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Financial Update Report to Council Dec 23

Renfrewshire Council · 14 December 2023
Back to Council — 14 December 2023 and its agenda

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____________________________________________________________________
To: Council
On: 14 December 2023
____________________________________________________________________
Report by: Director of Finance & Resources
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Heading: General Fund Financial Update
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1. Summary 
1.1 Successive financial update reports to the Council have highlighted the
ongoing and increasingly challenging financial and economic
environment the Council is facing. The recent UK Government Autumn
Statement provides no cause for optimism in terms of an improved
outlook for investment in public services, while the economic
environment remains challenged with sustained weak growth and
productivity and continuing high levels of inflation. This results in a
financial and economic environment characterised by increasing levels
of risk; placing the Council’s financial sustainability under continued
pressure. This follows more than a decade of financial challenge which
has reduced the Council’s financial resilience and ability to respond to
these ongoing and sustained financial challenges. 
1.2 Previous financial updates to Council outlined the requirement for the
Council to develop and deliver savings which would address major
financial sustainability risks, and this requirement has not abated. 
1.3 The report provides an update on the current and forecast target level of
savings; an update with regards the current year financial position and
an early indication of the potential position for 24/25 and subsequent
years over the medium term. Key issues in terms of the requirement to

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sensibly and prudently use reserve balances to support the Council’s
medium term position are outlined; along with key risks to this position. 
1.4 The report also provides an update to challenges to the existing capital
programme as have been previously advised to Council.
___________________________________________________________________ 
2. Recommendations 
2.1 Note the economic outlook provided in the report;
2.2 Note the update provided in relation to the current financial year, the
medium term and the continued requirement to deploy reserve balances
in a controlled and managed fashion to maintain financial stability;
2.3 Note the update provided in section 7 in relation to the net forecast
financial position, the importance of Council understanding that the use
of reserve balances to support the Council’s financial position is a short-
term tool only, and agree the principles outlined in relation to the planned
use of reserves; and
2.4 Note the capital update in section 8 and agree the recommended
adjustments to the capital plan.
_________________________________________________________
3. Economic outlook
3.1 The main event which provides context for the current and future
economic outlook was the UK Government Autumn Statement which
was published on 22 November, accompanied by economic and fiscal
forecast updates from the Office of Budget Responsibility (OBR). 
3.2 The main policy objectives set out by the Chancellor in the Autumn
Statement was to attempt to raise the future economic growth rate,
without impacting on the already high inflation rate. To this end the
Chancellor announced a host of supply side initiatives. However, the
OBR, while accepting that these would be positive, estimated the scale
of the combined impact of all this as minimal: an increase of 0.3% on
GDP after 5 years. Furthermore, other non-Autumn Statement related
changes to forecasts meant that economic output and productivity
growth forecasts to 2028 actually fell, from an annual rate of 1.2% to 1%
in the case of the latter.

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3.3 In terms of public finances, higher than anticipated tax revenues allowed
the Chancellor some spending leeway but this was curtailed by rising
debt interest payments. In the end, he largely used the financial
headroom to fund tax cuts, e.g. on Employees (and self-employed)
National Insurance, rather than reduce borrowing (and debt) or
increasing public spending. As a result, the prospects for public service
spending continue to deteriorate significantly. This is because they were
already constrained but now, in real terms (i.e. after adjusting for
inflation), they are even worse, due to ‘higher for longer’ inflation than
was previously forecast. Chart 1 shows the impact of this in terms of
revenue/DEL (day-to-day) spending.
Chart 1: change in real total RDEL spending from 2022-23 
3.4  The Chancellor’s objective in terms of public spending can be summed
up in his own words during his Statement: “…we will ensure that over
time the growth in public spending is lower than the growth in the
economy …”. With economic growth forecasts over the next five years
projected to be circa 1% per annum, this would suggest very flat growth
in public spending. 
3.5 In terms of the economic outlook, the combined announcements from the
Treasury and OBR may be summarised as follows:
• The Economy (GDP): while growth has been faster than expected this
year, in future years it is lower, despite a raft of measures to improve
it. While these policies may have a positive impact, other changes to

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the OBR’s forecast mean that both future productivity and (real terms)
GDP growth have declined compared to the forecast the OBR made
in March;
• Inflation (CPI): peaked at 10.7% in the 4th quarter of 2022 (over 13%
for RPI) and has fallen in the second half of 2023, although not as
sharply as expected back in March. Furthermore the negative inflation
forecast for 2025 is no longer, although CPI is still forecast to dip
below the 2% target post 2024. Different inflation measures - CPI,
RPI, GDP deflator - can still vary considerably, for example, between
2.3% (GDP deflator) and 5.1% (RPI) in 2024, meaning that it remains
difficult to be definitive about real, rather than cash, terms changes in
the OBR forecasts; 
• Interest rates: peaks at 5.4% and average about 1 percentage point
higher than forecast in March; 
• Unemployment rate: rises to 4.6% in 2024 before starting to slowly
fall; 
• Living standards: are set to decline in 2024 in real terms, but not for
as long, and not as much as before.
• Interestingly, the OBR forecasts also assume council tax in England
will increase by around 5% per year out to 2028/29.
3.6  The Chancellor did announce welcome increases in LHA rates and
benefits; and the reduction in NIC contributions for employees and the
self-employed will apply in Scotland equally as elsewhere in the UK,
benefiting those in Scotland earning the median wage by £415 per year.
3.7 Turning to the Scottish Budget, there will be additional funding for the
Scottish Government through the Barnett formula of £545 million,
approximately £233m in this financial year and £281m in the next. The
main measures generating consequentials are:
• the funding of the pay award for the NHS in England in 2023-24,
which generates £235m; 
• 75% relief on business rates in England for the retail, hospitality and
leisure sectors in 2024-25, up to a £110,000 cash cap, which
generates £232m; 
• freezing the small business multiplier in England in 2024-25, which
generates £32m. 
While the Scottish Government is free to spend this money where it likes,
it is likely that the NHS related consequentials will be ring-fenced for the
NHS in Scotland.

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3.8 In terms of the Scottish Government financial position, Audit Scotland
recently highlighted that “the delivery of public services in their current
form is not affordable, with inflationary pressures and public sector pay
settlements having a significant impact”. The report went on to say that
“The Scottish Government must work with partners to develop a
programme of public service reform, including workforce redesign, which
balances the short-term financial pressures with the need for longer-term
change, recognising that this may require financial investment”. This
clear indication of pressure on the Scottish Government Budget position
over the medium term will likely impact on the local government
settlement, and is reflected in the Council’s medium-term financial
assumptions, outlined in further detail below. The difficulties for the
Scottish Government were recently confirmed by the Finance Secretary,
who confirmed that the public sector workforce would have to reduce due
to tight budgets and inflation-driven pay deals.
3.9 The Council’s financial strategy remains fluid and is continually updated
to reflect emerging new pressures or changing levels of existing
pressure. This position underlines the necessity for the Council to take
steps to address underlying financial sustainability through the
development and implementation at pace of savings measures which
meet the targets set out later in this report.
4 2023/24 Financial Position
4.1 Members are aware the recent very high levels of inflation experienced
in the economy have driven cost increases which are impacting on
families and household finances, as well as the Council and associated
bodies, community organisations and businesses. While the outlook for
inflation has eased – the CPI rate is currently 4.6%, down from a peak of
11% in 2022 – the Bank of England suggest that inflation will remain
above its 2% target for some time. The welcome reduction in inflation is
good news for both households and council finances, however the
legacy of the very high rates recently experienced is still being felt, with
many staple purchases such as food continuing to be the subject of high
and increasing prices.  And of course lower inflation does not mean a
reduction in cost – simply that the rate of increase in costs in slowing.
4.2 As has been previously reported, the Council continues to face cost
pressures in other areas – energy costs, food, transportation and diesel
costs. Vehicle parts costs are increasingly an issue, while building and
construction cost pressures remain an ongoing concern.

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4.3 In addition to cost increases, and as has been reported regularly
throughout the year, the council is also experiencing higher demand for
some services – most pressingly in children and families’ social care.
Despite intensive social work support, there continues to be significant
need to accommodate children and young adults in kinship care, foster
care or residential accommodation. For some children, this entails highly-
intensive care packages which are increasingly expensive. This position
has been building over the past 2-3 years with an overspend being
incurred in 2021/22 and 2022/23. In setting the budget for 2023/24,
increased provision of £2m in the base budget was made, however it
was acknowledged at that point that the costs expected were likely to be
significantly in excess of this amount, and indeed that has transpired;
with the service forecasting an overspend of £2 – 3m in residential care.
In addition, the Scottish Government has agreed national maintenance
allowance rates for foster and kinship carers which is backdated to 1
April 2023. The national rates are higher that the rates paid by the
Council, resulting in an in-year financial pressure of £0.5m. As members
are aware, increased social care funding has in recent years been
passed in full to the HSCP as a specific condition of the local
government settlement. This position is not sustainable moving forward,
nor is the continuation of such restrictive conditions appropriate under
the Verity House Agreement. 
4.4  There remain other Covid-related pressures, with parking income still
well below pre-pandemic levels, and very high school transport costs
being incurred with no prospect of these reducing.
4.5 The Council Overview finance report to the recent Finance, Resources
and Customer Services Policy Board outlined a 2023/24 projected
overspend (excluding the overspend projected in adult social care) of
£7.8 million. This projection is exclusive of a number of other risks to the
2023/24 financial position:
• The 2023/24 pay award has been agreed for those employees on
local government and craft terms & conditions. The agreement
reached for these groups is broadly a combination of a core pay
increase of 5.5% with further consolidated elements to support the
lowest paid in the workforce, who will receive an increase in the hourly
rate of £1.04. Council agreed a provision for pay awards based on a
3% increase. While additional Scottish Government funding has been
provided to support the pay settlement, the amount allocated will be
insufficient to meet the expected total cost, requiring the Council to
fund the differential (estimated at £0.5 – 1m) and to build this deficit in

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to future base budgets. It is likely in-year financial support will also be
required by OneRen in relation the 23/24 pay award.
• There are a range of other cost pressures the Council is facing in
relation to reduced parking income, increased streetlighting
maintenance costs, higher levels of overtime due to increased annual
leave and public holidays in 2023 and significant pressure in relation
to property maintenance.  While these cost pressures are
incorporated into the forecast outturn figure above, there is a risk that
other pressures may emerge over the winter period.
• The projection does not include any variance relating to the collection
of Council Tax. Current forecasts suggest collection rates are holding
up in line with budget, however it is recognised that the cost-of-living
crisis may yet impact on households over the winter period which
could have significant effect on yield. 
4.6  The sum of these pressures could result in the Council delivering a £8-9
million gross revenue overspend by the end of the 2023/24 financial
year. Directors and management teams are closely monitoring their
costs, restricting spend to essential spend only and are aiming to
mitigate increases where possible. As anticipated by Council in setting
the 23/24 budget, it is certain the Council will require to utilise reserve
balances to fund the projected overspend and support a break-even
position at year end. In March 2023 Council agreed to the utilisation of
up to £11.6 million of reserve balances to address anticipated service
pressures and to fund the position on loan charges. It is anticipated the
forecast outturn position reflected above will be broadly in line with this
budgeted position.
4.7 Council agreed in March 2023 to consolidate a number of Covid-19
related balances into a single financial sustainability fund which would be
utilised over the medium term to support the Council’s budget position
while recurring spend levels is brought back in line with income. This
fund will continue to be the main source of support to the Council’s
financial position as is outlined below. 
4.8 Members will note that the deployment of reserves to achieve a break-
even financial position is not sustainable and reinforces the need for the
Council to address its projected core structural funding deficit over this
period as soon as possible. Given the ongoing highly constrained
financial risk environment, maintaining unallocated reserves at their
current level is recommended.

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5 Medium Term Revenue Outlook
5.1 Previous reports to Council have outlined a medium-term forecast which
– based on the Council’s central planning assumption – results in a
financial gap in the range of £45m-£50m over the three-year period
2024/25 to 2026/27. This forecast is prior to any decision on council tax.
Assuming a 5% uplift in council tax in each year, the cumulative gap
would reduce to a range of £30m-£35m. The table below extends this
timeframe out to 2027/28 for the central scenario:
Table 1 
5.2 The above position is based on a range of assumptions which are
outlined in further detail below; however it should also be noted at this
point the figures in the table above can only be estimates based on
information currently available, and will be subject to change.  
Summary medium term forecast
24/25 25/26 26/27 27/28
£m £m £m £m
Opening base budget gap 6 5.3 6.0 9.2
New pressures:
Pay (3%/3%/2.5%/2.5%) 8.4 8.0 8.0 8.5
Non-pay 5.9 7.0 7.5 8.0
Borrowing 0.5 0.5 4.5 0.5
Asset maintenance 2.0 2.0
Gross pressures 20.8 22.8 28.0 26.2
Savings:
Right for Renfrewshire -1.5
Property -0.5 -0.3
Fees & Charges -0.8 -0.3 -0.3 -0.4
Council Tax base increase -2.0 -1.5 -1.5 -1.0
Corporate and service savings -4.7 -1.5
To be identified -8.0 -8.0 -8.0
11.3 11.2 18.2 16.8
Increase in SG revenue grant 0.0 0.0 -4.0 -4.0
Budget gap prior to CT decision 11.3 11.2 14.2 12.8
CT increase (6%/5%/4.5%/4%) -6.0 -5.2 -5.0 -4.8
Recurring budget gap 5.3 6.0 9.2 8.0
Use of reserves -5.3 -6 -9 -8

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5.3 Revenue Grant 
The central assumption is for a flat cash allocation out to 2026/27, with a
slight increase of around 1% per annum in the years following. The
current spending review period is to 2024/25 and it is anticipated, based
on the Autumn Statement position outlined above and the measures
contained within that which will impact on 2025/26, that it would be
2026/27 before any substantive change could be made in terms of the
outlook for public spending, either at a UK or Scotland level. Given the
current continuing high rates of inflation this will obviously constrain the
Council given it represents a real terms cut to funding. While the Scottish
Government is projected to receive an additional £0.5 billion from the UK
Government over the current and next financial years as outlined above,
given the demands on the Scottish Government and the impact of
inflation, there is little to suggest any improvement in the flat cash
position for local government over the short to medium term. This
position will be clarified (for 2024/25 at least) when the Scottish
Government publishes its Draft Budget on 19 December 2023.
5.4 Council tax 
Each year an assessment is made with regards movement in the council
tax base i.e. the number and banding of domestic properties for which a
council tax liability may arise. Based on forecast house build completions
it is estimated that a slightly higher increase in the base could be
confidently built into the forecast position in the short term, with
increases easing back to their historic average in the later years of the
forecast. Risk remains however with regards actual yield as the cost of
living crisis continues. 
For 2024/25, the position is highly uncertain given the First Minister’s
announcement of a council tax freeze, and subsequent assurances that
this freeze would be fully funded to councils by the Scottish Government.
Obviously, it is for each council to make their own decision on council tax
levels, and each will have been basing their financial assumptions on
their local own circumstances. It will be critical for the Council to ensure
that the Scottish Government compensatory funding received is clearly in
addition to the core settlement; and that it is at a level which meets
Council expectations of full funding. 
5.5 Pay inflation 
As outlined above, the pay award for 2023/24 has very recently been
settled. Despite additional funding from the Scottish Government, there
will remain an unfunded gap in 2023/24 which will carry forward into
future years and which must be addressed in base budgets moving

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forward. The pay assumptions for future years are outlined in the table
above; however given levels of inflation remain relatively high (and are
forecast to remain higher for longer), there may again be pressure on
these assumed levels of increase. However, the provisions set out
represent the ceiling of what is affordable.
5.6 Non-pay inflation 
The Council has a long standing principle of no general inflationary
pressures being funded, with an expectation that Directors and their
management teams will seek ongoing efficiencies in order to meet
general inflationary pressures. However, where a pressure is
“unavoidable”, and there is no scope for the Director to realistically
mitigate these costs, then provision will be made within the Council’s
base budget. Given continuing high levels of inflation, the unavoidable
pressure is unsurprisingly higher as we move in to 2024/25. The
estimate for 2024/25 included in the table above is based on detailed
returns from services which have been assessed and only the most
pressing issues and costs are proposed to be funded. Pressures totalling
in excess of £15 million have been outlined by services, however only a
proportion of these are proposed to be funded. 
5.7 Long-term debt 
Members will recall that the 2022/23 revenue budget included use of
longer term capital financing flexibilities totalling £7.5 million, which it was
acknowledged would result in higher costs in the longer term but were
required in order to manage through the medium term; with appropriate
base budget adjustments being made in future years. In addition,
provision for borrowing costs related to the new Dargavel primary school
and extension to Park Mains HS has been included. 
5.8 Lifecycle maintenance 
Members will be aware of the significant pressure on property and
infrastructure budgets, which owing to financial pressures have not been
increased in several years. In order to mitigate both the backlog of
maintenance issues and the increase in costs of construction materials
and repairs, additional funding has been built into the forecast position
over the medium term.
5.9 The above assumptions and anticipated costs represent only those for
existing services. There may of course be other issues which arise which
have not been anticipated; or the assumed levels above may prove to be
inadequate. There is also no provision within the above summary for
further investment in Council priorities e.g. climate change, social

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renewal and Fairer Renfrewshire etc, over that which has already been
set aside. 
5.10 There are two key emerging risks for 2024/25 which members should be
aware of: 
• The Council has been notified of an increase in employer
contributions towards teacher pensions from 23% to 26% on 1 April
2024. The additional cost of this increase for the Council is estimated
at £2.6 million, which should be funded through Barnett
consequentials to the Scottish Government, which should then flow to
local government. This assumption is not confirmed at present; and
remains a further risk to the position as outlined in table 1.
• As reported to the recent Leadership Board, there are increasing
pressures in relation to migration and asylum provision, particularly
related to UK Home Office decisions being streamlined to tackle the
volume of asylum seekers nationally. The significant potential
increase in homeless presentations linked to the asylum population in
Renfrewshire and more widely across the West of Scotland, is
anticipated to create additional financial pressures for Council
services.  Projections are currently being developed and will be
reported as they become available. 
6 Savings and Financial Sustainability Workstreams 
6.1 Table 1 above outlines that, excluding the increase in the council tax
base, savings of £9.3 million are anticipated in 2024/25. These savings
have been achieved across a range of agreed workstreams including the
Right for Renfrewshire transformation programme and other financial
sustainability workstreams including a review of property costs with
savings being achieved through for example exiting from leased
properties such as Abbey House.
6.2 Corporate and service savings are also included, the main component of
which is the recurring saving which is possible through the long-term
reduction in employer pension contributions for local government
employees as advised to Council in September. 
6.3 As previously reported to Council, progress with the financial
sustainability workstreams has highlighted the challenges involved in
driving out significant savings that do not impact on service delivery.
Some workstreams will also take longer to deliver savings, or in some
cases, while not delivering significant savings in their own right, the work
is important to undertake as it is a critical enabler in the delivery of other
service changes or savings. For example, development and

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improvement of the Council’s web presence through the Digital
Experience project, supported by the trialling of automated technology,
will take some investment in the short to medium term. It will however be
a key enabler in increasing digital ways of working and digital customer
services, which are expected to generate efficiencies in the longer term
as well as improvements to service provision.
6.4 In addition, improving the purchase to pay (P2P) processes employed by
the Council will ultimately allow for improved visibility and consistency
over what the council purchases. There has been significant effort by the
procurement team, working in conjunction with managers across the
council, to try and generate price savings through improved contract
management and tender specification; however in an environment of
high inflation, generating price and therefore cost reduction is very
difficult. The main route therefore to reducing spend is by reducing the
volume and scope of what the council purchases. Improved P2P
processes is a key enabler in securing better data on which to base
future purchasing decisions.
6.5 The medium-term outlook reflected in Table 1 above highlights the very
challenging financial position the Council faces; and suggests that as a
minimum a further savings target of £8m per annum be set each year
from 2025/26 and that this requirement be kept under careful review as
the outlook continues to develop. Savings at this level will be difficult to
meet given these will be coming on the back of over a decade of savings
being required on a similar if not larger scale. However, setting a target
at this level is viewed as the minimum required if the Council is to return
itself to a position of recurring financial balance where there is no longer
a reliance on reserves and financial sustainability is secured. Proposals
for delivery of savings at this scale will again require to be developed by
officers in addition to delivery of savings under existing workstreams.
Key for members to recognise is that, even after delivery of £8m of
savings year-on-year from 2025/26, there remains a £8m forecast
recurring financial gap at the end of 2027/28. Assuming the targeted
level of savings is achieved, over the period from 2021/22, savings in the
order of £50 million will have been delivered, simply to enable the
Council in effect to stand still financially. 
6.6 An area of significant spend within the Council relates to Children’s
Services (the service makes up around 50% of the Council total net
revenue budget); however, it is acknowledged that the current pressures
being faced by elements of this service and wider obligations in terms of
specific funding streams will make the delivery of recurring savings
particularly challenging. Nonetheless, it is not possible to deliver savings

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on the scale targeted without some of this saving coming from Children’s
Services and officers will be required to explore and identify saving
opportunities from all areas of service.
6.7 This work will continue over the coming months with update reports to be
provided to Council and Policy Boards as appropriate; including
consideration at Council budget setting. Development of further
proposals and delivery of those which have been developed must remain
a key Council priority and will be one which will place increasingly
significant demands on already stretched management capacity. 
7 Medium Term Financial Position and Reserves 
7.1 It is apparent from Table 1 that there remains a considerable gap over
the medium term, which will require to be addressed as Council
considers most immediately the 2024/25 budget. As has been outlined in
previous reports, there is a timing disconnect between the speed at
which the financial gap is expected to emerge and the ability of the
Council to generate and secure recurring savings to sustainably close it.
The need for the Council to make spending and service prioritisation
decisions at a greater scale and pace than over recent years in order to
fully commit to the delivery of sustainable savings over the medium term
has been consistently highlighted in each recently published financial
outlook report. This will require the current lower level of real terms
resources and spending capacity at the Council’s disposal to be focused
on those areas of greatest need and priority. These decisions will
inevitably be challenging for the Council; and must be balanced with the
requirement to continue to deliver core services. In this context, what is
clear is that with the Council’s financial spend predominantly driven by
the cost of its workforce, to secure savings at the scale envisaged the
organisation’s workforce will consequently be smaller in scale by
2027/28 than it is at present. 
7.2 The planned use of reserves as a support to the Council’s medium-term
financial position has been outlined in previous reports as likely to be
required; and the analysis in Table 1 clearly demonstrates this
requirement. The application of reserves is a legitimate tool in managing
shorter term financial challenges and securing immediate financial
stability while sustainable savings are generated to match financial
pressures, but it cannot ever be more than a short-term measure. In
summary, the financial sustainability reserve will be the prime source of
support to the Council’s financial position over the medium term, and as
is outlined in the forecast position above, the Council will require to

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deploy around £30 million of this reserve balance over 2023/24 to
2027/28.
7.3 While there remain uncertainties in much of the analyses above, it may
be helpful to reiterate previously agreed principles in terms of the
planned use of specific reserves which could be deployed to support the
Council’s medium-term financial position:
• There should be no planned use of unallocated reserves, which are
held as a risk contingency. Unallocated reserves should be
maintained at a minimum of £10 million (2.3% of net running costs)
over the medium term;
• The Council commits to the planned use of the financial sustainability
reserve (including the non-recurring benefit anticipated in 2024/25 and
2025/26 from the reduced level of employer pension contributions as
advised to Council in September) to support the medium-term
financial position, and in the interim, develops and implements plans
to address the underlying structural financial gap in a sustainable
manner. 
7.4 An updated revenue outlook will be provided to future Council meetings
including the annual budget setting meeting, incorporating the confirmed
level of Scottish Government revenue support in 2024/25, any revised
financial assumptions and any variation in the requirement to utilise ring-
fenced reserve balances from that outlined in Table 1.
8 General Fund Capital Programme
8.1 The Council has an ambitious capital programme, incorporating the
delivery of significant investment in cultural venues and wider
infrastructure linked to City Deal projects and Levelling Up Funding; as
well as major improvement and expansion projects in the school estate.
8.2 Recognising the significant financial risks to the capital programme over
the period of the pandemic, Council previously agreed to set aside £10m
of funding to address both increased costs and the risks of contractor
claims for delays incurred over the pandemic. Council subsequently
agreed to utilise £4m of this funding in order to enable a capital funding
switch related to the 22/23 pay award; with the remaining balance being
subsumed into the financial sustainability reserve.
8.3 As projects proceed and conclude, a number of contractual claims are
now emerging as was predicted, while additional costs are also emerging
in relation to unanticipated works required. There are particular risks
inherent in the refurbishment and redevelopment of historic buildings

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such as Paisley Town Hall, Arts Centre and the Museum. Some of these
were anticipated and financially planned for as part of contingency
budgets to an extent, however in many instances the scale of such risks
have been greater than anticipated and indeed some have only emerged
as intrusive works were undertaken.
8.4 It is likely that costs will be incurred in excess of agreed budgets within
the existing capital plan. Where budgets are expected to be exceeded,
appropriate approval will be sought to adjust the capital plan to reflect
these costs and will result in an additional draw from the Investment
Capital Fund. There is an immediate issue in terms of the contractual
closedown on the Paisley Town Hall refurbishment, where extensive
claims for additional works and prolongation are being worked through
with the contractor. Based on current expert assessment and advice, it is
estimated that the project may require additional resources of £2.1
million.  It is recommended therefore that provision is made from the
Investment Capital fund to meet this expected cost. 
8.5 Members should be aware further costs are likely to emerge in relation to
other capital investment projects, and further updates will be provided as
these costs are clarified, however there are known pressures on planned
projects which it is proposed would be addressed through the
reallocation of existing resource within the agreed capital plan as
outlined below. 
8.6 Council has agreed investment projects at the OnX Linwood in outdoor
facilities, including refurbishing the running track and hockey pitch; as
well as a further investment in outdoor play facilities. Indicative costs for
these projects suggest the current provisions will be insufficient; requiring
the reallocation of funding to meet the additional costs. This is also the
case with the proposed investment at St James playing fields, where
despite the project being redesigned; a retender exercise has confirmed
costs are still in excess of the available budget. It is therefore proposed
to reallocate the funding set aside for outdoor play at the OnX to meet
these additional costs as follows - £0.754 million reallocated from
External Sports OnX Linwood (with the remaining £0.600 million balance
being fully committed to the refurbishment of the existing hockey pitch at
the OnX Linwood); £0.600 million to St James Playing Fields
redevelopment (total budget therefore being £3.500 million); and £0.154
million to OnX running track (total budget therefore being £0.354 million,
excluding a contribution from Kilbarchan Amateur Athletics Club).
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Implications of the Report
1. Financial - the report highlights the scale of the short and medium term
financial challenge facing the Council. The development and
implementation of financial sustainability workstreams as outlined in the
report are critical to ultimately supporting the Council secure a financially
sustainable position.   
2. HR & Organisational Development - the medium term financial position
and associated plans require to align with workforce and service plans to
ensure the size and composition of the Council workforce remains
appropriate and affordable. 
3. Community/Council Planning – the Council requires to remain
financially sustainable in order to deliver on its priorities as outlined in the
Council and Community Plans; and these revised Plans will in turn
require to inform the financial strategy. 
4. Legal – none arising directly from this report. 
5. Property/Assets - the report outlines the ongoing strategic review of
property which will aim to ensure the Council’s asset base remain
effective and efficient. 
6. Information Technology - the report outlines the need to ensure the
Council Digital strategy supports ongoing financial sustainability; with any
digital developments being underpinned by a robust business case.
7. Equality & Human Rights - the recommendations contained within this
report have been assessed in relation to their impact on equalities and
human rights. No negative impacts on equality groups or potential for
infringement of individuals’ human rights have been identified arising
from the recommendations contained in the report. If required following
implementation, the actual impact of the recommendations and the
mitigating actions will be reviewed and monitored, and the results of the
assessment will be published on the Council’s website. 
8. Health & Safety - none arising directly from this report.
9. Procurement – the report outlines the need for improved procurement
processes in order to support the Council’s ongoing financial
sustainability.

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10. Risk - as outlined in the report, the Council’s financial risk exposure over
the medium term remains high. The report outlines increasing financial
risks as well as a range of key measures to be implemented as part of
the medium-term financial planning arrangements to protect the
Council’s immediate financial stability and resilience but also continue to
progress toward medium term financial sustainability.
11. Privacy Impact – none arising directly from this report. 
12. Cosla Policy Position – none arising directly from this report.
13. Climate Risk – none arising directly from this report. 
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Author:           Alastair MacArthur, Director of Finance & Resources