Joint Strategic Needs Assessment 2024 Presentation (Sam Campbell / Saskia Schmitz)
Argyll and Bute Council · 6 December 2024
Back to Argyll and Bute Community Planning Partnership - Management Committee — 6 December 2024 and its agenda
Text extracted from the council's PDF. Layout and reading order may differ from the original.
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CPP Management Committee Findings from the Joint Strategic Needs AssessmentFindings from the Joint Strategic Needs Assessment 66thth December 2024 December 2024
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Structure 1. Data Sources of the JSNA 2. Demographic profile of A&B population 3. Indicators on community wellbeing 4. Indicators on housing 5. Conclusion
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Data Sources of the JSNA
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Key resources Public Health Scotland Health & Wellbeing Metadata Catalogue (shinyapps.io) Scottish Public Health Observatory (ScotPHO) Scottish Health and Social Care Open Data Scottish Government Scotland's official statistics National Records of Scotland Surveys Census Data Sources and resources Public health profiles | NHS Highland (scot.nhs.uk)
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Demography
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Population change, 2011-2022, council areas in Scotland Argyll and Bute Total: -2.4% 0-15: -14.2% 16-64: -8% 65+: 21% Current Population • Population size: 85,970 (census 2022) • Decreased from 88,166 (census 2011) and 91,306 (census 2001). • Argyll and Bute is the council area with the highest proportion (27.2 %) of people aged 65 and over in Scotland (census 2022). • Working Ratio: Source: Scottish Government, Scotland’s Census 2022 – Rounded population estimates Year Argyll and Bute Scotland 2023 2.15 3.12 2022 2.20 3.15 2021 2.24 3.19
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Indicators on community wellbeing
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Source: Source Linkage Files Morbidity - Common health conditions Prevalence of the five most common physical LTCs as a percentage of the population across geographical areas (where 1 = most prevalent), 2022/23 Multimorbidity by age group, 2022/23 2 or more physical long-term conditions in 2022/2023 Proportion over 65 (%) Proportion under 65 (%) Argyll and Bute 27.8 2.9 Bute & Cowal 27 3.5 Helensburgh & Lomond 27.2 2.3 Mid-Argyll, Kintyre and Islay 27.8 2.9 Oban, Lorn and the Isles 29.2 2.8
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Dementia and Frailty Percentage 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Dementia Not Medically Diagnosed Neurological Conditions Hearing Impairment Mental Health Problems Visual Impairment Other Physical Disability or Chronic Illness Dementia Medically Diagnosed Requiring Nursing Care Scotland Argyll and Bute Most common health characteristics of long-stay adult care home residents, 2023 Estimated crude prevalence of frailty in people aged 60+ in 2021 Argyll and Bute: 14.4% Scotland: 14.3% Estimated crude prevalence of dementia in 2021 Argyll and Bute: 2.1% Scotland: 1.58%
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Dementia deaths in homely setting as a Dementia deaths in homely setting as a percentage of all deaths in a homely settingpercentage of all deaths in a homely setting Source: National Records of Scotland. Deaths in a homely setting include deaths at home, in a care home or a hospice location.
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Adult care home and care at home clients In the financial year 2022/23 2,005 people received care at home, receiving a total of 1,162,890 hours of care. Rate per 1,000 Population 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 Number of people support with Care at Home as a rate per 1,000 population, Argyll and Bute and Scotland (Estimated), 2018/19 – 2022/23 Argyll and Bute Scotland (Estimated) Source: Insights in social care: statistics for Scotland, Care at Home services provided and/or funded by health and social care partnerships in Scotland
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Unpaid carers • Adult unpaid carers registered with Carer Centres in Argyll and Bute (June 2023 – June 2024): 2,110 to 2,551 (20.9%) • Young (under 18) unpaid carers registered with Carer Centres in Argyll and Bute (March 2023 – March 2024): 606 to 745 (22.9%) 58.4 41.6 Percentage of unpaid carers by sex, census 2022 (Total: 10,304) Female Male Source: Scottish Government, Census 2022 1.9 3.9 5.9 26.0 38.2 24.1 Percentage of unpaid carers by age group, census 2022 (Total: 10,304) 0 to 15 16 to 24 25 to 34 35 to 49 50 to 64 65 and over
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Indicators on housing
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Housing In June 2023 the Argyll and Bute council was the first local authority in Scotland to declare a housing emergency. To meet the need of affordable housing partners, stakeholders, investors and communities will need to work together. In the process it is important to consider specific housing needs including wheelchair accessible housing, that is currently not equally accessible in all HMAs. The standard affordable ratio is set at 3.5 times the household income. Based on average mean household income levels of £41,265 (CACI, 2022) only 25% of local households would be able to afford the average house price in Argyll & Bute.
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Housing – Ineffective housing stock Source: Council Tax Records April 2024 The percentage of ineffective stock is calculated by dividing the number of empty properties and second homes through the number of properties in the HMA. These are properties that are not being utilised as someone’s main residence. Second homes have the largest contribution to ineffective housing stock. Percentage Coll & Tiree Bute Islay, Jura & Colonsay Mull & Iona Cowal Mid Argyll Kintyre Lorn H&L 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Percentage of ineffective housing stock by Housing Market Area, Argyll and Bute, April 2024
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Housing – Pressure Ratio Source: HOME Argyll Pressure Ratios,2023/24 HMA 1 bed 2 bed 3 bed 4 bed 5+ bed Overall Pressure Ratio Cowal 4:1 2:1 3:1 7:1 5:0 3:1 Bute 1:1 1:1 1:1 8:1 0:0 1:1 Mid Argyll 3:1 1:1 1:1 10:1 3:0 2:1 Kintyre 2:1 1:1 1:1 5:1 3:0 2:1 Islay, Jura, Colonsay 13:1 5:1 7:1 3:1 1:0 8:1 Lorn 5:1 2:1 2:1 8:1 8:0 3:1 Mull & Iona 3:1 1:1 4:1 3:0 2:0 3:1 Coll & Tiree 13:1 7:1 3:0 1:0 0:0 12:1 Helensburgh & Lomond 6:1 3:1 6:1 26:1 8:0 5:1 HOME Argyll Pressure Ratios by Housing Market Area (HMA), Argyll and Bute, 2023/24
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Housing – Homelessness Source: Scottish Government: Homelessness in Scotland In 2022/2023 the rate of households assessed as homeless per 10,000 households in Argyll and Bute was 104, which was lower than the Scottish average (126). Number Argyll and Bute Number Scotland 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2016-17 2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 Number of homelessness applications, Argyll and Bute and Scotland, 2002/03 – 2022/23 Argyll & Bute Scotland
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What are our wellbeing intentions