for 2025/26. 
Service Demand 
An increasing concern for financial planning relates to demographic change. It
is clear that both health and social care spend are directly correlated to age
and that the number of older adults is increasing and projected to do so for
many years. A second strategic challenge is the continuing inability to recruit
permanent staff (HSCP and commissioned services), not wholly unrelated to
the demographic issue. 
Long term population modelling is complex and subject to variation with the
actual future population. Analytical work is continuing to better understand this
and the implications for future service demand and models of care in our
communities. The modelling below summarises Argyll & Bute population
projections: 
Age
Group 2023 2028 2033 2038 2043 2048
65 to 74 12,779 13,565 14,469 13,773 11,382 10,028
75 to 84 8,332 9,098 9,222 9,833 10,444 9,855
85+ 2,814 3,089 3,711 3,899 4,024 4,323 
The conclusion is that we can expect demand to increase incrementally each
year well into the 2040’s. For example, the 75+ age group is expected to
increase by 16% over the next 10 years (1.6% per year) with the 85+ group
increasing by more. The Scottish Government appear to be making little
allowance for this, as has been highlighted by Audit Scotland and Alzheimer
Scotland (Commission on the future of long-term care in Scotland) in recent
months. While funding models do allocate resources to areas based on
demographics, the total budget is not being uplifted in a way that makes
specific allowance. Recent uplifts do not take account of cost inflation fully,
never-mind increasing service demand. This approach is likely to result in
continuing annual overspending as budgets are not increased in correlation
with a well understood pressure for the sector. Alternatively, budget setting will
require a significant element of service reduction year on year as the pressure
cannot be managed through efficiencies and management controls alone. 
3.3  Social Work / Social Care Budget – 2025/26 
Detailed work on the Social Work budget is underway. The gap is such that the
HSCP is in on-going discussions with the Council to establish the most
appropriate response to the pressures in Social Care. Local Authorities have
been allocated additional funding in the budget and some of this could be
passed to the HSCP, there is no additional funding for social care other than
for increases in costs, mainly to fund the living wage increase.

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A fundamental risk to the delivery of social care services next year is the
increase in employer National Insurance, the threshold change in particular
has an adverse impact on the sector due to the number of part time employees.
An estimate from one key partner is that the cost is circa 3% on total contract
values and funding for this is a threat to viability. While the HSCP is not in a
position to accurately assess the cost, it is likely in the £1-1.4m range with no
funding confirmed either from the UK or Scottish Government at the time of
writing. 
The table below provides an outline of the expected position for 2025/26: 
Social Work Budget 2025/26 £m £m 
Underlying budget deficit  1.3 
Direct Pay Costs   
3% Pay increase 1.0  
Pay increments 0.2  
National Insurance Increase 1.0  
Less assumed additional funding via Council:   
1% of pay 3% increase funded  (0.3)  TBC
Staff NI Increase – 50% funded by SG / 50%
from Council
(1.0)  TBC
Net additional pay costs  0.9 
Cost & Demand Pressures   
Anticipated unfunded inflation on contracts,
supplies and services
0.9  
Estimated Living Wage increase (5%) 2.9  
Children & Families Cost pressures 0.7  
Older Adult Residential – fund current level of
overspend
1.2  
Care @ Home – fund current level of
overspend
0.8  
Allowance for 1% demand growth Older Adults
– Demographic Change
0.5      
Cost & Demand Pressures  7.0 
Additional Resourcing:   
Real Living Wage Funding 2.9  
Inflation on NHS Resource Transfer 0.4  
Community Mental Health 0.1  
Total Additional Resourcing  (3.4) 
Budget gap before savings 2025/26  5.8m 
The budget gap does not include an allowance for the impact of the National
Insurance increase for contractors. 
It is unlikely that the HSCP will be able to address this gap in full next year.
Intended proposals for addressing the situation are:

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3.4 
Quantified Savings    Service
Risk
Review of Care at Home Services – target
saving 
0.9 Medium
Use of non-recurring pension fund saving  2.5 -
Inflation increases on Fees and Charges TBC 0.3 Medium
Non-recurring reserves resourcing –
potential cancellation of projects 
0.5 Medium
Flat cash settlements on some contracts /
other adjustments 
0.3 Medium
Savings Target  4.5 
Residual Gap     £1.3m 
Potential NI pressure for contracted services £1.3m 
Priorities are for improvement and spend to save intended to move towards
addressing the challenge in the medium term. The HSCP is seeking to look at
these in as integrated a way as possible. Some of these could start to deliver
savings during 2025/26. 
• Care @ Home Service – scheduling, digital & systems development and
analysis of resourcing models and assessment processes. 
• Agency staffing and accommodation.
• Care Homes Strategic Assessment.
• High-Cost Care Packages and direct payments.
• Kintyre and Mid Argyll Service Sustainability. 
The HSCP is working with the Council to establish how the remaining budget
gap can be managed in 2025/26. The use of £3m in non-recurring resourcing
is not sustainable and must be addressed during 2025/26. COSLA are also in
the process of raising the issues outlined in this paper with SG. 
NHS Budget 
The expectation from Scottish Government is that all Boards should improve
their financial position (where they are in deficit) each year with a view to
achieving a balanced budget in the medium term. Efficiency savings of 3% are
to be delivered each year. 
The implication for the HSCP is that the savings target is therefore 3% of circa
£280m or £8.5m. If it is accepted that it is not possible for the HSCP to cut its
SLA payments, mainly to GG&C, (£81m) or Primary Care related costs (£30m)
a more reasonable interpretation of this target for the HSCP might be £5m.
There are several other budgets which cannot be reduced easily including the
PFI contract and the provision of small-scale services in remote communities. 
Additionally, current operating frameworks within the NHS are being
maintained and these restrict the ability of Boards to change the way in which
they operate in the short term. Significant service change needs to comply with
the Planning with People Guidance and there are currently no mechanisms

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which would enable boards to reduce permanent staffing other than through
natural turnover. Current budget planning for the HSCP NHS services: 
NHS Budget 2025/26   £m £m
Opening Underlying Deficit     5.2
Baseline Uplift - NRAC improvement and Funding     (13.8)
Inflation & Cost Pressures     
Pay Inflation 3%  3.0  
SLA Inflation 3%  3.1  
Non-Pay elements Agenda for Change  2.8  
Prescribing Inflation 8%  2.5  
LIH Medical Staffing  1.8  
Out of Area & Complex Care Packages - MH  1.0  
Resource Transfer Uplift  0.4  
National Services Increased Top Slice  0.7  
Regional Heart & Lung SLA uplift  0.5  
Glasgow - service increases  0.4  
Safe Staffing Act  0.3  
Fleet  0.2  
Estates & PFI Charges  0.6  
Others  0.5  
Total Cost Pressures     17.8       
2025/26 Recurring Deficit     9.2 
To date the following costed savings proposals have been identified and
governance is in place for monitoring these within the fortnightly leadership
team meetings: 
Saving Opportunity
Risk Rating/Potential for
Saving 
£'000 £'000 £'000  Team
Depreciation - end of life assets     70 Estates
Energy price reduction     50 Estates
Performance Analyst 0.5wte Band 5   22   Planning
Public Health - Contract Cost
Reduction - Addictions     47 Public Health
Band 4 health intelligence support
worker 0.5 wte      20 Public Health
Living Well Grants      12 Public Health
Living Well Network Funding     25 Public Health
Effective prevention outcomes
framework     12 Public Health
Flow Navigation & Unscheduled
Care Management - NHSH 277     Management
Total 277 22 236 £535,000 
There are number of other opportunities to deliver cash releasing savings in
2025/26 that are still to be costed. Specifically work on prescribing is expected
to result in a saving, specific areas under consideration include:

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3.5 
• Medicines of Low Clinical Value – SG Initiative
• Prescribing Costs – Drugs switches etc
• Medical staffing, locum and agency staffing
• Contract reviews
• Telecoms rationalisation 
A material risk to the NHS budget which could impact in 2025/26 is the outcome
of the new SLA model being developed by Greater Glasgow and Clyde Health
Board. While we have no firm information on the impact, it is clear GG&C are
looking to pass on cost increases to other Boards to the extent that they have
not be funded. It is acknowledged that the model has not been updated to
reflect current activity patterns for some years and cost and activity patterns
may not align with the contract value. 
Additionally, there are circa £1.1m of current savings which will be carried
forward into 2025/26. 
The HSCP does not expect to be able to put in place a plan for deliverable
savings which align with the target outlined above. It will continue to work to
narrow its budget gap for 2025/26 and will progress the longer term projects
summarised in the following sections. These, as with the Social Care priorities,
are not necessarily expected to deliver significant savings in 2025/26. 
The position has been discussed with NHSH on this basis and they are aware
of both the expected budget position and the plans that are being progressed
to deliver longer term change. 
HSCP Summary 
Financial Planning Estimate
2025/26
NHS £m Social Care
£m
IJB Total
£m    
Opening Underlying Gap 5.2 1.3 6.5
Additional Resourcing (13.8) (3.4) (17.2)
Estimated Pay, Cost & Demand
Pressures
17.8 7.9 25.7
2025/26 Gap 9.2 5.8 15.0    
Mitigations   
Non-recurring Resources  (3.0) (3.0)
Quantified Savings Proposals (0.3) (1.5) (1.8)
Remaining Gap / Additional
Funding Requirement
8.9  1.3 10.2 
Detailed work is on-going within both finance teams and will identify other
opportunities for reducing the gap. This will include ensuring that the cost
pressures are unavoidable and estimating slippage where they may not
apply for the whole year. Prescribing, an analysis of reserves and modelling
of the agenda for change costs are expected to improve the NHS position.
It is not expected that deliverable savings can be identified to the extent
required to enable the HSCP to propose a balanced budget in March. Both

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3.6 
3.6.1 
3.6.2 
partners are aware and dialogue is on-going to ensure that the HSCP has
a workable expenditure budget at the start of 2025/26. 
• The NI issue for Health and Social Care providers is a
significant risk for 2025/26. 
• Reliance on non-recurring funding is a risk for 2026/27. 
The main issues to be addressed in the remainder of the planning and
budgeting cycle for 2025/26 include: 
• Confirming approach to the expected budget shortfall with partners.
• Finalising work on savings proposals and EQIAs to enable IJB
approval in March.
• Establishing plans to address the structural deficit. 
Savings 2025/26 
The IJB will be asked to approve specific savings proposals in March.
Failure to have the savings proposals endorsed will clearly have
implications for both partners. 
The management team expect to present a list of non-contentious budget
savings, some of which are included above. These will continue to develop
as the detailed budget work between finance teams and budget holders
progresses. They will be supported by equality impact assessments where
appropriate (EQIAs). 
There will additional be proposals that will have material impacts upon the
provision of health and social care services or upon local communities.
These will also be supported by EQIAs where appropriate. Summaries are
provided below of the ones under development: 
Care at Home Services - £0.9m 
Progress on this saving is being withheld at this stage due to commercial
sensitivity. 
Inflation on Contracts £0.3m estimate 
Minimising the impact of inflation is a further mitigation. Analytical work is
continuing to establish where there are opportunities to offer flat cash only
and request providers and grant recipients to scale service to available
resource where possible. This has to be considered alongside the high-
grade strategic risk relating to the sustainability of commissioned service
providers and recognise that many contracts and uplifts are negotiated
nationally (national care home contract) or linked to external measures
such as inflation or the living wage. Efforts to minimise this will apply to
both Social Care and NHS services.

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6.6.3 
3.7
The review of contracts may also identify opportunities to review the value
for money associated with them. This will be considered in more detail by
the Finance & Policy Committee in February. 
Fees and Charges £0.3m estimate 
Social Care Fees and Charges are typically increased in line with the rate
of increase in cost. The proposed increased is therefore above current
measures of inflation as staff (and other) cost increases exceed this level.
Actual income generation depends upon numbers of self-funders in care
homes and assessments of contributions towards care costs. Normal
governance processes are being followed whereby Fees and Charges are
formally approved by the Council. 
Transformation and Service Reviews 
The Transformation Programme is in place, available resource is being
allocated to priorities which will address the financial and staff resource
challenge in the short and longer term. Investment in change is challenging
as resources that could have been targeted here are now being used to
fund revenue cost pressures. There is also a continuing shortage of the
capital resource required to enable estates and digital transformation as
for example as resources that are available are used to address backlog
maintenance. The Transformation Board and a series of other short life
working groups are responsible for governance oversight. 
3.7.1 
3.7.2 
Children’s & Families – Maternity Services Review 
A full review of maternity services is underway. It is intended that the
process will pilot a model for reviewing all services within Children, Families
and Justice. The process includes staff engagement from the outset and will
take into account: 
• Configuration of services within Argyll & Bute.
• Demographics, birth rates and complexity of need; and
• Best practice and national service developments. 
The scope of the directly delivered service budget under review is £2.7m
with a further £3m included within the SLA with Greater Glasgow and Clyde
for births which take place within their maternity units. 
The review is anticipated to complete in February 2025, organisational
change processes will follow, if the review recommends changes to service
provision. The outcome will be reported through existing governance
structures. If immediate savings derive from this work it will be reported in
the March budget paper but delivery of savings is likely to fall into 2026 and
beyond. 
Adult Services – Care @ Home Services 
The care at home service is a priority for transformation as it is not operating
on a sustainable basis in some areas and different models are now
operating. Some areas are largely or wholly covered by the new contract,

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3.7.3 
others delivered by HSCP employed staff and others highly dependent upon
agency staff as part of a mixed approach. Challenges include: 
• Continuing high demand and unmet need.
• Increasing use of agency staff.
• Lack of housing options for workers (Islands & Oban).
• Pressure to minimise hospital delays. 
The service impacts on a wide range of other services such as those offered
by community nurses, AHP teams and demand for residential care. The
budget sits at circa £20m. Specific consideration is being given to: 
• The linkages between telecare, care @ home services and contracts.
• How the service can achieve a reduction in the use of agency staff and
operate with sustainable staffing models.
• Access and equity for Self-Directed Support payments.
• Reviewing of assessment processes and governance of care package
implementation.
• A requirement for an improved scheduling system and digital systems
• A value for money review of the different models currently operating
and re-consideration of the best strategic approach. 
The draft expenditure budget has made some allowance for the impact of
demographic change. Longer-term planning for the financial and staffing
implications of the increasing number of older adults is not adequately
resolved nationally or locally. In order to reduce cost, it will be necessary to
change the way care needs are assessed and the level of care that can be
provided within the available budget. A principled and values-based
approach is being taken which will seek to deliver on the priorities (as
outlined in the strategic plan) in a fair, safe and equitable way. There is a
short term opportunity to derive savings from reductions in agency staff
utilisation. 
A strategic development process is also underway in respect of HSCP
operated care homes, this piece of work is complex and will take some time
to complete, it is not expected that financial savings will be derived from this
budget in 2025/26 other than through inflation increases on charges. 
Adult Services – Time to Care 
The Time to Care project is approximately half-way through, it is externally
facilitated by Meridian and funded by NHS Highland. It is intended to model
how staff time is used within community teams with the objective of
increasing the time staff have available to spend with patients and clients.
The process will also focus on the training and development of systems and
people at team leader and management levels. 
There are some opportunities for efficiencies, however this does not
necessarily mean it will be easy to realise savings. It is intended that the
project will report in February in a way that will enable savings to be
attributed to it. These are not likely to be immediate cash releasing savings

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3.7.4 
3.7.5 
3.7.6 
but could help identify opportunities to reduce supplementary staffing in
some areas. 
Acute & Complex Care – Rural General Hospital 
A review of the services offered within LIH is in its early stages. It is
intended that the HSCP will work with NHS Highland to look for
opportunities to better co-ordinate activity in Oban and Fort William in
particular. It is anticipated that there may be some options to reduce
duplication across the sites and create more joined up and sustainable
staffing structures. There are expensive out of hours arrangements in
place and excess theatre capacity. An approach to making better use of
theatre capacity would also feature in this transformation work with
potential for income generation or reduction in activity within SLA
contracts. 
Mid Argyll & Kintyre Service Model 
This project is intended to review all services delivered across the area to: 
• Address consistent and continuing staffing shortages.
• Review demographic data and care needs.
• Review the impact of recent investment in Kintyre (purchase of KCC
and transition to an internal care at home service)
• Identify areas of unnecessary duplication. 
It is expected that this work will identify savings, some of these could be
available during the course of 2025/26 but some should be considered as
a longer-term change to sustain services although there may be specific
services where shorter term change is required due to staffing challenges.
No specific changes are being incorporated in the savings plans at
present. 
Care Package Reviews 
A decision has been made to invest in the review of care packages. The
programme is being scoped out but will include: 
• Care @ Home packages
• LD/PD and Mental Health packages
• Direct payments (Self Directed Support) 
The process will look to improve governance over care package decision
making and the process will set specific targets for the number of packages
to be revied starting with most expensive ones. Care packages at present
have a total cost of around £30m with 55 packages costing over £100k or
£8.5m of the total. 
The reviews will be designed to ensure that care provision appropriately
meets the needs of the vulnerable people being supported. It is not possible
to set a target financial saving at this stage.

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3.8  Next Steps 
The development of the budget will include progressing the projects
described above as well as seeking to identify other opportunities for
savings through, for example vacancy and expenditure control processes: 
• Chief Officer approval of all locum and agency contracts and
extensions.
• Further scrutiny of vacant posts.
• Changes to PECOS approval processes to stop unnecessary
spend.
• Tightening of care package approval processes. 
The situation is challenging, particularly in the operational context facing
the management team. On-going communication and consultation are
critical as is engagement with partners as they will be required to provide
support for the change required. In particular, support with the HR aspects
of change is a gap within the management structure. It is accepted that
some mechanisms that organisations normally apply to reducing costs are
not available in the context of HSCPs as a result of policy commitments
and approaches to HR management. Engagement with staff and the IJB
and Finance and Policy Committee will continue throughout the process.
The financial challenge should be viewed as continuing rather than annual
one at this stage. 
January /
February
-Firm up savings plans and agree target savings
-Develop engagement plans for staff and communities
where appropriate. 
January 2025 Detailed discussions with both partners at exec level
January 2025 Update F&P and IJB on progress, anticipated position
and key savings proposals
January –
February 2025
Conduct engagement and detailed planning in respect
of proposals
March 2025 Approval of Expenditure budget and savings by IJB
On-going Establishment and monitoring of service change plans
to address structural deficit 
4
4.1 
5
5.1   
RELEVANT DATA AND INDICATORS 
Information is derived from publicly available public planning documents,
professional networks and financial systems of both partners. 
CONTRIBUTION TO STRATEGIC PRIORITIES 
The Integration Joint Board has a responsibility to balance its budget and
ensure spend and investment is aligned to the Strategic Plan and the
priorities therein.

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6
6.1 
6.2 
6.3
GOVERNANCE IMPLICATIONS 
Financial Impact – the budget gap is significant and plans to reduce spend
are required. The HSCP will continue to work with both partners with a
view to being able to propose a workable expenditure budget in March
2025. As things stand it is unlikely that this will be within the totality of the
resources that would normally be available to the HSCP in 2025/26. 
Staff Governance – None directly from this report but there is a strong link
between HR management and delivering a balanced financial position.
Staff have been asked for ideas to contribute to savings and these have
been reported to the IJB previously. 
Clinical Governance – There are clinical governance implications
associated with the reductions in service required to reduce spend, these
will be risk assessed and mitigated as far as possible. 
7. 
7.1 
8.
PROFESSIONAL ADVISORY 
The budget planning process for 2025/26 ensures that Professional Leads are
fully engaged. They are playing a key role in the on-going work to deliver
financial savings from a key social care contract. 
EQUALITY AND DIVERSITY IMPLICATIONS 
8.1 Service changes will require impact assessments to be completed, the
reductions in service being planned at present will have impacts on service
users, typically individuals and groups that are covered by equality legislation. 
9. 
9.1 
10.
GENERAL DATA PROTECTION PRINCIPLES COMPLIANCE 
None. 
RISK ASSESSMENT 
10.1 Financial sustainability is a Very High risk on the strategic risk register. Specific
risks relating to this report include: 
• The HSCP is not able to identify savings opportunities to a great
enough extent to enable it to propose a balanced budget. This could
result in interventions from partners or Government. 
• Social Care funding for the Employer NI increase is not forthcoming
putting the sector at risk or further inflating HSCP cost pressures.
• The IJB may not support the proposals due to increased risk.
• Some of the planning assumptions turn out to be optimistic.
• Scottish Government or partners do not pass on funding as assumed
or make available resources.
• Adverse impact upon workforce and lack of HR and support service
support to effect change. 
• The HSCP is not able to deliver the approved savings and operate on
a financially sustainable basis in 2025/26 and beyond. This could have
significance consequences for the IJB.

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The HSCP is not currently in a sustainable financial position as spend and
service demand exceed available funding, this is included in the Strategic
Risk Register.   
11. PUBLIC AND USER INVOLVEMENT AND ENGAGEMENT 
11.1  None directly from this report, engagement on activities relating to savings
and transformation forms part of the project plans where appropriate. The
HSCP is transparent in respect of its finances and generally makes all reports
publicly available. A public consultation on the budget was conducted in
February 2024 using an interactive tool. The outcome of this was reported to
the IJB in March. Whilst there were some specific issues raised, the overall
tone of the responses indicated disappointment at the need to make
reductions. To the extent that savings are necessary, the consensus
indicated they should be evenly spread across services. A desire for
management costs to be reduced was communicated by the public. The
HSCP is not intending to re-run the exercise as there is both an opportunity
cost and real cost of extending the license for the software (circa £4k). It will
however continue to communicate and engage with all partners in respect of
the financial challenge it faces. 
12. CONCLUSIONS 
12.1 
12.2 
12.3
This report provides an update on the likely financial position of the HSCP
following publication of the draft Scottish Budget. The report outlines some key
savings plans which will require formal approval. It also confirms that on-going
work on budgets is expected to improve the position outlined this report which
is that there is a remaining gap of £10m in total. The HSCP does not anticipate
that it can close this gap fully and expects to be reliant on both partners for
additional support in 2025/26. This is a structural and national problem facing
Health and Social Care.   
The consequences the National Insurance increase will have upon
commissioned service providers is highlighted as a key risk that has not yet
been resolved. 
Dialogue with both partners in respect of the situation is required and the sector
is seeking to ensure government are aware of the scale of the challenge facing
the sector, as have Audit Scotland. It is not realistic to assume that the HSCP
can deliver a balanced budget for 2025/26 based on current planning
assumptions. The constraints on the pace of service change do not enable
such a level of change in the timescale available.

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15 
13. DIRECTIONS   
Directions
required to
Council, NHS
Board or
both.
Directions to: tick
No Directions required √
Argyll & Bute Council 
NHS Highland Health Board 
Argyll & Bute Council and NHS Highland
Health Board 
14. PREVIOUS REVIEW OF THE REPORT 
Meeting  Title of report Date Output (if
relevant)
SLT Budget Update 18/09/24 Amendments
made
IJB Budget Update 25/9/24 Recommendations
noted
Finance &
Policy
Committee
Budget Update 28/9/24 As above
SLT Budget Update 20/11/24 Noted
Finance &
Policy
Committee
Budget Update 22/11/24 Noted
Finance &
Policy
Committee
Budget Update 21/01/25 Noted 
Appendix 1 – Commercially Sensitive - Not in Public Domain 
AUTHOR NAME: James Gow, Head of Finance 
EMAIL: james.gow@argyll-bute.gov.uk