Appendix IV
Perth and Kinross Council · 7 September 2022
Back to Finance and Resources Committee — 7 September 2022 and its agenda
Text extracted from the council's PDF. Layout and reading order may differ from the original.
Page 1
PERTH AND KINROSS COUNCIL PRUDENTIAL INDICATORS - QUARTER ENDING 30 JUNE 2022 APPENDIX IV 1 Financing Costs:Net Revenue Stream The ratio of Capital Financing Costs (Loan Charges) to the Council's net revenue stream shall not exceed the following limits, which are based on historic levels, and allow some headroom for movement in interest rates. The estimated Financing Costs below are based on the latest monitoring figures. 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 Prudential Limit - General Fund 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% Estimated Ratio of Financing Costs to Revenue 6.83% 7.39% 8.27% 8.89% 9.15% 9.03% Prudential Limit - HRA 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% Estimated Ratio of Financing Costs to Revenue 21.44% 23.21% 23.04% 22.36% 22.24% 22.45% 2 Gross & Net Borrowing and Capital Financing Requirements For prudence, net external borrowing must not exceed the total capital financing requirement, thus ensuring that over the medium term, borrowing is only undertaken for capital purposes. The estimated total net borrowing and Capital Financing Requirement at the end of each of the years are as follows: Actual as at Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected 30-Jun-22 31-Mar-23 31-Mar-24 31-Mar-25 31-Mar-26 31-Mar-27 31-Mar-28 Net External Borrowing* 499,227,000 580,136,000 804,214,000 950,431,000 1,029,949,000 1,074,466,000 1,104,709,000 Gross External Borrowing* 746,001,000 730,136,000 874,214,000 1,000,431,000 1,079,949,000 1,124,466,000 1,154,709,000 Capital Financing Requirement 653,019,000 747,361,000 893,876,000 1,018,575,000 1,098,272,000 1,144,056,000 1,175,930,000 *For the purpose of this indicator, Borrowing includes the outstanding liability under PPP/PFI contracts. 3 Estimates of Gross Capital Expenditure The total estimated Capital Expenditure contained within the Council's Budgets for each year is as follows, based on updated monitoring figures. Composite Programme 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 Current estimate 163,988,000 171,930,000 137,333,000 83,294,000 58,519,000 46,128,000 Original Budget Estimate (including Budget Motion) 176,562,000 173,493,000 126,749,000 61,376,000 52,519,000 43,737,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Expenditure (12,574,000) (1,563,000) 10,584,000 21,918,000 6,000,000 2,391,000 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the 2022/23 to 2027/28 Composite Capital Budget Report on 23 February 2022 The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 1 on 7 September 2022. HRA Programme 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 Current estimate 18,131,000 17,022,000 13,867,000 18,954,000 16,044,000 16,500,000 Original Budget Estimate 17,299,000 15,983,000 13,886,000 20,085,000 16,044,000 16,500,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Expenditure 832,000 1,039,000 (19,000) (1,131,000) 0 0 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the 2020/21 Housing & Communities Budget Report on 24 January 2022. The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 1 on 7 September 2022.
Page 2
PERTH AND KINROSS COUNCIL PRUDENTIAL INDICATORS - QUARTER ENDING 30 JUNE 2022 APPENDIX IV 4 Estimate of Capital Financing Requirement The estimate (as at JUly 2022) of the Capital Financing Requirement (ie new borrowing requirement for Capital Expenditure) for each year based on these plans is as follows: Composite Programme 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 Current Estimated Capital Financing Requirement 123,419,000 137,855,000 115,359,000 61,499,000 38,804,000 26,458,000 Original Budget Estimate (including Budget Motion) 140,264,000 137,906,000 106,775,000 41,581,000 34,804,000 26,067,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Financing Requirement (16,845,000) (51,000) 8,584,000 19,918,000 4,000,000 391,000 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the 2022/23 to 2027/28 Composite Capital Budget Report on 23 February 2022 The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 1 on 7 September 2022. HRA Programme 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 Current Estimated Capital Financing Requirement 15,673,000 14,377,000 10,538,000 14,994,000 11,765,000 12,000,000 Original Budget Estimate 14,685,000 13,338,000 10,557,000 16,125,000 11,765,000 12,000,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Financing Requirement 988,000 1,039,000 (19,000) (1,131,000) 0 0 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the 2020/21 Housing & Communities Budget Report on 24 January 2022. The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 1 on 7 September 2022. 5 External Debt (Gross and Net) As at Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected External Borrowing 30-Jun-22 31-Mar-23 31-Mar-24 31-Mar-25 31-Mar-26 31-Mar-27 31-Mar-28 Public Works Loan Board 563,000,000 560,000,000 710,000,000 842,000,000 927,000,000 977,000,000 1,012,000,000 Market Bonds (LOBOs) 43,200,000 43,200,000 43,200,000 43,200,000 43,200,000 43,200,000 43,200,000 Project Borrowing 140,000 140,000 0 0 0 0 0 Special Loans 2,169,272 2,169,272 2,169,272 2,169,272 2,169,272 2,169,272 2,169,272 Temporary Loans/Other Borrowing 11,766,980 3,300,000 3,000,000 2,700,000 2,700,000 2,700,000 2,700,000 Other Long Term Liabilities (PPP/PFI) 125,724,977 121,326,977 115,844,477 110,361,977 104,879,477 99,396,977 94,639,577 Total Gross External Debt 746,001,229 730,136,249 874,213,749 1,000,431,249 1,079,948,749 1,124,466,249 1,154,708,849 Short Term Investments (246,774,462) (150,000,000) (70,000,000) (50,000,000) (50,000,000) (50,000,000) (50,000,000) Long Term Investments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Net External Debt 499,226,767 580,136,249 804,213,749 950,431,249 1,029,948,749 1,074,466,249 1,104,708,849 Note: Operational Boundary 746,000,000 730,000,000 874,000,000 1,000,000,000 1,080,000,000 1,124,000,000 1,155,000,000 Authorised Limit 1,200,000,000 1,200,000,000 1,200,000,000 1,200,000,000 1,200,000,000 1,200,000,000 1,200,000,000 The Operational Boundary and Authorised Limit are based on Gross External Debt.
Page 3
PERTH AND KINROSS COUNCIL PRUDENTIAL INDICATORS - QUARTER ENDING 30 JUNE 2022 APPENDIX IV 6 Principal Sums Invested Longer Than 365 Days The Upper Limit for sums invested for over 1 year up to 3 years is £45 million. There were no amounts invested within this period as at the end of the quarter. 7 MATURITY STRUCTURE The lower and upper limit for the proportion of the Council's total-long term debt which matures in each of the time bandings below, and is therefore subject to refinancing at the prevailing market rates, is as follows: Borrowing Maturity Structure Lower Limit Upper Limit Estimated Under 12 months 0% 35% 1.21% over 12 months and < 24 months 0% 35% 1.43% over 2 years and < 5 years 0% 50% 6.05% over 5 years and < 10 years 0% 75% 7.24% over 10 years 10% 95% 84.08% The maurity profile for the Council's current long-term portfolio as at 30 June 2022, measured from the start of the financial year, is as follows: Less 1 Year 1 - 2 Years 2 - 5 Years 5 - 10 Years 10 - 20 Years 20 - 30 Years 30 - 40 Years 40 - 50 Years Over 50 Years Total PWLB 3,000,000 5,000,000 23,000,000 27,500,000 5,000,000 0 40,500,000 459,000,000 0 563,000,000 LOBOs 0 0 0 0 0 13,000,000 25,200,000 5,000,000 0 43,200,000 Other 0 0 140,000 0 0 0 0 0 0 140,000 PPP/PFI Liability 5,864,000 5,482,500 21,204,900 25,611,400 69,028,177 0 0 0 0 127,190,977 Total 8,864,000 10,482,500 44,344,900 53,111,400 74,028,177 13,000,000 65,700,000 464,000,000 0 733,530,977 Percentage 1.21% 1.43% 6.05% 7.24% 10.09% 1.77% 8.96% 63.26% 0.00% 100.00%