Appendix IV – Monitoring of Prudential Indicators - Period ending 30 September 2025
Perth and Kinross Council · 26 November 2025
Back to Finance and Resources Committee — 26 November 2025 and its agenda
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PERTH AND KINROSS COUNCIL PRUDENTIAL INDICATORS - 6 MONTHS ENDING 30 SEPTEMBER 2025 APPENDIX IV 1 Financing Costs:Net Revenue Stream The ratio of Capital Financing Costs (Loan Charges) to the Council's net revenue stream shall not exceed the following limits, which are based on historic levels, and allow some headroom for movement in interest rates. The estimated Financing Costs below are based on the latest monitoring figures. 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Prudential Limit - General Fund 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% Estimated Ratio of Financing Costs to Revenue 8.20% 8.58% 9.10% 9.44% 9.64% 9.84% Prudential Limit - HRA 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% Estimated Ratio of Financing Costs to Revenue 23.78% 26.04% 27.25% 27.51% 27.49% 27.47% 2 Gross & Net Borrowing and Capital Financing Requirements For prudence, net external borrowing must not exceed the total capital financing requirement, thus ensuring that over the medium term, borrowing is only undertaken for capital purposes. The estimated total net borrowing and Capital Financing Requirement at the end of each of the years are as follows: Actual as at Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected 30-Sep-25 31-Mar-26 31-Mar-27 31-Mar-28 31-Mar-29 31-Mar-30 31-Mar-31 Net External Borrowing* 839,940,000 927,012,000 1,021,711,000 1,101,210,000 1,163,310,000 1,212,909,000 1,272,208,000 Gross External Borrowing* 858,486,000 942,012,000 1,036,711,000 1,116,210,000 1,178,310,000 1,227,909,000 1,287,208,000 Capital Financing Requirement 953,483,000 1,032,783,000 1,107,457,000 1,167,844,000 1,208,887,000 1,249,900,000 1,308,929,000 *For the purpose of this indicator, Borrowing includes the outstanding liability under PPP/PFI contracts. 3 Estimates of Gross Capital Expenditure The total estimated Capital Expenditure contained within the Council's Budgets for each year is as follows, based on updated monitoring figures. Composite Programme 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Current estimate 137,280,000 113,546,000 87,406,000 71,099,000 70,187,000 80,529,000 Original Budget Estimate 147,463,000 131,218,000 90,468,000 65,909,000 48,527,000 44,716,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Expenditure (10,183,000) (17,672,000) (3,062,000) 5,190,000 21,660,000 35,813,000 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the Capital Monitoring Report on 30 April 2025, and incorporating 2030/31 approved expenditure from 26 February 2025 The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 2 on 26 November 2025. HRA Programme 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Current estimate 42,138,000 17,000,000 13,776,000 8,015,000 8,098,000 20,000,000 Original Budget Estimate 28,098,000 14,411,000 14,265,000 12,076,000 20,044,000 20,000,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Expenditure 14,040,000 2,589,000 (489,000) (4,061,000) (11,946,000) 0 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the Capital Monitoring report on 30 April 2025, and incorproating 2029/30 approved expenditure on 27 January 2025, and an estimate for 2030/31. The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 2 on 26 November 2025.
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PERTH AND KINROSS COUNCIL PRUDENTIAL INDICATORS - 6 MONTHS ENDING 30 SEPTEMBER 2025 APPENDIX IV 4 Estimate of Capital Financing Requirement The estimate (as at October 2025) of the Capital Financing Requirement (ie new borrowing requirement for Capital Expenditure) for each year based on these plans is as follows: Composite Programme 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Current Estimated Capital Financing Requirement 118,538,000 85,321,000 63,093,000 51,468,000 51,762,000 58,815,000 Original Budget Estimate 132,216,000 103,393,000 67,055,000 48,178,000 30,302,000 26,966,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Financing Requirement (13,678,000) (18,072,000) (3,962,000) 3,290,000 21,460,000 31,849,000 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the Capital Monitoring Report on 30 April 2025, and incorporating 2030/31 approved expenditure from 26 February 2025 The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 2 on 26 November 2025. HRA Programme 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Current Estimated Capital Financing Requirement 40,454,000 15,454,000 12,163,000 6,002,000 5,713,000 17,500,000 Original Budget Estimate 26,615,000 12,865,000 12,652,000 10,063,000 17,659,000 17,500,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Financing Requirement 13,839,000 2,589,000 (489,000) (4,061,000) (11,946,000) 0 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the Capital Monitoring report on 30 April 2025, and incorproating 2029/30 approved expenditure on 27 January 2025, and an estimate for 2030/31. The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 2 on 26 November 2025. 5 External Debt (Gross and Net) As at Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected External Borrowing 30-Sep-25 31-Mar-26 31-Mar-27 31-Mar-28 31-Mar-29 31-Mar-30 31-Mar-31 Public Works Loan Board 635,750,000 777,500,000 885,000,000 990,000,000 1,057,500,000 1,112,500,000 1,177,500,000 Market Bonds (LOBOs) 53,200,000 53,200,000 53,200,000 33,200,000 33,200,000 33,200,000 33,200,000 Project Borrowing 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Special Loans 2,710,569 2,710,569 2,710,569 2,710,569 2,710,569 2,710,569 2,710,569 Temporary Loans/Other Borrowing 64,433,157 10,000,000 2,600,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 2,500,000 Other Long Term Liabilities (PPP/PFI) 102,391,816 98,601,472 93,200,672 87,799,872 82,399,072 76,998,272 71,297,472 Total Gross External Debt 858,485,542 942,012,041 1,036,711,241 1,116,210,441 1,178,309,641 1,227,908,841 1,287,208,041 Short Term Investments (18,545,962) (15,000,000) (15,000,000) (15,000,000) (15,000,000) (15,000,000) (15,000,000) Long Term Investments 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Net External Debt 839,939,580 927,012,041 1,021,711,241 1,101,210,441 1,163,309,641 1,212,908,841 1,272,208,041 Note: Operational Boundary 859,000,000 943,000,000 1,037,000,000 1,117,000,000 1,179,000,000 1,228,000,000 1,288,000,000 Authorised Limit 1,300,000,000 1,300,000,000 1,300,000,000 1,300,000,000 1,300,000,000 1,300,000,000 1,300,000,000 The Operational Boundary and Authorised Limit are based on Gross External Debt.
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PERTH AND KINROSS COUNCIL PRUDENTIAL INDICATORS - 6 MONTHS ENDING 30 SEPTEMBER 2025 APPENDIX IV 6 Principal Sums Invested Longer Than 365 Days The Upper Limit for sums invested for over 1 year up to 3 years is £45 million. There were no amounts invested within this period as at 30 September 2025. 7 MATURITY STRUCTURE The lower and upper limit for the proportion of the Council's total-long term debt which matures in each of the time bandings below, and is therefore subject to refinancing at the prevailing market rates, is as follows: Borrowing Maturity Structure Lower Limit Upper Limit Estimated Under 12 months 0% 35% 3.16% over 12 months and < 24 months 0% 35% 3.53% over 2 years and < 5 years 0% 50% 13.10% over 5 years and < 10 years 0% 75% 5.41% over 10 years 10% 95% 74.80% The maurity profile for the Council's current long-term portfolio as at 31st March 2025, measured from the start of the financial year, is as follows: Less 1 Year 1 - 2 Years 2 - 5 Years 5 - 10 Years 10 - 20 Years 20 - 30 Years 30 - 40 Years 40 - 50 Years Over 50 Years Total PWLB 21,250,000 22,500,000 67,500,000 20,000,000 5,000,000 2,000,000 93,500,000 404,000,000 0 635,750,000 LOBOs 0 0 20,000,000 0 0 8,000,000 25,200,000 0 0 53,200,000 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PPP/PFI 3,790,344 5,400,800 16,202,400 22,803,200 54,195,072 0 0 0 0 102,391,816 Total 25,040,344 27,900,800 103,702,400 42,803,200 59,195,072 10,000,000 118,700,000 404,000,000 0 791,341,816 Percentage 3.16% 3.53% 13.10% 5.41% 7.48% 1.26% 15.00% 51.05% 0.00% 100.00%