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Item 8 - Strategic Risk Report 2023

West Dunbartonshire Council · 15 February 2023
Back to Audit Committee — 15 February 2023 and its agenda

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WEST DUNBARTONSHIRE COUNCIL
Report by Chief Officer – People & Technology
Audit Committee: 15 February 2023
___________________________________________________________________
Subject: Strategic Risks 2022-2027
1. Purpose
1.1 To provide an update on the strategic risks for 2022-27.
2. Recommendations
2.1 It is recommended that the Committee note:
• The strategic risks as detailed at Appendix 1.
3. Background
3.1 The Council’s 2022 – 2027 strategic risks were agreed by the Corporate
Services and Audit Committees in November 2022. The appended risks have
been reviewed with re-assessment undertaken before being reported to this
committee. This report is submitted as agreed to Corporate Services and
Audit Committees on a bi-annual basis (noting that this report is remitted now
to revert to the bi-annual cycle).
4. Main Issues
Strategic Risk
4.1 In line with the Council’s Risk Management Framework, a re-assessment of
the Strategic Risks has taken place as detailed within Appendix 1. Each risk is
managed through internal controls, linked actions and associated milestones
with the objective being to reduce or stabilise the level of risk through
completion of linked actions over a period of time and/or ensure mitigation
factors are adequate should the risks actually materialise. 
4.2 Table 1 represents a risk dashboard that includes information on the original,
current and target rating for each strategic risk, as well as an assessment of
the current risk status. Each strategic risk is identified and supported by more
detailed information available on a “drill-down” basis in Appendix 1. 
Two strategic risks, associated actions and milestones are met, a further
seven are progressing as expected and closer to reaching their assigned
targets and SR001 and SR008 are currently off-target and this is explained in
further detail below. Supplementary information on SR002 is also provided. 
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Table 1 Key Strategic Risk Information 
Strategic Risk Original
Risk Oct
2022
Current
Risk Dec
2022
Target Risk
2027
Risk Status
Rationale
SR 001  Significant
financial funding
reductions/limitations
from Scottish Government     
SR 002  Challenges in
implementing broad-
ranging school
improvement to raise
attainment and
achievement     
SR 003  Maintaining
Council Assets that are fit
for purpose     
SR 004  Keeping abreast
of developments in the
innovative use of
Information Technologies     
SR 005  Engaging
positively with Residents,
Communities &
Partnerships     
SR 006  Challenges in
protecting the Health and
Safety of Employees and
Others     
SR 007  Complexities in
ensuring an appropriately
resourced and resilient
workforce

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Risk Methodology and Reporting 
4.3 Each strategic risk is populated in Pentana in terms of the following template:
• Risk title and code;
• Description;
• Ownership;
• Potential effect;
• Measures of impact;
• Risk factors;
• Internal controls;
• Risk opportunity; and
• Linked actions. 
4.4  Each risk has been scored using a “4 x 4” matrix for likelihood and impact in
relation to: 
• Current risk (with review dates set at pre-determined intervals); and
• Target risk (i.e. 31 March 2027 - the duration of the Strategic Plan). 
The risk descriptors used in the “4 x 4” matrix are as follows: 
SR 008 Threat of Cyber
Attack     
SR 009  Challenges in
delivering effective
services in relation to
Roads & Neighbourhoods     
SR 010  Failure to
maintain Housing Stock     
SR 011  Inability to
reduce carbon footprint in
line with targets

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Likelihood   
Score Descriptor
1 Unlikely
2 Likely
3 Very likely
4 Certain
Impact 
Score Descriptor
1 Minor
2 Moderate
3 Significant
4 Critical 
4.5  For ownership, each strategic risk is “Managed By” a Chief Officer and
“Assigned To” a Senior Officer. Strategic risks are also reported on a bi-
annual basis to the Performance & Monitoring Review Group. 
Service Risk 
4.6 Following the methodology in 4.3 to 4.4 above, each service has owned
operational risk registers in Pentana (the Council’s performance system);
these will be reviewed as part of the 2023/24 service planning process. 
4.7 Significant financial funding reductions/limitations from Scottish Government 
SR001 is currently off target and is currently scored as twelve compared to a
target rating of four.  Whilst the target rating is desirable the Council is limited
in its influence over the likelihood of it crystallising.  Whilst the Scottish
Government is lobbied by COSLA for fairer funding for Local Government,
which includes contributions from the Council Leader, Chief Executive
supported by information provided by the Council’s Chief Officer Resources
(S95 Officer) ultimately decisions over levels of local government funding are
made by the Scottish Government.  The likelihood of this risk is not expected
to decrease in the medium term future with assumptions over future funding
levels incorporated into projected budget gaps as reported in Financial
Update reports presented to Council. 
4.8 Threat of Cyber Attack 
SR008 is currently off target due to a number of factors. The cyber threat
continues to increase with ransomware being the biggest threat even during
this period of Geo-political instability. Work has been undertaken to continue
securing the Confidentiality, Integrity and Availability of our data and has
resulted in the implementation of new technologies such as remote updating
of devices, network scanning, secure remote control of employee devices and
the replacement of ageing security hardware. In addition, a new secure

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process for remote control of employee devices have also been implemented
to address some of the security challenges from emerging threats. 
New ways of working, including increased remote access users, robotic
process automations, digital transformations and adoption of cloud based
technologies all have an impact on the risk profile of the organisation and ICT
continue to work with service areas to reduce and mitigate emerging risks.
Lack of user awareness within organisations still remains one of the biggest
Cyber Security threats, with a visible increase in Voice Phishing attempts
being seen throughout the organisation, Bank Mandate fraud attempts have
also significantly increased with several attempts to change bank details for
employees being observed.  To combat this we have resumed physical
training events to Elected Members, the Joint Consultative Forum and senior
management within the Council.  Face to face cyber security training
combined with DPA and fraud awareness sessions has also resumed and
these have been well attended.  We have invested in an online Security
Training Platform which will provide additional security awareness training and
allow us to run Phishing campaigns for our staff, delivering short, brief
awareness videos where they are most required.  We are taking steps to
reduce the amount of information that is publicly available about our systems,
policies and processes by restricting specific areas of the employee Intranet
site to a secure login. ICT are reviewing the structure and resources of the
security team to ensure capacity and resilience is built in. In addition, ICT
employees are attending industry standard security training to assist in
managing the threat of Cyber Risk to WDC. 
Work continues to take place to improve our security posture in line with the
national Public Sector Action plan (PSAP) and Public Sector Network (PSN)
compliance. Vigilance of the National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC) Cyber
Security guidance continues to remain in place in light of any changes
regarding the geopolitical instability in Ukraine and the surrounding areas. 
4.9 Challenges in implementing broad-ranging school improvement to raise
attainment and achievement 
SR002 has reduced the risk rating since last reported. The pandemic affected
national and local outcomes in education attainment and equity due to periods
of school/ ELC closure; absence due to Covid and shielding. The risk
reporting period ended on 31st March 2022 and The Education Service had a
recovery strategy for attainment in place. This needed a full academic year
(August 2021 to June 2022) to have an impact on attainment although
employee and pupil absences due to Covid were still being experienced.
However, in academic session 2021/22, a narrowing of the attainment gap
and increase in attainment was achieved in the attainment levels in the Broad
General Education at primary level. A robust improvement and recovery
model is in place to build on the progress made in academic session 2021/
22. As the challenge of Covid absence is lessened this session then further
improvement gains are predicted for academic session 2022/2023. The
Education Committee is provided with regular update reports on progress with

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the strategy to raise attainment and achievement and also the national
agencies monitor and report on local attainment performance. 
5. People Implications 
5.1 There are no people implications associated with this report, other than in
relation to the mitigation of risks 
6. Financial and Procurement Implications 
6.1 There are no financial and/or procurement implications directly associated
with this report however there are in relation to any expenditure linked to
mitigation. 
7. Risk Analysis 
7.1 Failure to ensure robust risk management is likely to result in the Council
being criticised by External Auditors for not having an integrated approach to
embedding risk management within the authority with the result that a “no
scrutiny required” status would not be achieved. 
7.2 Progressing with a robust risk management approach will demonstrate that
the Council is taking ownership of risk management and ensuring effective
measures are in place.  The ability to demonstrate risk ownership should
benefit the Council in terms of: 
• Understanding risk and its potential impact on the Council’s priorities and
objectives;
• Reducing insurance premiums going forward by recognising that a mature
approach to risk management will contribute to a reduction in the number
and value of claims across a range of insurance classifications;
• Contributing towards incident prevention based upon post-incident
investigation;
• Meeting statutory/regulatory requirements; and
Ensuring better partnership working with external and internal partners. 
8. Equalities Impact Assessment (EIA) 
8.1 EIA 548 notes the positive impacts of an approach to risk that integrates
considerations on equalities, human rights health and social and economic
impacts that is aligned with the content of the new Strategic Plan. 
9. Consultation 
9.1 The strategic risks have been discussed with the Chief Officers and senior
management. The reports to committee are available to the Trades Union and
consultation undertaken as required.

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10. Strategic Assessment 
10.1 At its meeting on 26 October 2022, the Council agreed that its five main
strategic priorities for 2022 - 2027 are as follows: 
• Our Communities  - Resilient and Thriving
• Our Environment - A Greener Future
• Our Economy  -  Strong and Flourishing
• Our Council - Inclusive & Adaptable 
10.2 The strategic risks have been identified to complement the main strategic
priorities. 
Name:    Victoria Rogers
Designation:   Chief Officer People & Technology
Date:     13 January 2023 
Person to Contact: Anna Murray, Risk & Health and Safety Officer 
Anna.Murray@west-dunbarton.gov.uk 
Appendices: Appendix 1: Detailed Strategic Risk List  
Background Papers: West Dunbartonshire Council Strategic Plan 2022-2027 
Risk Management Framework
EIA screening