Democracy Spraffa

Item 5 - Strategic Risk Report

West Dunbartonshire Council · 4 September 2024
Back to Audit Committee — 4 September 2024 and its agenda

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WEST DUNBARTONSHIRE COUNCIL
Report by Chief Officer – People & Technology
Audit Committee: 4th September 2024
___________________________________________________________________
Subject: Strategic Risks 2022-2027: Bi-annual update
1. Purpose
1.1 To provide the bi-annual update on the strategic risks for 2022-27.
2. Recommendations
2.1 It is recommended that the Committee note:
 The strategic risks as detailed at Appendix 1 and progress reported.
3. Background
3.1 The Council’s 2022 – 2027 strategic risks were agreed by the Corporate
Services and Audit Committees in November 2022. The appended risks have
been reviewed with re-assessment undertaken before being reported to this
committee. This report is submitted as agreed to Audit Committee on a bi-
annual basis.
4. Main Issues
Strategic Risk
4.1 In line with the Council’s Risk Management Framework, a re-assessment of
the Strategic Risks has taken place as detailed within Appendix 1. Each risk is
managed through internal controls, linked actions and associated milestones
with the objective being to reduce or stabilise the level of risk through
completion of linked actions over a period and/or ensure mitigation factors are
adequate should the risks materialise.
4.2 Table 1 represents a risk dashboard that includes information on the original,
current and target rating for each strategic risk, as well as an assessment of
the current risk status. Each strategic risk is identified and supported by more
detailed information available on a “drill-down” basis in Appendix 1.
Four strategic risks, associated actions and milestones are met, a further
three are progressing as expected and closer to reaching their assigned
targets and SR001, SR007, SR008, and SR011 are currently off target, which
is explained in further detail below.

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Table 1 Key Strategic Risk Information
Strategic Risk Original
Risk
October
2022
Current
Risk
August
2024
Target
Risk
March
2027
Risk Status
Rationale
SR 001  Significant
financial funding
reductions/limitations
from Scottish Government
SR 002  Challenges in
implementing broad-
ranging school
improvement to raise
attainment and
achievement
SR 003  Maintaining
Council Assets that are fit
for purpose
SR 004  Keeping abreast
of developments in the
innovative use of
Information Technologies
SR 005  Engaging
positively with Residents,
Communities &
Partnerships
SR 006  Challenges in
protecting the Health and
Safety of Employees and
Others
SR 007  Complexities in
ensuring an appropriately
resourced and resilient
workforce

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SR 008 Threat of Cyber
Attack
SR 009  Challenges in
delivering effective
services in relation to
Roads & Neighbourhoods
SR 010  Failure to
maintain Housing Stock
SR 011  Inability to
reduce carbon footprint in
line with targets
Risk Methodology and Reporting
4.3 As a reminder, each strategic risk is populated in Pentana (the Council’s
performance management recording system) in terms of the following
template:
 Risk title and code;
 Description;
 Ownership;
 Potential effect;
 Measures of impact;
 Risk factors;
 Internal controls;
 Risk opportunity; and
 Linked actions.
4.4 Each risk has been scored using a “4 x 4” matrix for likelihood and impact in
relation to:
 Current risk (with review dates set at pre-determined intervals); and
 Target risk (i.e. 31 March 2027 - the duration of the Strategic Plan).
The risk descriptors used in the “4 x 4” matrix are as follows:

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Likelihood 
Score Descriptor
1 Unlikely
2 Likely
3 Very likely
4 Certain
Impact
Score Descriptor
1 Minor
2 Moderate
3 Significant
4 Critical
4.5 For ownership, each strategic risk is “Managed By” a Chief Officer and
“Assigned To” a Senior Officer. Strategic risks are also reported on a bi-
annual basis to the Performance & Monitoring Review Group.
Service Risk
4.6 Following the methodology in 4.3 to 4.4 above, each service has owned
operational risk registers in Pentana, reviewed as part of the 2024/25 service
planning process.
4.7 Significant financial funding reductions/limitations from Scottish Government
SR001 is currently off target and is currently scored as sixteen compared to a
target rating of four. Whilst the target rating is desirable, the Council is limited
in its influence over the likelihood of it crystallising. COSLA continue to lobby
the Scottish Government for fairer funding for Local Government. This
includes contributions from the Council Leader and Chief Executive,
supported by information provided by the Council’s Chief Officer Resources
(S95 Officer) but ultimately, decisions over levels of local government funding
are made by the Scottish Government. The likelihood of this risk is not
expected to decrease in the medium-term with assumptions over future
funding levels incorporated into projected budget gaps as reported in
Financial Update reports presented to Council.
4.8 Threat of Cyber Attack
It is anticipated that SR008 will continue to be ranked highly due to the nature
of the risk. The ever-changing digital landscape coupled with the current
global socioeconomic and geopolitical climate has significantly increased the
risk of cyber-attacks and attacks specifically targeted against UK public sector
are now common-place.

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The emphasis remains the need for proactive measures to protect the
confidentiality, integrity and availability of our data, critical infrastructure, and
overall business operations.
Key risks and continual threats remain the same:
 Ransomware attacks – surged in recent years, potential for significant
financial loss and operational disruption.
 Advanced Persistent Threats (APT’s) – sophisticated stealthy attacks
conducted by well-resourced groups, targets include critical infrastructure,
government bodies and large corporations.
 User awareness – Phishing attempts on the rise with more sophisticated
techniques being deployed including voice and text phishing.  Targeted
threats tailored to specific areas of the Council are being observed/monitored.
 Third Party Risks – The Council often relies on third party vendors and
suppliers, increasing the risk of cyber-attacks through the supply chain.
Mitigations:
 Continual improvement of vulnerability/patch management systems and
processes.
 Continual promotion of Cyber awareness through simulated phishing
campaigns supported by online security training and awareness platform.
 The use of machine learning tools to baseline “normal” systems and highlight
any deviation which could indicate potential compromise.
 Improving Email security with enhanced Phishing/Spam identification.
 Improved and more secure remote access solution now implemented.
 Implementing stricter access controls with zero trust technology and policies.
 Continual assessment of the Cyber Security posture.
 Risk Assessments such as Incident Response Readiness review, Security
Gap Analysis, DPIA and regular audits.
 Creation of dedicated Cyber Security team (by re-aligning existing resources)
and providing industry standard training.
 Improvements to perimeter and internal firewall estates with enhanced threat
prevention capabilities.
 Robust Business Continuity and Disaster Recovery plans.
Progress continues to improve the security posture in line with the national
Public Sector Action plan (PSAP) and Public Sector Network (PSN)
compliance. Continued vigilance of the National Cyber Security Centre
(NCSC) Cyber Security guidance.
The cyber security landscape continues to evolve rapidly requiring ICT to
adopt proactive measures to protect assets and maintain business continuity.
By understanding the current threat landscape, complying with relevant
regulations and guidelines, managing third party risks, and establishing robust
incident response and business continuity plans the Council is reducing
exposure to cyber security risks and building a resilient cyber security posture.

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Recent focus has centred on strengthening email security with enhanced user
training capabilities and improving remote access with a more secure robust
solution. Progress has been made to  improve M365 security posture,
enhancing firewall defence in addition to a review of disaster recovery
planning and incident management procedures.
4.9 Complexities in ensuring an appropriately resourced and resilient workforce
The risk rating remains at 6. The difficult financial position means that an
impact on the  workforce is expected however the severity of this remains
unclear. Services are reviewing structures and service delivery models
considering the council's financial challenges.
The Workforce Planning Strategy is in place for 2022-2027. Additionally, the
People First Strategy covers the same period and consolidates several areas:
well-being, employee engagement, workforce planning, learning and
development and digital. A robust package of wellbeing resources is currently
available, the council is recognised as a leading employer in terms of adapting
flexible working practices, attendance levels are closely monitored, with
personal stress and minor ailment absences currently prevalent.
Digital Skills approach has been refreshed with a matrix cascade planned
across the organisation to support 365 Share point rollout utilising digital leads
and champions. To further support this the Digital Transformation Board has
been restructured to focus more on innovation and with a view to achieving
more pragmatic outcomes such as understanding service skills gaps, better
use of data and dashboards and more using of digital tools to improve
processes.
4.10 Inability to reduce carbon footprint in line with targets
The risk of non-delivery of carbon emissions targets remains moderate.
Progress is being made through the delivery of the Climate Change Action
Plan; however, pace of delivery has been, and will continue to be, impeded
due to lack of internal resource and additional funding to deliver.

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5. People Implications
5.1 There are no people implications associated with this report, other than in
relation to the mitigation of risk.
6. Financial and Procurement Implications
6.1 There are no financial and/or procurement implications directly associated
with this report however there are in relation to any expenditure linked to
mitigation.
7. Risk Analysis
7.1 Failure to ensure robust risk management is likely to result in the Council
being criticised by External Auditors for not having an integrated approach to
embedding risk management within the authority with the result that a “no
scrutiny required” status would not be achieved.
7.2 Progressing with a robust risk management approach will demonstrate that
the Council is taking ownership of risk management and ensuring effective
measures are in place. The ability to demonstrate risk ownership should
benefit the Council in terms of:
 Understanding risk and its potential impact on the Council’s priorities and
objectives;
 Reducing insurance premiums going forward by recognising that a mature
approach to risk management will contribute to a reduction in the number
and value of claims across a range of insurance classifications;
 Contributing towards incident prevention based upon post-incident
investigation;
 Meeting statutory/regulatory requirements; and
Ensuring better partnership working with external and internal partners.
8. Equalities Impact Assessment (EIA)
8.1 EIA 548 notes the positive impacts of an approach to risk that integrates
considerations on equalities, human rights health and social and economic
impacts that is aligned with the content of the new Strategic Plan.
9. Consultation
9.1 The strategic risks have been discussed with the Chief Officers and senior
management. The reports to committee are available to the Trades Union and
consultation undertaken as required.

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10. Strategic Assessment
10.1 At its meeting on 26 October 2022, the Council agreed that its five main
strategic priorities for 2022 - 2027 are as follows:
 Our Communities - Resilient and Thriving
 Our Environment - A Greener Future
 Our Economy -  Strong and Flourishing
 Our Council - Inclusive & Adaptable
10.2 The strategic risks have been identified to complement and underpin all
strategic priorities.
Name:   Victoria Rogers
Designation:   Chief Officer People & Technology
Date:   6 August 2024
Person to Contact: Anna Murray, Risk & Health and Safety Officer
Anna.Murray@west-dunbarton.gov.uk
Appendices: Appendix 1: Detailed Strategic Risk List
Background Papers: West Dunbartonshire Council Strategic Plan 2022-2027
Risk Management Framework
EIA screening