Appendix IV - Monitoring of Prudential Indicators - Period ending 31 March 2026
Perth and Kinross Council · 22 April 2026
Back to Finance and Resources Committee — 22 April 2026 and its agenda
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PERTH AND KINROSS COUNCIL PRUDENTIAL INDICATORS - 6 MONTHS ENDING 31 MARCH 2026 APPENDIX IV 1 Financing Costs:Net Revenue Stream The ratio of Capital Financing Costs (Loan Charges) to the Council's net revenue stream shall not exceed the following limits, which are based on historic levels, and allow some headroom for movement in interest rates. The estimated Financing Costs below are based on the latest monitoring figures. 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Prudential Limit - General Fund 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% 15.00% Estimated Ratio of Financing Costs to Revenue 7.80% 7.56% 8.67% 9.04% 9.44% 9.91% Prudential Limit - HRA 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% 30.00% Estimated Ratio of Financing Costs to Revenue 23.51% 22.70% 26.48% 26.89% 26.98% 27.24% 2 Gross & Net Borrowing and Capital Financing Requirements For prudence, net external borrowing must not exceed the total capital financing requirement, thus ensuring that over the medium term, borrowing is only undertaken for capital purposes. The estimated total net borrowing and Capital Financing Requirement at the end of each of the years are as follows: Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected 31-Mar-26 31-Mar-27 31-Mar-28 31-Mar-29 31-Mar-30 31-Mar-31 Net External Borrowing* 906,182,000 1,031,391,000 1,121,085,000 1,194,378,000 1,250,505,000 1,307,443,000 Gross External Borrowing* 928,099,000 1,052,391,000 1,141,085,000 1,214,378,000 1,270,505,000 1,327,443,000 Capital Financing Requirement 992,000,000 1,116,746,000 1,195,903,000 1,250,350,000 1,292,357,000 1,346,390,000 *For the purpose of this indicator, Borrowing includes the outstanding liability under PPP/PFI contracts. 3 Estimates of Gross Capital Expenditure The total estimated Capital Expenditure contained within the Council's Budgets for each year is as follows, based on updated monitoring figures. Composite Programme 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Current estimate 97,437,000 127,791,000 112,634,000 83,712,000 72,750,000 79,076,000 Original Budget Estimate 147,463,000 131,218,000 90,468,000 65,909,000 48,527,000 44,716,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Expenditure (50,026,000) (3,427,000) 22,166,000 17,803,000 24,223,000 34,360,000 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the Capital Monitoring Report on 30 April 2025, and incorporating 2030/31 approved expenditure from 26 February 2025 The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 4 on 22 April 2026. HRA Programme 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Current estimate 34,429,000 33,996,000 18,256,000 10,698,000 9,423,000 21,044,000 Original Budget Estimate 28,098,000 14,411,000 14,265,000 12,076,000 20,044,000 20,000,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Expenditure 6,331,000 19,585,000 3,991,000 (1,378,000) (10,621,000) 1,044,000 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the Capital Monitoring report on 30 April 2025, incorproating 2029/30 approved expenditure on 27 January 2025, and January 2026 for 2030/31. The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 4 on 22 April 2026.
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PERTH AND KINROSS COUNCIL PRUDENTIAL INDICATORS - 6 MONTHS ENDING 31 MARCH 2026 APPENDIX IV 4 Estimate of Capital Financing Requirement The estimate (as at March 2026) of the Capital Financing Requirement (ie new borrowing requirement for Capital Expenditure) for each year based on these plans is as follows: Composite Programme 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Current Estimated Capital Financing Requirement 81,103,000 107,840,000 79,904,000 64,581,000 54,825,000 57,362,000 Original Budget Estimate 132,216,000 103,393,000 67,055,000 48,178,000 30,302,000 26,966,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Financing Requirement (51,113,000) 4,447,000 12,849,000 16,403,000 24,523,000 30,396,000 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the Capital Monitoring Report on 30 April 2025, and incorporating 2030/31 approved expenditure from 26 February 2025 The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 4 on 22 April 2026. HRA Programme 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30 2030/31 Current Estimated Capital Financing Requirement 32,745,000 32,605,000 16,874,000 9,196,000 7,432,000 18,735,000 Original Budget Estimate 26,615,000 12,865,000 12,652,000 10,063,000 17,659,000 17,500,000 Movement in Estimated Capital Financing Requirement 6,130,000 19,740,000 4,222,000 (867,000) (10,227,000) 1,235,000 The Original Budget Estimates are those per the Capital Monitoring report on 30 April 2025, incorproating 2029/30 approved expenditure on 27 January 2025, and January 2026 for 2030/31. The latest estimates for Capital Expenditure are based on the F&R Capital Monitoring Report No 4 on 22 April 2026. 5 External Debt (Gross and Net) Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected External Borrowing 31-Mar-26 31-Mar-27 31-Mar-28 31-Mar-29 31-Mar-30 31-Mar-31 Public Works Loan Board 754,000,000 900,694,444 1,014,888,889 1,093,583,333 1,155,111,111 1,217,750,000 Market Bonds (LOBOs) 53,200,000 53,200,000 33,200,000 33,200,000 33,200,000 33,200,000 Project Borrowing 0 0 0 0 0 0 Special Loans 2,796,000 2,796,000 2,796,000 2,796,000 2,796,000 2,796,000 Temporary Loans/Other Borrowing 19,501,257 2,500,000 2,400,000 2,400,000 2,400,000 2,400,000 Other Long Term Liabilities (PPP/PFI) 98,601,472 93,200,672 87,799,872 82,399,072 76,998,272 71,297,472 Total Gross External Debt 928,098,729 1,052,391,116 1,141,084,761 1,214,378,405 1,270,505,383 1,327,443,472 Short Term Investments (21,916,548) (21,000,000) (20,000,000) (20,000,000) (20,000,000) (20,000,000) Long Term Investments 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total Net External Debt 906,182,181 1,031,391,116 1,121,084,761 1,194,378,405 1,250,505,383 1,307,443,472 Note: Operational Boundary 929,000,000 1,053,000,000 1,142,000,000 1,215,000,000 1,271,000,000 1,328,000,000 Authorised Limit 1,300,000,000 1,355,000,000 1,355,000,000 1,355,000,000 1,355,000,000 1,355,000,000 The Operational Boundary and Authorised Limit are based on Gross External Debt.
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PERTH AND KINROSS COUNCIL PRUDENTIAL INDICATORS - 6 MONTHS ENDING 31 MARCH 2026 APPENDIX IV 6 Principal Sums Invested Longer Than 365 Days The Upper Limit for sums invested for over 1 year up to 3 years is £45 million. There were no amounts invested within this period as at 31 March 2026. 7 MATURITY STRUCTURE The lower and upper limit for the proportion of the Council's total-long term debt which matures in each of the time bandings below, and is therefore subject to refinancing at the prevailing market rates, is as follows: Borrowing Maturity Structure Lower Limit Upper Limit Estimated Under 12 months 0% 35% 11.45% over 12 months and < 24 months 0% 35% 12.28% over 2 years and < 5 years 0% 50% 14.75% over 5 years and < 10 years 0% 75% 2.93% over 10 years 10% 95% 58.59% The maurity profile for the Council's current long-term portfolio as at 31st March 2026, measured from the start of the financial year, is as follows: Less 1 Year 1 - 2 Years 2 - 5 Years 5 - 10 Years 10 - 20 Years 20 - 30 Years 30 - 40 Years 40 - 50 Years Over 50 Years Total PWLB 30,000,000 50,000,000 57,500,000 0 5,000,000 0 60,000,000 384,000,000 0 586,500,000 PWLB EIP 68,305,556 55,805,556 39,638,889 3,750,000 0 0 0 0 0 167,500,000 LOBOs 0 0 20,000,000 0 0 8,000,000 25,200,000 0 0 53,200,000 Other 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PPP/PFI 5,400,800 5,400,800 16,502,400 22,803,200 48,494,272 0 0 0 0 98,601,472 Total 103,706,356 111,206,356 133,641,289 26,553,200 53,494,272 8,000,000 85,200,000 384,000,000 0 905,801,472 Percentage 11.45% 12.28% 14.75% 2.93% 5.91% 0.88% 9.41% 42.39% 0.00% 100.00%