Democracy Spraffa

Item 7 - Strategic Risks 2022 - 2027

West Dunbartonshire Council · 9 August 2023
Back to Audit Committee — 9 August 2023 and its agenda

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WEST DUNBARTONSHIRE COUNCIL
Report by Chief Officer – People & Technology
Audit Committee: 9 August 2023
___________________________________________________________________
Subject: Strategic Risks 2022-2027
1. Purpose
1.1 To provide an update on the strategic risks for 2022-27.
2. Recommendations
2.1 It is recommended that the Committee note:
• The strategic risks as detailed at Appendix 1.
3. Background
3.1 The Council’s 2022 – 2027 strategic risks were agreed by the Corporate
Services and Audit Committees in November 2022. The appended risks have
been reviewed with re-assessment undertaken before being reported to this
committee. This report is submitted as agreed to Corporate Services and
Audit Committees on a bi-annual basis.
4. Main Issues
Strategic Risk
4.1 In line with the Council’s Risk Management Framework, a re-assessment of
the Strategic Risks has taken place as detailed within Appendix 1. Each risk is
managed through internal controls, linked actions and associated milestones
with the objective being to reduce or stabilise the level of risk through
completion of linked actions over a period and/or ensure mitigation factors are
adequate should the risks actually materialise.
4.2 Table 1 represents a risk dashboard that includes information on the original,
current and target rating for each strategic risk, as well as an assessment of
the current risk status. Each strategic risk is identified and supported by more
detailed information available on a “drill-down” basis in Appendix 1.
Three strategic risks, associated actions and milestones are met, a further six
are progressing as expected and closer to reaching their assigned targets and
SR001 and SR008 are currently off target, which is explained in further detail
below.
ITEM 7

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Table 1 Key Strategic Risk Information
Strategic Risk Original
Risk Oct
2022
Current
Risk July
2023
Target Risk
2027
Risk Status
Rationale
SR 001  Significant
financial funding
reductions/limitations
from Scottish Government
SR 002  Challenges in
implementing broad-
ranging school
improvement to raise
attainment and
achievement
SR 003  Maintaining
Council Assets that are fit
for purpose
SR 004  Keeping abreast
of developments in the
innovative use of
Information Technologies
SR 005  Engaging
positively with Residents,
Communities &
Partnerships
SR 006  Challenges in
protecting the Health and
Safety of Employees and
Others
SR 007  Complexities in
ensuring an appropriately
resourced and resilient
workforce

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Risk Methodology and Reporting
4.3 Each strategic risk is populated in Pentana in terms of the following template:
• Risk title and code;
• Description;
• Ownership;
• Potential effect;
• Measures of impact;
• Risk factors;
• Internal controls;
• Risk opportunity; and
• Linked actions.
4.4  Each risk has been scored using a “4 x 4” matrix for likelihood and impact in
relation to:
• Current risk (with review dates set at pre-determined intervals); and
• Target risk (i.e. 31 March 2027 - the duration of the Strategic Plan).
The risk descriptors used in the “4 x 4” matrix are as follows:
SR 008 Threat of Cyber
Attack
SR 009  Challenges in
delivering effective
services in relation to
Roads & Neighbourhoods
SR 010  Failure to
maintain Housing Stock
SR 011  Inability to
reduce carbon footprint in
line with targets

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Likelihood 
Score Descriptor
1 Unlikely
2 Likely
3 Very likely
4 Certain
Impact
Score Descriptor
1 Minor
2 Moderate
3 Significant
4 Critical
4.5 For ownership, each strategic risk is “Managed By” a Chief Officer and
“Assigned To” a Senior Officer. Strategic risks are also reported on a bi-
annual basis to the Performance & Monitoring Review Group.
Service Risk
4.6 Following the methodology in 4.3 to 4.4 above, each service has owned
operational risk registers in Pentana (the Council’s performance system)
which were reviewed as part of the 2023/24 service planning process.
4.7 Significant financial funding reductions/limitations from Scottish Government
SR001 is currently off target and is currently scored as sixteen compared to a
target rating of four.  Whilst the target rating is desirable, the Council is limited
in its influence over the likelihood of it crystallising.  COSLA continue to lobby
the Scottish Government for fairer funding for Local Government. This
includes contributions from the Council Leader and Chief Executive,
supported by information provided by the Council’s Chief Officer Resources
(S95 Officer) but ultimately, decisions over levels of local government funding
are made by the Scottish Government. The likelihood of this risk is not
expected to decrease in the medium-term with assumptions over future
funding levels incorporated into projected budget gaps as reported in
Financial Update reports presented to Council. Whilst there are ongoing
discussions between the Scottish Government and Local Government in
relation to a new deal, it is too early to determine whether this will have a
positive impact on local government finances or the extent to which the use of
Scottish Government funding is restricted through ring fencing.
4.8 Threat of Cyber Attack
SR008 is currently off target due to several factors. The rise of digital
technologies and interconnected systems has significantly increased the risk
of cyber-attacks, this coupled with emerging technologies such as artificial
intelligence (AI), machine learning, Internet of Things (IoT), quantum

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computing and robotic automations mean the threat landscape is constantly
evolving and increasing.  
As this risk rating remains high, it emphasises the need for proactive
measures to protect the confidentiality, integrity and availability of our data,
critical infrastructure, and overall business operations. This is particularly
relevant in light of the continual threat of ransomware attacks;  
• Advanced Persistent Threats (APT’s) – sophisticated stealthy attacks
conducted by well-resourced groups, targets include critical infrastructure,
government bodies and large corporations; and the risks associated with use
of third party suppliers and vendors.
Progress continues to take place to improve our security posture in line with
the national Public Sector Action plan (PSAP) and Public Sector Network
(PSN) compliance. Vigilance of the National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC)
Cyber Security guidance continues to remain in place considering any
changes regarding the geopolitical instability in Ukraine and the surrounding
areas.
The cyber security landscape continues to evolve rapidly requiring ICT to
adopt proactive measures to protect our assets and maintain business
continuity.  By understanding the current threat landscape, complying with
relevant regulations and guidelines, managing third party risks, and
establishing robust incident response and business continuity plans the
Council is reducing exposure to cyber security risks and building a resilient
cyber security posture.
5. People Implications
5.1 There are no people implications associated with this report, other than in
relation to the mitigation of risk.
6. Financial and Procurement Implications
6.1 There are no financial and/or procurement implications directly associated
with this report however there are in relation to any expenditure linked to
mitigation.
7. Risk Analysis
7.1 Failure to ensure robust risk management is likely to result in the Council
being criticised by External Auditors for not having an integrated approach to
embedding risk management within the authority with the result that a “no
scrutiny required” status would not be achieved.
7.2 Progressing with a robust risk management approach will demonstrate that
the Council is taking ownership of risk management and ensuring effective
measures are in place. The ability to demonstrate risk ownership should
benefit the Council in terms of:

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• Understanding risk and its potential impact on the Council’s priorities and
objectives;
• Reducing insurance premiums going forward by recognising that a mature
approach to risk management will contribute to a reduction in the number
and value of claims across a range of insurance classifications;
• Contributing towards incident prevention based upon post-incident
investigation;
• Meeting statutory/regulatory requirements; and
Ensuring better partnership working with external and internal partners.
8. Equalities Impact Assessment (EIA)
8.1 EIA 548 notes the positive impacts of an approach to risk that integrates
considerations on equalities, human rights health and social and economic
impacts that is aligned with the content of the new Strategic Plan.
9. Consultation
9.1 The strategic risks have been discussed with the Chief Officers and senior
management. The reports to committee are available to the Trades Union and
consultation undertaken as required.
10. Strategic Assessment
10.1 At its meeting on 26 October 2022, the Council agreed that its five main
strategic priorities for 2022 - 2027 are as follows:
• Our Communities  - Resilient and Thriving
• Our Environment - A Greener Future
• Our Economy  -  Strong and Flourishing
• Our Council - Inclusive & Adaptable
10.2 The strategic risks have been identified to complement and underpin all
strategic priorities.
Name:    Victoria Rogers
Designation:   Chief Officer People & Technology
Date:     13 July 2023
Person to Contact: Anna Murray, Risk & Health and Safety Officer
Anna.Murray@west-dunbarton.gov.uk
Appendices: Appendix 1: Detailed Strategic Risk List
Background Papers: West Dunbartonshire Council Strategic Plan 2022-2027
Risk Management Framework
EIA screening